Szolgálólányból királycsináló - avagy az ökonometria makroökonómiai térhódítása?
[From maidservant to king-maker - or the macroeconomic advance of econometrics?]
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.18414/KSZ.2016.3.285
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- Hendry, David F. & Clements, Michael P., 2003.
"Economic forecasting: some lessons from recent research,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 301-329, March.
- David Hendry & Michael P. Clements, 2001. "Economic Forecasting: Some Lessons from Recent Research," Economics Papers 2002-W11, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Hendry, David F & Michael P. Clements, 2002. "Economic Forecasting: Some Lessons from Recent Research," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2002 99, Royal Economic Society.
- David Hendry & Michael P. Clements & Department of Economics & University of Warwick, 2001. "Economic Forecasting: Some Lessons from Recent Research," Economics Series Working Papers 78, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P. & Hendry, David F., 2001. "Economic forecasting: some lessons from recent research," Working Paper Series 82, European Central Bank.
- Claudio BorioBy & Piti Disyatat & Mikael Juselius, 2017.
"Rethinking potential output: embedding information about the financial cycle,"
Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 69(3), pages 655-677.
- Claudio Borio & Frank Piti Disyatat & Mikael Juselius, 2013. "Rethinking potential output: Embedding information about the financial cycle," BIS Working Papers 404, Bank for International Settlements.
- Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Mikael Juselius, 2015. "Rethinking Potential Output: Embedding Information about the Financial Cycle," PIER Discussion Papers 5, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
- Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 1996.
"Evidence on Structural Instability in Macroeconomic Time Series Relations,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 14(1), pages 11-30, January.
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1994. "Evidence on Structural Instability in Macroeconomic Time Series Relations," NBER Technical Working Papers 0164, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1994. "Evidence on structural instability in macroeconomic times series relations," Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues 94-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Christopher A. Sims, 1982. "Policy Analysis with Econometric Models," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 13(1), pages 107-164.
- David Colander, 2005.
"The Making of an Economist Redux,"
Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 19(1), pages 175-198, Winter.
- David Colander, 2005. "The Making of An Economist Redux," Middlebury College Working Paper Series 0531, Middlebury College, Department of Economics.
- Paul Davidson, 1991. "Is Probability Theory Relevant for Uncertainty? A Post Keynesian Perspective," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 5(1), pages 129-143, Winter.
- Seater, John J, 1993. "Ricardian Equivalence," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 31(1), pages 142-190, March.
- George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja, 2005.
"An Interview with Thomas J. Sargent,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
1434, CESifo.
- George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja, 2005. "An Interview with Thomas J. Sargent," University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers 2005-2, University of Oregon Economics Department, revised 11 Jan 2005.
- Evans, George W. & Honkapohja, Seppo, 2005.
"An Interview With Thomas J. Sargent,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(04), pages 561-583, September.
- George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja, 2005. "An Interview with Thomas J. Sargent," CESifo Working Paper Series 1434, CESifo Group Munich.
- George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja, 2005. "An Interview with Thomas J. Sargent," University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers 2005-2, University of Oregon Economics Department, revised 11 Jan 2005.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Kőrösi, Gábor, 2016. "A lány továbbra is szolgál.. [Modelling and econometrics]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(6), pages 647-667.
- Mellár, Tamás, 2016. "Válasz Kőrösi Gábornak [Response to Gábor Kőrösi]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(6), pages 668-672.
- Tóth G., Csaba, 2017. "A nemzeti költségvetési szabályok elterjedése és hatása Európában [The spread of national fiscal rules and their effect in Europe]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(11), pages 1119-1147.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Duo Qin, 2006.
"VAR Modelling Approach and Cowles Commission Heritage,"
Working Papers
557, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Duo Qin, 2006. "VAR Modelling Approach and Cowles Commission Heritage," Working Papers 557, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- John Geweke & Joel Horowitz & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2006.
"Econometrics: A Bird’s Eye View,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
1870, CESifo.
- Geweke, John F. & Horowitz, Joel L. & Pesaran, M. Hashem, 2006. "Econometrics: A Bird's Eye View," IZA Discussion Papers 2458, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Geweke, J. & Joel Horowitz & Pesaran, M.H., 2006. "Econometrics: A Bird’s Eye View," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0655, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Pablo Guerróon‐Quintana & Molin Zhong, 2023.
"Macroeconomic forecasting in times of crises,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 295-320, April.
- Pablo Guerrón-Quintana & Molin Zhong, 2017. "Macroeconomic Forecasting in Times of Crises," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-018, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Hubrich, Kirstin, 2005.
"Forecasting euro area inflation: Does aggregating forecasts by HICP component improve forecast accuracy?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 119-136.
- Hubrich, Kirstin, 2003. "Forecasting euro area inflation: Does aggregating forecasts by HICP component improve forecast accuracy?," Working Paper Series 247, European Central Bank.
- Kirstin Hubrich, 2004. "Forecasting euro area inflation: Does aggregating forecasts by HICP component improve forecast accuracy?," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 230, Society for Computational Economics.
- Marchionatti, Roberto & Sella, Lisa, 2015.
"Is Neo-Walrasian Macroeconomics a Dead End?,"
CESMEP Working Papers
201502, University of Turin.
- Marchionatti, Roberto & Sella, Lisa, 2015. "Is Neo-Walrasian Macroeconomics a Dead End?," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers 201521, University of Turin.
- Michael Wickens, 2014.
"How did we get to where we are now? Reflections on 50 years of macroeconomic and financial econometrics,"
Discussion Papers
14/17, Department of Economics, University of York.
- Wickens, Michael R., 2014. "How did we get to where we are now? Reflections on 50 years of macroeconomic and financial econometrics," CEPR Discussion Papers 10197, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Michael Wickens, 2009.
"Testing a DSGE Model of the EU Using Indirect Inference,"
Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 435-471, September.
- David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Michael Wickensy, 2007. "Testing a DSGE model of the EU using indirect inference," CDMA Conference Paper Series 0709, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis, revised Mar 2008.
- Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael, 2008. "Testing a DSGE model of the EU using indirect inference," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2008/11, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, revised Dec 2008.
- Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael R. & Meenagh, David, 2008. "Testing a DSGE Model of the EU Using Indirect Inference," CEPR Discussion Papers 6838, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Michael Wickens, 2008. "Testing a DSGE model of the EU using indirect inference," CDMA Conference Paper Series 0801, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.
- David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Michael Wickens & Yongdeng Xu, 2019.
"Testing DSGE Models by Indirect Inference: a Survey of Recent Findings,"
Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 30(3), pages 593-620, July.
- Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2018. "Testing DSGE Models by indirect inference: a survey of recent findings," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/14, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
- Vo Le & David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Michael Wickens & Yongdeng Xu, 2016.
"Testing Macro Models by Indirect Inference: A Survey for Users,"
Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 1-38, February.
- Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2015. "Testing macro models by indirect inference: a survey for users," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2015/9, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
- Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael R. & Meenagh, David & Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Xu, Yongdeng, 2015. "Testing macro models by indirect inference: a survey for users," CEPR Discussion Papers 10766, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Oliveira, Fernando Nascimento de, 2016. "Financial and Real Sector Leading Indicators of Recessions in Brazil Using Probabilistic Models," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 70(3), September.
- George Bagdatoglou & Alexandros Kontonikas & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Forecasting Us Inflation Using Dynamic General-To-Specific Model Selection," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(2), pages 151-167, April.
- Fernando N. de Oliveira, 2015. "Financial and Real Sector Leading Indicators of Recessions in Brazil using Probabilistic Models," Working Papers Series 402, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Per Krusell, 2007. "EconomicDynamics Interviews Per Krusell on Search and Matching," EconomicDynamics Newsletter, Review of Economic Dynamics, vol. 8(2), April.
- van der Cruijsen, C.A.B. & Eijffinger, S.C.W., 2007.
"The Economic Impact of Central Bank Transparency : A Survey,"
Discussion Paper
2007-06, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Eijffinger, Sylvester & van der Cruijsen, Carin, 2007. "The Economic Impact of Central Bank Transparency: A Survey," CEPR Discussion Papers 6070, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- van der Cruijsen, C.A.B. & Eijffinger, S.C.W., 2007. "The Economic Impact of Central Bank Transparency : A Survey," Other publications TiSEM c0ec8638-a29c-48e3-be11-8, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- David Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2001. "Forecasting in the Presence of Structural Breaks and Policy Regime Shifts," Economics Papers 2002-W12, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Jon Huntley & Eric Miller, 2009. "An Evaluation of CBO Forecasts: Working Paper 2009-02," Working Papers 41195, Congressional Budget Office.
- Eijffinger, Sylvester & van der Cruijsen, Carin, 2007.
"Actual Versus Perceived Central Bank Transparency: The case of the European Central Bank,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
6525, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- van der Cruijsen, C.A.B. & Eijffinger, S.C.W., 2007. "Actual versus Perceived Central Bank Transparency : The Case of the European Central Bank," Other publications TiSEM 8c4431eb-8f7d-4d38-a8db-3, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- van der Cruijsen, C.A.B. & Eijffinger, S.C.W., 2007. "Actual versus Perceived Central Bank Transparency : The Case of the European Central Bank," Discussion Paper 2007-78, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael R. & Meenagh, David & Le, Vo Phuong Mai, 2015.
"Small sample performance of indirect inference on DSGE models,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
10382, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael, 2015. "Small sample performance of indirect inference on DSGE models," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2015/2, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
- Chemla, Gilles & Hennessy, Christopher, 2019. "Equilibrium Counterfactuals," CEPR Discussion Papers 14146, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Siddiqi, Hammad, 2006. "Belief merging and revision under social influence: An explanation for the volatility clustering puzzle," MPRA Paper 657, University Library of Munich, Germany.
More about this item
JEL classification:
- C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
- C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
- D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
- E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:1619. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Odon Sok (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.kszemle.hu .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.