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Várakozások, stabilitás és működőképesség az együttélő korosztályok egy realista modelljében
[Expectations, stability and capability to operate in a realistic model of coexisting cohorts]

Author

Listed:
  • Simonovits, András
  • Molnár, György

Abstract

Ebben a dolgozatban az együttélő nemzedékek modelljének sok korosztályos általánosítását vizsgáljuk, nevezetesen az együttélő korosztályok modelljét (angol rövidítés: OLC). Minden időszakban a különböző korú szereplők előrejelzéseket tesznek az életük végéig bekövetkező kamattényezőkről, és a hátralévő fogyasztási pályájuk hasznosságát maximalizálják a zéró várható örökség feltevése mellett. Minden időszakban egy koordinátor olyan új kamattényezőt határoz meg, amely mellett a társadalom teljes fogyasztása egyenlő a társadalom teljes keresetével. A cikk mondanivalója a következő: 1. az OLC-modellben a racionális várakozások melletti dinamika nemcsak instabil, hanem működésképtelen is; 2. az OLC-modellben a naiv várakozások melletti dinamika nemcsak aszimptotikusan stabil, hanem tág környezetben működőképes is.

Suggested Citation

  • Simonovits, András & Molnár, György, 1996. "Várakozások, stabilitás és működőképesség az együttélő korosztályok egy realista modelljében [Expectations, stability and capability to operate in a realistic model of coexisting cohorts]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(10), pages 863-890.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:117
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • D11 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Theory

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