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Trip chaining propensity and tour mode choice of out-of-home workers: evidence from a mid-sized Canadian city

Author

Listed:
  • Naznin Sultana Daisy

    (Dalhousie University)

  • Lei Liu

    (Dalhousie University)

  • Hugh Millward

    (Saint Mary’s University)

Abstract

Suburban development patterns, flexible work hours, and increasing participation in out-of-home activities are making the travel patterns of individuals more complex, and complex trip chaining could be a major barrier to the shift from drive-alone to public transport. This study introduces a cohort-based approach to analyse trip tour behaviors, in order to better understand and model their relationships to socio-demographics, trip attributes, and land use patterns. Specifically, it employs worker population cohorts with homogenous activity patterns to explore differences and similarities in tour frequency, trip chaining, and tour mode choices, all of which are required for travel demand modeling. The paper shows how modeling of these important tour variables may be improved, for integration into an activity-based modeling framework. Using data from the Space–Time Activity Research (STAR) survey for Halifax, Canada, five clusters of workers were identified from their activity travel patterns. These were labeled as extended workers, 8 to 4 workers, shorter work-day workers, 7 to 3 workers, and 9 to 5 workers. The number of home-based tours per day for all clusters were modeled using a Poisson regression model. Trip chaining was then modeled using an Ordered Probit model, and tour mode choice was modeled using a Multinomial logit (MNL) model. Statistical analysis showed that socio-demographic characteristics and tour attributes are significant predictors of travel behavior, consistent with existing literature. Urban form characteristics also have a significant influence on non-workers’ travel behavior and tour complexity. The findings of this study will assist in the future evaluation of transportation projects, and in land-use policymaking.

Suggested Citation

  • Naznin Sultana Daisy & Lei Liu & Hugh Millward, 2020. "Trip chaining propensity and tour mode choice of out-of-home workers: evidence from a mid-sized Canadian city," Transportation, Springer, vol. 47(2), pages 763-792, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:transp:v:47:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s11116-018-9915-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s11116-018-9915-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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