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Analyzing the Impact of Electricity Market Structure Changes and Mergers: The Importance of Forward Commitments

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  • David P. Brown

    (University of Alberta)

  • Andrew Eckert

    (University of Alberta)

Abstract

We investigate how the effects of market structure changes and mergers in restructured electricity markets depend on the level of forward contracting. We develop a Cournot model of Alberta’s wholesale electricity market that incorporates firms’ forward positions. Using data from 2013 to 2014, we calibrate the forward positions of the five largest firms and simulate the effects of different market structure changes, including a hypothetical merger with asset divestitures. We examine the sensitivity of the simulated effects to assumptions with regard to the firms’ forward commitments. The wholesale market effects of these transactions depend critically on firms’ forward commitments. These results demonstrate the importance of establishing a clear understanding of the size and nature of forward commitments in forecasting the effects of mergers and other market structure changes in wholesale electricity markets.

Suggested Citation

  • David P. Brown & Andrew Eckert, 2018. "Analyzing the Impact of Electricity Market Structure Changes and Mergers: The Importance of Forward Commitments," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 52(1), pages 101-137, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:revind:v:52:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s11151-017-9580-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s11151-017-9580-1
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    Cited by:

    1. David P. Brown & Andrew Eckert, 2022. "Pricing Patterns in Wholesale Electricity Markets: Unilateral Market Power or Coordinated Behavior?," Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 70(1), pages 168-216, March.
    2. Luis Gautier & Mahelet G. Fikru, 2024. "Electric Utility Mergers in the Presence of Distributed Renewable Energy," Natural Resource Management and Policy, in: Handbook of Merger Control and Environmental Policy, chapter 0, pages 63-92, Springer.
    3. Brown, David P. & Eckert, Andrew & Shaffer, Blake, 2023. "Evaluating the impact of divestitures on competition: Evidence from Alberta’s wholesale electricity market," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    4. David P. Brown & Andrew Eckert, 2017. "Electricity market mergers with endogenous forward contracting," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 51(3), pages 269-310, June.
    5. Nie, Pu-yan & Wang, Chan & Wen, Hong-xing, 2021. "Horizontal mergers under uniform resource constraints," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    6. Brown, David P. & Eckert, Andrew & Eckert, Heather, 2018. "Carbon pricing with an output subsidy under imperfect competition: The case of Alberta's restructured electricity market," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 102-123.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Electricity; Mergers; Forward contracts; Market power;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D43 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Oligopoly and Other Forms of Market Imperfection
    • L40 - Industrial Organization - - Antitrust Issues and Policies - - - General
    • L51 - Industrial Organization - - Regulation and Industrial Policy - - - Economics of Regulation
    • L94 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Electric Utilities
    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General

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