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Dynamic Links Between Unexpected Exchange Rate Variation, Prices, and International Trade

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  • Chongcheul Cheong
  • Tesfa Mehari
  • Leighton Williams

Abstract

This paper investigates dynamic interrelations between exchange rate uncertainty, international trade, and trading competitiveness in prices, using UK data. The empirical results derived from vector autoregressive (VAR) models show that a shock to exchange rate volatility negatively affects trade volumes, and such negative effects are greater than the effects on trade price levels. Copyright Springer Science + Business Media, LLC 2006

Suggested Citation

  • Chongcheul Cheong & Tesfa Mehari & Leighton Williams, 2006. "Dynamic Links Between Unexpected Exchange Rate Variation, Prices, and International Trade," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 221-233, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:openec:v:17:y:2006:i:2:p:221-233
    DOI: 10.1007/s11079-006-4745-9
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Zuzana Rowland & George Lazaroiu & Ivana Podhorská, 2020. "Use of Neural Networks to Accommodate Seasonal Fluctuations When Equalizing Time Series for the CZK/RMB Exchange Rate," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-21, December.
    3. Dimitrios Serenis & Paul Serenis, 2010. "Exchange Rate Volatility, the E.U. and Sectoral Exports: New Empirical Evidence from the Chemical Sector (1973-2005)," Research in World Economy, Research in World Economy, Sciedu Press, vol. 1(1), pages 47-55, November.

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