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Technological Change as Reflected in Hotel Property Prices

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  • John Corgel

Abstract

This paper investigates the effects of age on the sale prices of hotel real estate. Value erosion of commercial property due to the passage of time may be offset by renovation, although substantial follow-on investment usually occurs several years following construction. Obsolescence produces value losses during the post-construction period prior to new investment that result from technological change (Colwell & Ramsland, Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 8(1), 47–63, 2003 ). A hedonic model is specified to allow age to measure the effects of obsolescence in hotel prices. Although the long-run obsolescence rate for hotel properties of 1.93%/year aligns closely with the rate estimated elsewhere for retail properties, the path of obsolescence through time shows some marked departures. Contrary to the theory and the empirical results from the retail real estate market, hotel prices do not reveal much more obsolescence in the years immediately following construction than later. Also, the age and sale price relation turns positive nearing the third decade of the lives of hotels indicating a vintage effect. Thus, a V-shaped obsolescence function emerges that either may be explained by a fixed-cost renovation expenditure function or a vintage effect produced by the demand for surviving assets. A series of tests of hotel brand-specific obsolescence rates reveals considerable variation in these rates among seasoned properties, perhaps an indication of a convex renovation expenditure function and sequential follow-on investment. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2007

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  • John Corgel, 2007. "Technological Change as Reflected in Hotel Property Prices," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 34(2), pages 257-279, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:34:y:2007:i:2:p:257-279
    DOI: 10.1007/s11146-007-9011-4
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    Cited by:

    1. Michael J. Turner & Chris Guilding, 2010. "Accounting for the furniture, fittings & equipment reserve in hotels," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 50(4), pages 967-992, December.
    2. Eli Beracha & William G. Hardin & Hilla Maaria Skiba, 2018. "Real Estate Market Segmentation: Hotels as Exemplar," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 252-273, February.
    3. Suzuki, Masatomo & Shimizu, Chihiro, 2024. "Obsolete housing equipment, weak renovation, and rapid depreciation of Japanese condominiums," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    4. Jack Corgel & Crocker Liu & Robert White, 2015. "Determinants of Hotel Property Prices," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 51(3), pages 415-439, October.
    5. Candela, Guido & Castellani, Massimiliano & Mussoni, Maurizio, 2012. "Clashes and compromises: Investment policies in tourism destinations," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 6, pages 1-25.

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