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Dedicated REIT Mutual Fund Flows and REIT Performance

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  • David Ling
  • Andy Naranjo

Abstract

This study examines the effects of weekly and monthly capital flows into the dedicated REIT mutual fund sector on aggregate REIT returns and, simultaneously, the effects of industry-level REIT returns on subsequent REIT mutual fund flows. The dynamic relation between REIT capital flows and returns is estimated using vector autoregression (VAR) techniques. Unlike static regression techniques, our dynamic model produces estimates of the short-run relationships, long-run relationships, impulse response functions, and forecast variance decompositions. We find evidence that REIT mutual fund flows are positively and significantly related to prior returns, while prior REIT mutual fund flows do not significantly influence REIT returns. However, contemporaneous flows do appear to have an initial positive effect, which is partially reversed one period later. The positive contemporaneous effect, however, is the result of unexpected REIT mutual fund flows, while the expected portion is insignificant. Copyright Springer Science + Business Media, LLC 2006

Suggested Citation

  • David Ling & Andy Naranjo, 2006. "Dedicated REIT Mutual Fund Flows and REIT Performance," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 32(4), pages 409-433, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:32:y:2006:i:4:p:409-433
    DOI: 10.1007/s11146-006-6960-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Jim Clayton & David Ling & Andy Naranjo, 2009. "Commercial Real Estate Valuation: Fundamentals Versus Investor Sentiment," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 38(1), pages 5-37, January.
    2. David Ling & Gianluca Marcato & Pat McAllister, 2009. "Dynamics of Asset Prices and Transaction Activity in Illiquid Markets: the Case of Private Commercial Real Estate," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 39(3), pages 359-383, October.
    3. Wen-Hsiu Chou & William Hardin, 2014. "Performance Chasing, Fund Flows and Fund Size in Real Estate Mutual Funds," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 49(3), pages 379-412, October.
    4. Jeffrey Fisher & David C. Ling & Andy Naranjo, 2009. "Institutional Capital Flows and Return Dynamics in Private Commercial Real Estate Markets," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 37(1), pages 85-116, March.
    5. Wendi Zhang & Bin Li & Alan Wee-Chung Liew & Eduardo Roca & Tarlok Singh, 2023. "Predicting the returns of the US real estate investment trust market: evidence from the group method of data handling neural network," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-33, December.
    6. Viktoriya Lantushenko & Edward Nelling, 2017. "Institutional Property-Type Herding in Real Estate Investment Trusts," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 459-481, May.
    7. Serguei Chervachidze & William Wheaton, 2013. "What Determined the Great Cap Rate Compression of 2000–2007, and the Dramatic Reversal During the 2008–2009 Financial Crisis?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 46(2), pages 208-231, February.
    8. Barra McCarthy, 2019. "Real estate fund investment in post-crisis Ireland," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Are post-crisis statistical initiatives completed?, volume 49, Bank for International Settlements.
    9. Vassilios Babalos & Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Nicola Spagnolo, 2021. "Equity fund flows and stock market returns in the USA before and after the global financial crisis: a VAR-GARCH-in-mean analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(2), pages 539-555, February.
    10. Yang-pin Shen & Chiuling Lu & Zong-Han Lin, 2012. "International Real Estate Mutual Fund Performance: Diversification or Costly Information?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 394-413, April.
    11. Viktoriya Lantushenko & Edward Nelling, 2020. "Active Management in Real Estate Mutual Funds," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 247-274, August.
    12. James Chong & Alexandra Krystalogianni & Simon Stevenson, "undated". "Dynamic Correlations across REIT Sub-Sectors," Real Estate & Planning Working Papers rep-wp2011-07, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
    13. Abhay Kaushik & Anita K. Pennathur, 2013. "Performance And New Money Cash Flows In Real Estate Mutual Funds," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 36(4), pages 453-470, December.
    14. Tumellano Sebehela, 2017. "Game Options," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(03), pages 1-17, September.
    15. Qiulin Ke & Karen Sieracki, 2018. "Exploring sentiment-driven trading behavior of different types of investors in London office market," ERES eres2018_112, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    16. James Chong & Alexandra Krystalogianni & Simon Stevenson, 2012. "Dynamic correlations between REIT sub-sectors and the implications for diversification," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(13), pages 1089-1109, July.
    17. Marcel Arsenault & Jim Clayton & Liang Peng, 2013. "Mortgage Fund Flows, Capital Appreciation, and Real Estate Cycles," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 47(2), pages 243-265, August.
    18. SeungHan Ro & Alan Ziobrowski, 2011. "Does Focus Really Matter? Specialized vs. Diversified REITs," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 42(1), pages 68-83, January.
    19. David H. Downs & Steffen Sebastian & Christian Weistroffer & René-Ojas Woltering, 2016. "Real Estate Fund Flows and the Flow-Performance Relationship," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 52(4), pages 347-382, May.
    20. SeungHan Ro & Paul Gallimore, 2014. "Real Estate Mutual Funds: Herding, Momentum Trading and Performance," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 42(1), pages 190-222, March.

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