IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/iecepo/v22y2025i1d10.1007_s10368-024-00631-x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Macroeconomic shocks, regulatory uncertainty, and the drive towards financial inclusiveness in emerging economies

Author

Listed:
  • Rexford Abaidoo

    (University of Maryland Eastern Shore)

  • Elvis Kwame Agyapong

    (Ghana Institute of Management and Public Administration, GIMPA Green Hill)

Abstract

This study evaluates the impact of macroeconomic shocks, financial market volatility, and regulatory and political risks on financial inclusion among developing economies. Data spanning the period from 2001 to 2020 were compiled from a sample of 39 Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) economies for the analysis. Data analysis was performed using the panel-corrected standard error (PCSE) estimation technique by Beck and Katz (1995). The analysis suggests that macroeconomic risk, financial market volatility, and regulatory uncertainty constrain financial inclusion among reviewed economies. Further results suggest that effective governance or improved governance structures may not be enough to alleviate the adverse effects of macroeconomic risk, financial market volatility, and regulatory uncertainty on financial inclusion. The moderating impact of political instability on the nexus between macroeconomic risk and financial inclusion further highlights the inimical influence of both macroeconomic and political risks on financial inclusion. The various conclusions have significant implications for policymakers; they admonish the need for measures that ensure macroeconomic stability, promote financial market stability, and support unambiguous regulatory policies to foster financial inclusion.

Suggested Citation

  • Rexford Abaidoo & Elvis Kwame Agyapong, 2025. "Macroeconomic shocks, regulatory uncertainty, and the drive towards financial inclusiveness in emerging economies," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 1-22, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:iecepo:v:22:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1007_s10368-024-00631-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s10368-024-00631-x
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10368-024-00631-x
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10368-024-00631-x?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Velenkosini Matsebula & Johannes Sheefeni, 2022. "Financial Inclusion and Macroeconomic Stability in South Africa," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 12(4), pages 56-64, July.
    2. Fabien Sundjo & Fozoh Aziseh, 2018. "An Empirical Investigation into the Key Drivers of Economic Performance in the CEMAC Zone: A Panel Corrected Standard Errors Approach," International Journal of Business, Economics and Management, Conscientia Beam, vol. 5(6), pages 189-200.
    3. Peterson K. Ozili, 2021. "Financial inclusion research around the world: A review," Forum for Social Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(4), pages 457-479, October.
    4. Peter J. Morgan & Victor Pontines, 2018. "Financial Stability And Financial Inclusion: The Case Of Sme Lending," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 63(01), pages 111-124, March.
    5. Beck, Nathaniel & Katz, Jonathan N., 1995. "What To Do (and Not to Do) with Time-Series Cross-Section Data," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 89(3), pages 634-647, September.
    6. Tarek Eldomiaty & Rasha Hammam & Rawan El Bakry, 2020. "Institutional determinants of financial inclusion: evidence from world economies," International Journal of Development Issues, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 19(2), pages 217-228, April.
    7. Gerhard Kling & Vanesa Pesqué-Cela & Lihui Tian & Deming Luo, 2022. "A theory of financial inclusion and income inequality," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(1), pages 137-157, January.
    8. Fabien Sundjo & Fozoh Aziseh, 2018. "An Empirical Investigation into the Key Drivers of Economic Performance in the CEMAC Zone: A Panel Corrected Standard Errors Approach," International Journal of Business, Economics and Management, Conscientia Beam, vol. 5(6), pages 189-200.
    9. Kizito Uyi Ehigiamusoe & Hooi Hooi Lean & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2019. "Moderating effect of inflation on the finance–growth nexus: insights from West African countries," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 399-422, August.
    10. Trung Duc Nguyen & Quynh Lan Thi Du, 2022. "The effect of financial inclusion on bank stability: Evidence from ASEAN," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 2040126-204, December.
    11. Feghali, Khalil & Mora, Nada & Nassif, Pamela, 2021. "Financial inclusion, bank market structure, and financial stability: International evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 236-257.
    12. Asamoah, Michael Effah & Adjasi, Charles K.D. & Alhassan, Abdul Latif, 2016. "Macroeconomic uncertainty, foreign direct investment and institutional quality: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 612-621.
    13. Michael Effah Asamoah & Imhotep Paul Alagidede & Frank Adu, 2022. "Exchange rate uncertainty and foreign direct investment in Africa: Does financial development matter?," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(2), pages 878-898, May.
    14. repec:idn:journl:v:20:y:2018:i:4:p:1-14 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Nitin Kumar, 2013. "Financial inclusion and its determinants: evidence from India," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 5(1), pages 4-19, April.
    16. Gholamreza Askari & Madjid Eshaghi Gordji & Choonkil Park, 2019. "The behavioral model and game theory," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 5(1), pages 1-8, December.
    17. Jeffrey M Wooldridge, 2010. "Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 2, volume 1, number 0262232588, December.
    18. Seyed Alireza Athari, 2022. "Financial Inclusion, Political Risk, and Banking Sector Stability: Evidence from Different Geographical Regions," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 42(1), pages 99-108.
    19. Onyinye I. Anthony-Orji & Anthony Orji & Jonathan E. Ogbuabor & Emmanuel O. Nwosu, 2019. "Do financial stability and institutional quality have impact on financial inclusion in developing economies? A new evidence from Nigeria," International Journal of Sustainable Economy, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 11(1), pages 18-40.
    20. Ongo Nkoa, Bruno Emmanuel & Song, Jacques Simon, 2020. "Does institutional quality affect financial inclusion in Africa? A panel data analysis," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(4).
    21. Fredrick Ikpesu & Olusegun Vincent & Olamitunji Dakare, 2019. "Growth effect of trade and investment in Sub-Saharan Africa countries: Empirical insight from panel corrected standard error (PCSE) technique," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 1607127-160, January.
    22. Ayse Demir & Vanesa Pesqué-Cela & Yener Altunbas & Victor Murinde, 2022. "Fintech, financial inclusion and income inequality: a quantile regression approach," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(1), pages 86-107, January.
    23. Abidin Alhassan & Leon Li & Krishna Reddy & Geeta Duppati, 2021. "The relationship between political instability and financial inclusion: Evidence from Middle East and North Africa," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 353-374, January.
    24. Michael D. McKenzie, 1999. "The Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on International Trade Flows," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(1), pages 71-106, February.
    25. Fry, Maxwell J, 1989. "Financial Development: Theories and Recent Experience," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 5(4), pages 13-28, Winter.
    26. Jorgenson, Andrew K. & Alekseyko, Alina & Giedraitis, Vincentas, 2014. "Energy consumption, human well-being and economic development in central and eastern European nations: A cautionary tale of sustainability," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 419-427.
    27. Bailey, Delia & Katz, Jonathan N., 2011. "Implementing Panel-Corrected Standard Errors in R: The pcse Package," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 42(c01).
    28. Dinabandhu Sethi & Debashis Acharya, 2018. "Financial inclusion and economic growth linkage: some cross country evidence," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 10(3), pages 369-385, June.
    29. Thorsten Beck & Asli Demirgüç-Kunt & Ross Levine, 2001. "Legal Theories of Financial Development," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 17(4), pages 483-501.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Williams Ohemeng & Kenneth Ofori-Boateng & Elvis Kwame Agyapong & Joseph Darmoe, 2023. "Environmental risk and growth in foreign direct investment: Is the composition of FDI in sub-Saharan Africa a speculative type?," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 2243695-224, June.
    2. Murshed, Muntasir & Ahmed, Rizwan & Al-Tal, Raad Mahmoud & Kumpamool, Chamaiporn & Vetchagool, Witchulada & Avarado, Rafael, 2023. "Determinants of financial inclusion in South Asia: The moderating and mediating roles of internal conflict settlement," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    3. Peterson K. Ozili, 2023. "Corporate governance and financial inclusion," Journal of Money and Business, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 3(1), pages 89-107, May.
    4. Damane, Moeti & Ho, Sin-Yu, 2024. "Effects of financial inclusion on financial stability: evidence from ssa countries," MPRA Paper 120238, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Ahmad, Ahmad Hassan & Green, Christopher J. & Jiang, Fei & Murinde, Victor, 2023. "Mobile money, ICT, financial inclusion and growth: How different is Africa?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    6. R. V. Naveenan & Chee Yoong Liew & Ploypailin Kijkasiwat, 2024. "Nexus Between Financial Inclusion, Digital Inclusion and Health Outcomes: Evidence from Developing Economies," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 174(1), pages 367-408, August.
    7. Damane, Moeti & Ho, Sin-Yu, 2024. "The impact of financial inclusion on financial stability: review of theories and international evidence," MPRA Paper 120369, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Akbar, Syed Waqar & Rehman, Ajid Ur & Bouri, Elie & Ijaz, Muhammad Shahzad & Arshad, Imran, 2024. "Socio-economic issues and bank stability: The moderating role of competition," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    9. Shubham Chavriya & Gagan Deep Sharma & Mandeep Mahendru, 2024. "Financial inclusion as a tool for sustainable macroeconomic growth: An integrative analysis," Annals of Public and Cooperative Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 95(2), pages 527-551, June.
    10. Muhammad Hussain & Farzan Yahya & Muhammad Waqas, 2021. "Does strong governance stimulate the effect of economic freedom and financial literacy on financial inclusion? a cross-country evidence," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-10, December.
    11. Folorunsho M. Ajide & Tolulope T. Osinubi, 2022. "Foreign aid and entrepreneurship in Africa: the role of remittances and institutional quality," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(1), pages 193-224, February.
    12. Broader, Jacquelyn, 2024. "Tapping In: Leveraging Open-Loop Fare Payments to Increase Financial Inclusion," Institute of Transportation Studies, Research Reports, Working Papers, Proceedings qt88v9c0wm, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Berkeley.
    13. Sami Al-Kharusi & Azmat Gani, 2022. "Financial Credit and Expansion of the Non-Hydrocarbon Sector in Gulf Cooperation Council Countries," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 28(3), pages 105-118, November.
    14. Nguyen, Canh Phuc & Le, Thai-Ha & Su, Thanh Dinh, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and credit growth: Evidence from a global sample," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    15. Krause, Werner & Giebler, Heiko, 2020. "Shifting Welfare Policy Positions: The Impact of Radical Right Populist Party Success Beyond Migration Politics," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 56(3), pages 331-348.
    16. Ongo Nkoa, Bruno Emmanuel & Song, Jacques Simon, 2020. "Does institutional quality affect financial inclusion in Africa? A panel data analysis," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(4).
    17. Jin Guo & Tetsuji Tanaka, 2020. "The Effectiveness of Self-Sufficiency Policy: International Price Transmissions in Beef Markets," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-23, July.
    18. Peterson K. Ozili & David Mhlanga, 2024. "Why is financial inclusion so popular? An analysis of development buzzwords," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(1), pages 231-253, January.
    19. Canh Phuc Nguyen & Nadia Doytch & Christophe Schinckus & Thanh Dinh Su, 2024. "Mobile and internet usage, institutions and the trade balance: Evidence from African countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 2230-2264, April.
    20. Dilla, Diana, 2017. "Staatsverschuldung und Verschuldungsmentalität [Public Debt and Debt Mentality]," MPRA Paper 79432, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Macroeconomic risk; Regulatory uncertainty; Financial inclusion; Effective governance; Panel-corrected standard error model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services
    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:iecepo:v:22:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1007_s10368-024-00631-x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.