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Exchange rate volatility and commodity trade between the U.S. and the Philippines

Author

Listed:
  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee

    (The University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee)

  • Hanafiah Harvey

    (Pennsylvania State University, Mont Alto)

Abstract

ASEAN, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, was founded in 1967 and the Philippines is one of the founding members. Since it relies upon floating exchange rates, its trade flows could be affected by uncertainty introduced by such rates. Previous studies used aggregate trade flows of the Philippines with the rest of the world and did not find any significant effects of exchange rate uncertainty on its trade flows. Suspecting that those studies suffer from aggregation bias, in this paper we concentrate on its trade flows with its major partner, the U.S., and disaggregate these flows by commodity. We then investigate the sensitivity of 133 U.S. exporting industries to the Philippines and 64 U.S. importing industries from the Philippines to exchange rate uncertainty. We find that almost half of the commodity flows are affected in the short-run. The short-run effects last into the long run in 50 % of the affected industries.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hanafiah Harvey, 2017. "Exchange rate volatility and commodity trade between the U.S. and the Philippines," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 263-291, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:iecepo:v:14:y:2017:i:2:d:10.1007_s10368-016-0336-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s10368-016-0336-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Scott W. Hegerty, 2009. "The Effects of Exchange-Rate Volatility on Commodity Trade between the United States and Mexico," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 75(4), pages 1019-1044, April.
    2. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Jia Xu, 2013. "Impact of exchange rate volatility on commodity trade between US and Hong Kong," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(1), pages 81-109, January.
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    5. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Claire Economidou & Gour Gobinda Goswami, 2005. "How sensitive are Britain's inpayments and outpayments to the value of the British pound," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 32(5), pages 455-467, October.
    6. Gianluigi Giorgioni & John Thompson, 2002. "Which volatility? The case of the exports of wheat," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(10), pages 681-684.
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    10. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Harvey, Hanafiah & Hegerty, Scott W., 2013. "The effects of exchange-rate volatility on commodity trade between the U.S. and Brazil," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 70-93.
    11. Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2005. "The saving and investment nexus for China: evidence from cointegration tests," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(17), pages 1979-1990.
    12. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Scott W. Hegerty, 2007. "Exchange rate volatility and trade flows: a review article," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 34(3), pages 211-255, August.
    13. Hock Tsen Wong, 2013. "Real exchange rate misalignment and economic growth in Malaysia," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 40(3), pages 298-313, July.
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    Cited by:

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    3. Lee, Chien-Hui & Li, Shu-Hui & Lee, Jen-Yu, 2022. "An asymmetric impact analysis of the exchange rate volatility on commodity trade between the U.S. and China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 399-415.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rate volatility; Industry level data; The U.S; The Philippines;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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