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Impact of exchange rate volatility on commodity trade between US and Hong Kong

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  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee
  • Jia Xu

Abstract

The impact of exchange rate uncertainty on trade flows is still the center of attention in international economics. A few studies that have looked at this effect in Hong Kong have used either aggregate data between Hong Kong and the rest of the world or between Hong Kong and several of her major trading partners. They have been unable to locate any significant effect. Suspecting that existing studies could suffer from aggregation bias, we concentrate on the trade between Hong Kong and the US and disaggregate their trade flows further by commodity. Out of 140 Hong Kong importing industries and 104 exporting industries considered, we find short-run effects in the majority of the industries. The short-run effects translated into the long run in 81 of Hong Kong import industries and 51 of her export industries, a finding that contradicts previous research.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Jia Xu, 2013. "Impact of exchange rate volatility on commodity trade between US and Hong Kong," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(1), pages 81-109, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:irapec:v:27:y:2013:i:1:p:81-109
    DOI: 10.1080/02692171.2012.700703
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Osama M. Badr & Ahmed F. El-khadrawi, 2018. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade: An Empirical Investigation from the Egyptian Economy," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 5(4), pages 140-149, July.
    2. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hanafiah Harvey, 2017. "Exchange rate volatility and commodity trade between the U.S. and the Philippines," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 263-291, April.
    3. Reboredo, Juan C. & Ugando, Mikel, 2014. "US dollar exchange rate and food price dependence: Implications for portfolio risk management," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 72-89.
    4. Obumneke Bob Muoneke & Kingsley Ikechukwu Okere & Favour Chidinma Onuoha, 2023. "Extreme exchange rate dynamics and export trade in the selected oil-exporting countries in Africa. Multiple asymmetric threshold non-linear ARDL approach," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(6), pages 854-877, August.
    5. Javed Iqbal & Misbah Nosheen & Mark Wohar, 2023. "Exchange rate volatility and India–US commodity trade: evidence of the third country effect," Indian Economic Review, Springer, vol. 58(2), pages 359-398, September.
    6. Jana Šimáková & Daniel Stavárek, 2015. "An Empirical Sector-Specific Gravity Model for Hungarian International Trade," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 63(6), pages 2145-2150.
    7. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Iqbal, Javed & Salam, Muhammad, 2016. "Short run and long run effects of exchange rate volatility on commodity trade between Pakistan and Japan," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 131-142.
    8. Bisharat Hussain Chang & Suresh Kumar Oad Rajput & Niaz Ahmed Bhutto, 2019. "Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on the US Exports: A New Evidence From Multiple Threshold Nonlinear ARDL Model," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 10(02), pages 1-26, June.
    9. Sharma, Chandan & Pal, Debdatta, 2018. "Exchange rate volatility and India's cross-border trade: A pooled mean group and nonlinear cointegration approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 230-246.
    10. Stephanos Papadamou & Thomas Markopoulos, 2014. "Investigating Intraday Interdependence Between Gold, Silver and Three Major Currencies: the Euro, British Pound and Japanese Yen," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 20(4), pages 399-410, November.

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