IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jrpoli/v90y2024ics0301420724000758.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Natural resources, geopolitical conflicts, and digital trade: Evidence from China

Author

Listed:
  • Shaobin, Guo
  • Ahmad, Khalil
  • Khan, Naqib Ullah

Abstract

Globally digital trade has been increasing, exerting a positive economic impact, especially in China. Therefore, it is essential to escalate the volume and pace of digital trade in China. This empirical investigation explores the impact of natural resources rent and geopolitical risk on digital trade. Moreover, the study also highlights the combined impact of natural resources and geopolitical risk on digital trade. The results from the novel FARDL approach explain that natural resources promote digital trade whereas geopolitical risk mitigates it. On top of this, the combined impact of geopolitical risk and natural resources is also adverse. Based on these critical findings, we propose many policy suggestions to improve the volume of digital trade in China.

Suggested Citation

  • Shaobin, Guo & Ahmad, Khalil & Khan, Naqib Ullah, 2024. "Natural resources, geopolitical conflicts, and digital trade: Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:90:y:2024:i:c:s0301420724000758
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.104708
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301420724000758
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.104708?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Godfred Alufar Bokpin & Lord Mensah & Michael E. Asamoah, 2015. "Foreign direct investment and natural resources in Africa," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 42(4), pages 608-621, September.
    2. Comunale, Mariarosaria, 2017. "Dutch disease, real effective exchange rate misalignments and their effect on GDP growth in EU," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PB), pages 350-370.
    3. Su, Chi Wei & Yue, Peiwen & Hou, Xinmeng & Dördüncü, Hazar, 2023. "Sustainable development through digital innovation: A new era for natural resource extraction and trade," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    4. Ronnie Figueiredo & Mohammad Soliman & Alamir N. Al-Alawi & Maria José Sousa, 2022. "The Impacts of Geopolitical Risks on the Energy Sector: Micro-Level Operative Analysis in the European Union," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-12, November.
    5. Dario Caldara & Matteo Iacoviello, 2022. "Measuring Geopolitical Risk," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(4), pages 1194-1225, April.
    6. Wang, Kai-Hua & Liu, Lu & Adebayo, Tomiwa Sunday & Lobon, Oana-Ramona & Claudia, Moldovan Nicoleta, 2021. "Fiscal decentralization, political stability and resources curse hypothesis: A case of fiscal decentralized economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    7. Inna Čábelková & Luboš Smutka & Svitlana Rotterova & Olesya Zhytna & Vít Kluger & David Mareš, 2022. "The Sustainability of International Trade: The Impact of Ongoing Military Conflicts, Infrastructure, Common Language, and Economic Wellbeing in Post-Soviet Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-14, August.
    8. Dong-Jin Pyo, 2021. "Does Geopolitical Risk Matter? Evidence from South Korea," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(1), pages 87-106, January.
    9. Su, Chi-Wei & Qin, Meng & Tao, Ran & Shao, Xue-Feng & Albu, Lucian Liviu & Umar, Muhammad, 2020. "Can Bitcoin hedge the risks of geopolitical events?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    10. Shuzhong Ma & Jiwen Guo & Hongsheng Zhang, 2019. "Policy Analysis and Development Evaluation of Digital Trade: An International Comparison," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 27(3), pages 49-75, May.
    11. Sumbal Fatima & Bateer Chen & Muhammad Ramzan & Qamar Abbas, 2020. "The Nexus Between Trade Openness and GDP Growth: Analyzing the Role of Human Capital Accumulation," SAGE Open, , vol. 10(4), pages 21582440209, November.
    12. Vikkram Singh & Eduardo Dacillo Roca, 2022. "China’s geopolitical risk and international financial markets: evidence from Canada," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(34), pages 3953-3971, July.
    13. Meng, Bing & Xue, Kunkun & Han, Miaoyi, 2022. "Digitalization, natural resources rents, and financial market risk: Evidence from G7 countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    14. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee and Hanafiah Harvey, 2017. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Its Impact on Commodity Trade Flows between Singapore and Malaysia," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 42(1), pages 17-33, March.
    15. Modgil, Sachin & Dwivedi, Yogesh K. & Rana, Nripendra P. & Gupta, Shivam & Kamble, Sachin, 2022. "Has Covid-19 accelerated opportunities for digital entrepreneurship? An Indian perspective," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    16. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Javed Iqbal & Saqib Ullah Khan, 2017. "Impact of exchange rate volatility on the commodity trade between Pakistan and the US," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 50(2), pages 161-187, May.
    17. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Marina Kovyryalova, 2008. "Impact of Exchange Rate Uncertainty on Trade Flows: Evidence from Commodity Trade between the United States and the United Kingdom," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(8), pages 1097-1128, August.
    18. Matthias Busse & Ceren Erdogan & Henning Mühlen, 2016. "China's Impact on Africa – The Role of Trade, FDI and Aid," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 69(2), pages 228-262, May.
    19. Zhang, Shaohe & Shinwari, Riazullah & Zhao, Shikuan & Dagestani, Abd Alwahed, 2023. "Energy transition, geopolitical risk, and natural resources extraction: A novel perspective of energy transition and resources extraction," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    20. Ma, Feng & Lu, Fei & Tao, Ying, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and excess stock returns predictability: New evidence from a century of data," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    21. Muhammad Ramzan & Bin Sheng & Muhammad Shahbaz & Jian Song & Zhilun Jiao, 2019. "Impact of trade openness on GDP growth: Does TFP matter?," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(8), pages 960-995, November.
    22. Shinwari, Riazullah & Yangjie, Wang & Payab, Ahmad Haseeb & Kubiczek, Jakub & Dördüncü, Hazar, 2022. "What drives investment in renewable energy resources? Evaluating the role of natural resources volatility and economic performance for China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    23. Manfred Elsig & Sebastian Klotz, 2021. "Digital Trade Rules in Preferential Trade Agreements: Is There a WTO Impact?," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 12(S4), pages 25-36, May.
    24. Riekhof, Marie-Catherine & Regnier, Esther & Quaas, Martin F., 2019. "Economic growth, international trade, and the depletion or conservation of renewable natural resources," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 116-133.
    25. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hanafiah Harvey, 2017. "Exchange rate volatility and commodity trade between the U.S. and the Philippines," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 263-291, April.
    26. Nikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2019. "A Survey on Efficiency and Profitable Trading Opportunities in Cryptocurrency Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-17, April.
    27. Nasiru Inuwa & Sagir Adamu & Mohammed Bello Sani & Haruna Usman Modibbo, 2022. "Natural resource and economic growth nexus in Nigeria: a disaggregated approach," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 17-37, April.
    28. Al Mamun, Md & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Suleman, Muhammad Tahir & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2020. "Geopolitical risk, uncertainty and Bitcoin investment," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chen, Zhiguo & Gao, Wei & Zafar, Quratulain & Dördüncü, Hazar, 2023. "Natural resources extraction and geopolitical risk: Examining oil resources extraction in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    2. Noman Ahmad & Alam Khan & Ihtisham ul Haq & Muhammad Hasnain Khalid & Seemab Ahmad, 2024. "The Impact of Terrorism on International Trade: A Panel Study for SAARC Countries," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 13(2), pages 671-676.
    3. Ben Nouir, Jihed & Ben Haj Hamida, Hayet, 2023. "How do economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk drive Bitcoin volatility?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    4. Lee, Chien-Hui & Li, Shu-Hui & Lee, Jen-Yu, 2022. "An asymmetric impact analysis of the exchange rate volatility on commodity trade between the U.S. and China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 399-415.
    5. Zhang, Yulian & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2022. "A connectedness analysis among BRICS’s geopolitical risks and the US macroeconomy," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 182-203.
    6. Long, Huaigang & Demir, Ender & Będowska-Sójka, Barbara & Zaremba, Adam & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2022. "Is geopolitical risk priced in the cross-section of cryptocurrency returns?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    7. Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2022. "Jumps in Geopolitical Risk and the Cryptocurrency Market: The Singularity of Bitcoin," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(2), pages 150-161, February.
    8. Chen, Zhuoyi & Liu, Yuanyuan & Zhang, Hongwei, 2024. "Can geopolitical risks impact the long-run correlation between crude oil and clean energy markets? Evidence from a regime-switching analysis," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    9. Tiwari, Sunil, 2024. "Impact of Fintech on natural resources management: How financial impacts shape the association?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    10. Islam, Md. Monirul & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Ahmed, Faroque, 2024. "Robot race in geopolitically risky environment: Exploring the Nexus between AI-powered tech industrial outputs and energy consumption in Singapore," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    11. Hu, Zinan & Borjigin, Sumuya, 2024. "The amplifying role of geopolitical Risks, economic policy Uncertainty, and climate risks on Energy-Stock market volatility spillover across economic cycles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    12. Pan, Lijun & Wang, Yangjie & Sun, Xiaofei & Sadiq, Muhammad & Dagestani, Abd Alwahed, 2023. "Natural resources: A determining factor of geopolitical risk in Russia? Revisiting conflict-based perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    13. Lu, Chengwu & Zafar, Muhammad Wasif & Cevik, Emrah I. & Destek, Mehmet Akif & Bugan, Mehmet Fatih, 2023. "Time and quantile domain connectedness between the geopolitical risk of China and precious metals markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    14. Kamal, Javed Bin & Wohar, Mark & Kamal, Khaled Bin, 2022. "Do gold, oil, equities, and currencies hedge economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks during covid crisis?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    15. Bashir, Muhammad Adnan & Dengfeng, Zhao & Filipiak, Beata Zofia & Bilan, Yuriy & Vasa, László, 2023. "Role of economic complexity and technological innovation for ecological footprint in newly industrialized countries: Does geothermal energy consumption matter?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    16. Rumokoy, Lawren J. & Omura, Akihiro & Roca, Eduardo, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and corporate investment in the metals and mining industry: Evidence from Australia," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    17. Zhang, Xiaojing & Chang, Hsu-Ling & Su, Chi-Wei & Qin, Meng & Umar, Muhammad, 2024. "Exploring the dynamic interaction between geopolitical risks and lithium prices: A time-varying analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    18. Wang, Haotian & Hao, Liang & Wang, Weizheng & Chen, Xingyu, 2023. "Natural resources lineage, high technology exports and economic performance: RCEP economies perspective of human capital and energy resources efficiency," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(PA).
    19. Wang, Yizhi & Lucey, Brian M. & Vigne, Samuel A. & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2022. "The Effects of Central Bank Digital Currencies News on Financial Markets," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    20. Bas, Tugba & Malki, Issam & Sivaprasad, Sheeja, 2024. "Connectedness between central bank digital currency index, financial stability and digital assets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:90:y:2024:i:c:s0301420724000758. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/30467 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.