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Multi-period experimental asset markets with distinct fundamental value regimes

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  • Thomas Stöckl
  • Jürgen Huber
  • Michael Kirchler

Abstract

In this methodological study we analyze price adjustment processes in multi-period laboratory asset markets with five distinct fundamental value $$(\hbox {FV})$$ ( FV ) regimes in a unified framework. Minimizing the effect of between-treatment variations we run markets with deterministically decreasing, constant, randomly fluctuating and—as main innovation—markets with deterministically increasing $$\hbox {FV}$$ FV s. We find (i) efficient pricing in markets with constant $$\hbox {FV}$$ FV s, (ii) overvaluation in markets with decreasing $$\hbox {FV}$$ FV s, and (iii) undervaluation in markets with increasing $$\hbox {FV}$$ FV s. (iv) Markets with randomly fluctuating fundamentals show overvaluation when $$\hbox {FV}$$ FV s predominantly decline and undervaluation when $$\hbox {FV}$$ FV s are mostly upward-sloping. Finally, we document that (v) bid-ask spreads and volatility of price changes are positively correlated with mispricing across regimes. The main contribution of the paper is to provide clean comparisons between distinct $$\hbox {FV}$$ FV regimes, in particular between markets with increasing $$\hbox {FV}$$ FV s and other regimes. Copyright Economic Science Association 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas Stöckl & Jürgen Huber & Michael Kirchler, 2015. "Multi-period experimental asset markets with distinct fundamental value regimes," Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 18(2), pages 314-334, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:expeco:v:18:y:2015:i:2:p:314-334
    DOI: 10.1007/s10683-014-9404-1
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Experimental finance; Asset market; Bubble; Market efficiency; Fundamental value; C92; D84; G10;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C92 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Group Behavior
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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