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Cash inflow and trading horizon in asset markets

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  • Razen, Michael
  • Huber, Jürgen
  • Kirchler, Michael

Abstract

It is conjectured that one of the major ingredients of historic financial bubbles was the inflow of money in various forms. We run 36 laboratory asset markets to investigate the joint effect of cash inflow and trading horizon on price efficiency. We show that markets with cash inflow and long trading horizon exhibit bubbles and crashes. We also observe that markets with extended trading horizon but without cash inflow and markets with shorter trading horizon do not trigger bubbles. Finally, we report that beliefs about prices and, importantly, about (constant) fundamentals follow bubble patterns as well.

Suggested Citation

  • Razen, Michael & Huber, Jürgen & Kirchler, Michael, 2017. "Cash inflow and trading horizon in asset markets," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 359-384.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:eecrev:v:92:y:2017:i:c:p:359-384
    DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2016.11.010
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    Cited by:

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    6. Armando Holzknecht & Jürgen Huber & Michael Kirchler & Tibor Neugebauer, 2024. "Speculating in zero-value assets: The greater fool game experiment," Working Papers 2024-09, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck.
    7. Dieci, Roberto & Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank H., 2022. "Boom-bust cycles and asset market participation waves: Momentum, value, risk and herding," BERG Working Paper Series 177, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
    8. Steiger, Sören & Pelster, Matthias, 2020. "Social interactions and asset pricing bubbles," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 503-522.
    9. Hoyer, Karlijn & Zeisberger, Stefan & Breugelmans, Seger M. & Zeelenberg, Marcel, 2023. "A culture of greed: Bubble formation in experimental asset markets with greedy and non-greedy traders," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 32-52.
    10. Lambrecht, Marco & Sofianos, Andis & Xu, Yilong, 2020. "Does mining fuel bubbles? An experimental study on cryptocurrency markets," Working Papers 0690, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
    11. Darby, Julia & Zhang, Hai & Zhang, Jinkai, 2021. "Institutional trading in volatile markets: Evidence from Chinese stock markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
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    13. Steven Tucker & Yilong Xu, 2024. "Nonspeculative Bubbles Revisited," Working Papers in Economics 24/01, University of Waikato.
    14. Tucker, Steven & Xu, Yilong, 2024. "Nonspeculative bubbles revisited," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    15. Christoph Huber & Parampreet C. Bindra & Daniel Kleinlercher, 2019. "Design-features of bubble-prone experimental asset markets with a constant FV," Journal of the Economic Science Association, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 5(2), pages 197-209, December.
    16. Giamattei, Marcus & Huber, Jürgen & Lambsdorff, Johann Graf & Nicklisch, Andreas & Palan, Stefan, 2020. "Who inflates the bubble? Forecasters and traders in experimental asset markets," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Experimental finance; Cash inflow; Trading horizon; Backward induction; Asset market; Price efficiency;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C92 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Group Behavior
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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