IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/compec/v63y2024i6d10.1007_s10614-023-10400-8.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Two-Stage Hybrid Feature Selection Approach Using Levy’s Flight Based Chicken Swarm Optimization for Stock Market Forecasting

Author

Listed:
  • Satya Verma

    (National Institute of Technology)

  • Satya Prakash Sahu

    (National Institute of Technology)

  • Tirath Prasad Sahu

    (National Institute of Technology)

Abstract

Stock market forecasting is done by analyzing multivariate financial time series generated through technical analysis. However, high-dimensional data deteriorates the prediction performance due to irrelevant features that lead to higher computational costs. Feature selection is used to reduce data dimensionality and select the most informative features. A two-stage hybrid feature selection method is proposed to improve the performance of the forecasting model. In the first stage, a way to aggregate multiple filter methods is introduced as Multi-Filter Feature Selection (MFFS). Three filter methods are used for MFFS to scan the dataset from different aspects. In the second stage, Levy’s Flight-based Chicken Swarm Optimization (LFCSO) is proposed. Levy’s flight is introduced to update the position of Chickens to handle local optima and early convergence. The proposed MFFS reduces the computational cost by filtering the ambiguous features with reduced computational load for the second stage. Deep learning models are used for forecasting using a reduced feature set. Extensive experiments have been performed with three stock indices. The proposed model is assessed against the feature subsets obtained under different scenarios. Performance validation is done by comparing the proposed model and the existing work based on various performance metrics. The experimental result shows that the proposed model outperforms the existing models.

Suggested Citation

  • Satya Verma & Satya Prakash Sahu & Tirath Prasad Sahu, 2024. "Two-Stage Hybrid Feature Selection Approach Using Levy’s Flight Based Chicken Swarm Optimization for Stock Market Forecasting," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(6), pages 2193-2224, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:compec:v:63:y:2024:i:6:d:10.1007_s10614-023-10400-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s10614-023-10400-8
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10614-023-10400-8
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10614-023-10400-8?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Y.C. Ho & D.L. Pepyne, 2002. "Simple Explanation of the No-Free-Lunch Theorem and Its Implications," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 115(3), pages 549-570, December.
    2. Mojtaba Sedighi & Hossein Jahangirnia & Mohsen Gharakhani & Saeed Farahani Fard, 2019. "A Novel Hybrid Model for Stock Price Forecasting Based on Metaheuristics and Support Vector Machine," Data, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-28, May.
    3. Basak, Suryoday & Kar, Saibal & Saha, Snehanshu & Khaidem, Luckyson & Dey, Sudeepa Roy, 2019. "Predicting the direction of stock market prices using tree-based classifiers," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 552-567.
    4. Mojtaba Nabipour & Pooyan Nayyeri & Hamed Jabani & Amir Mosavi, 2020. "Deep learning for Stock Market Prediction," Papers 2004.01497, arXiv.org.
    5. Akhter Mohiuddin Rather & V. N. Sastry & Arun Agarwal, 2017. "Stock market prediction and Portfolio selection models: a survey," OPSEARCH, Springer;Operational Research Society of India, vol. 54(3), pages 558-579, September.
    6. Taewook Kim & Ha Young Kim, 2019. "Forecasting stock prices with a feature fusion LSTM-CNN model using different representations of the same data," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(2), pages 1-23, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hakan Gunduz, 2021. "An efficient stock market prediction model using hybrid feature reduction method based on variational autoencoders and recursive feature elimination," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-24, December.
    2. Fateme Shahabi Nejad & Mohammad Mehdi Ebadzadeh, 2023. "Stock market forecasting using DRAGAN and feature matching," Papers 2301.05693, arXiv.org.
    3. Catalin Stoean & Wiesław Paja & Ruxandra Stoean & Adrian Sandita, 2019. "Deep architectures for long-term stock price prediction with a heuristic-based strategy for trading simulations," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(10), pages 1-19, October.
    4. Baoqiang Zhan & Shu Zhang & Helen S. Du & Xiaoguang Yang, 2022. "Exploring Statistical Arbitrage Opportunities Using Machine Learning Strategy," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 60(3), pages 861-882, October.
    5. Henriques, Irene & Sadorsky, Perry, 2023. "Forecasting rare earth stock prices with machine learning," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    6. Hernán Peraza-Vázquez & Adrián Peña-Delgado & Prakash Ranjan & Chetan Barde & Arvind Choubey & Ana Beatriz Morales-Cepeda, 2021. "A Bio-Inspired Method for Mathematical Optimization Inspired by Arachnida Salticidade," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-32, December.
    7. Yugo Fujimoto & Kei Nakagawa & Kentaro Imajo & Kentaro Minami, 2022. "Uncertainty Aware Trader-Company Method: Interpretable Stock Price Prediction Capturing Uncertainty," Papers 2210.17030, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2022.
    8. Zouhaier Dhifaoui, 2022. "Determinism and Non-linear Behaviour of Log-return and Conditional Volatility: Empirical Analysis for 26 Stock Markets," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 11(1), pages 69-94, June.
    9. Yiyang Zheng, 2022. "Neural Network and Order Flow, Technical Analysis: Predicting short-term direction of futures contract," Papers 2203.12457, arXiv.org.
    10. Huang, Wenyang & Zhao, Jianyu & Wang, Xiaokang, 2024. "Model-driven multimodal LSTM-CNN for unbiased structural forecasting of European Union allowances open-high-low-close price," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    11. Wang, Jianzhou & Lv, Mengzheng & Wang, Shuai & Gao, Jialu & Zhao, Yang & Wang, Qiangqiang, 2024. "Can multi-period auto-portfolio systems improve returns? Evidence from Chinese and U.S. stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    12. Zeynep Cipiloglu Yildiz & Selim Baha Yildiz, 2022. "A portfolio construction framework using LSTM‐based stock markets forecasting," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2356-2366, April.
    13. Zekharya Danin & Abhishek Sharma & Moshe Averbukh & Arabinda Meher, 2022. "Improved Moth Flame Optimization Approach for Parameter Estimation of Induction Motor," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-13, November.
    14. Saqib Farid & Rubeena Tashfeen & Tahseen Mohsan & Arsal Burhan, 2023. "Forecasting stock prices using a data mining method: Evidence from emerging market," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1911-1917, April.
    15. Supriya Bajpai, 2021. "Application of deep reinforcement learning for Indian stock trading automation," Papers 2106.16088, arXiv.org.
    16. Damian Ślusarczyk & Robert Ślepaczuk, 2023. "Optimal Markowitz Portfolio Using Returns Forecasted with Time Series and Machine Learning Models," Working Papers 2023-17, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
    17. S. Divyashree & Christy Jackson Joshua & Abdul Quadir Md & Senthilkumar Mohan & A. Sheik Abdullah & Ummul Hanan Mohamad & Nisreen Innab & Ali Ahmadian, 2024. "Enabling business sustainability for stock market data using machine learning and deep learning approaches," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 342(1), pages 287-322, November.
    18. Felipe Cisternas-Caneo & Broderick Crawford & Ricardo Soto & Giovanni Giachetti & Álex Paz & Alvaro Peña Fritz, 2024. "Chaotic Binarization Schemes for Solving Combinatorial Optimization Problems Using Continuous Metaheuristics," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-39, January.
    19. Rui Zhang & Zhen Guo & Yujie Meng & Songwang Wang & Shaoqiong Li & Ran Niu & Yu Wang & Qing Guo & Yonghong Li, 2021. "Comparison of ARIMA and LSTM in Forecasting the Incidence of HFMD Combined and Uncombined with Exogenous Meteorological Variables in Ningbo, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(11), pages 1-14, June.
    20. Pawan Kumar Singh & Anushka Chouhan & Rajiv Kumar Bhatt & Ravi Kiran & Ansari Saleh Ahmar, 2022. "Implementation of the SutteARIMA method to predict short-term cases of stock market and COVID-19 pandemic in USA," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 2023-2033, August.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:compec:v:63:y:2024:i:6:d:10.1007_s10614-023-10400-8. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.