IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/compec/v56y2020i4d10.1007_s10614-019-09956-1.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Optimization of Backtesting Techniques in Automated High Frequency Trading Systems Using the d-Backtest PS Method

Author

Listed:
  • D. Th. Vezeris

    (Democritus University of Thrace)

  • C. J. Schinas

    (Democritus University of Thrace)

  • Th. S. Kyrgos

    (COSMOS4U)

  • V. A. Bizergianidou

    (Democritus University of Thrace)

  • I. P. Karkanis

    (COSMOS4U)

Abstract

Trading strategies intended for high frequency trading in Forex markets are executed by cutting-edge automated trading systems. Such systems implement algorithmic trading strategies and are configured with predefined optimized parameters in order to generate entry and exit orders and execute trades on trading platforms. Three high-frequency automated trading systems were developed in the current research, using the MACD (oscillator), the SMA (moving average) and the PIVOT points (price crossover) technical indicators. The systems traded on hourly time frames, employing historical data of closing prices and the parameter optimization for each system was done using the d-Backtest PS method over weekly periods. With this work we intend to extend the methods of parameter selection for automated trading systems in high frequency trading. Through this research and the interpretation and evaluation of its results, we conclude that backtesting parameters’ optimization, especially through the d-Backtest PS method, is much more profitable than the default values of the parameters and that the optimization of parameters yields the highest profits through the implementation of restrictive relationships among them. It is also observed that the selection of the most profitable parameters of a trading system can be unrestricted, rendering the validation of the minor divergence occurring among slightly varying prices redundant. Meanwhile, other conclusions that can be drawn are that the most profitable classification system employed by the d-Backtest PS method is calibrated by means of two validation periods and that the most efficient profitability ratio between historical data period and validation period is 6:1 (in- and out-of-the-sample ratio).

Suggested Citation

  • D. Th. Vezeris & C. J. Schinas & Th. S. Kyrgos & V. A. Bizergianidou & I. P. Karkanis, 2020. "Optimization of Backtesting Techniques in Automated High Frequency Trading Systems Using the d-Backtest PS Method," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(4), pages 975-1054, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:compec:v:56:y:2020:i:4:d:10.1007_s10614-019-09956-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s10614-019-09956-1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10614-019-09956-1
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10614-019-09956-1?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bertrand Candelon & Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2011. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-Based Test," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 9(2), pages 314-343, Spring.
    2. Escanciano, Juan Carlos & Pei, Pei, 2012. "Pitfalls in backtesting Historical Simulation VaR models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 2233-2244.
    3. Paul Ehling & Michael Gallmeyer & Sanjay Srivastava & Stathis Tompaidis & Chunyu Yang, 2018. "Portfolio Tax Trading with Carryover Losses," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 64(9), pages 4156-4176, September.
    4. Comelli, Fabio, 2012. "Emerging market sovereign bond spreads: Estimation and back-testing," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 598-625.
    5. Thor Pajhede, 2015. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A Generalized Markov Framework," Discussion Papers 15-18, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
    6. Björn Fastrich & Peter Winker, 2014. "Combining Forecasts with Missing Data: Making Use of Portfolio Theory," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 44(2), pages 127-152, August.
    7. Kevin Dowd & Andrew Cairns & David Blake & Guy Coughlan & David Epstein & Marwa Khalaf-Allah, 2010. "Backtesting Stochastic Mortality Models," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(3), pages 281-298.
    8. Christopher S Kirk, 2014. "Integration of a Predictive, Continuous Time Neural Network into Securities Market Trading Operations," Papers 1406.0968, arXiv.org.
    9. Dang Minh Quan, 2016. "Best statistic profile: an efficient parameter tuning algorithm for systematic trading methods," International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 6(4), pages 337-350.
    10. Holt, Charles C., 2004. "Author's retrospective on 'Forecasting seasonals and trends by exponentially weighted moving averages'," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 11-13.
    11. Wong, Woon K., 2008. "Backtesting trading risk of commercial banks using expected shortfall," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(7), pages 1404-1415, July.
    12. Holt, Charles C., 2004. "Forecasting seasonals and trends by exponentially weighted moving averages," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 5-10.
    13. Mr. Fabio Comelli, 2012. "Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads: Estimation and Back-testing," IMF Working Papers 2012/212, International Monetary Fund.
    14. Cornaglia, Anna & Morone, Marco, 2009. "Rating philosophy and dynamic properties of internal rating systems: A general framework and an application to backtesting," MPRA Paper 14711, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Escanciano, Juan Carlos & Pei, Pei, 2012. "Pitfalls in backtesting Historical Simulation VaR models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 2233-2244.
    16. Escanciano, J. Carlos & Olmo, Jose, 2010. "Backtesting Parametric Value-at-Risk With Estimation Risk," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 28(1), pages 36-51.
    17. G Castermans & D Martens & T Van Gestel & B Hamers & B Baesens, 2010. "An overview and framework for PD backtesting and benchmarking," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 61(3), pages 359-373, March.
    18. Andreas Karathanasopoulos, 2016. "Modelling and trading the English stock market with novelty optimization techniques," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 5(2), pages 50-57.
    19. Robert Low & Stanislaus Maier-Paape & Andreas Platen, 2015. "Correctness of Backtest Engines," Papers 1509.08248, arXiv.org.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lazar, Emese & Zhang, Ning, 2019. "Model risk of expected shortfall," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 74-93.
    2. Boucher, Christophe M. & Daníelsson, Jón & Kouontchou, Patrick S. & Maillet, Bertrand B., 2014. "Risk models-at-risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 72-92.
    3. Juan Carlos Escanciano & Zaichao Du, 2015. "Backtesting Expected Shortfall: Accounting for Tail Risk," CAEPR Working Papers 2015-001, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    4. Nieto, Maria Rosa & Ruiz, Esther, 2016. "Frontiers in VaR forecasting and backtesting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 475-501.
    5. Zaichao Du & Juan Carlos Escanciano, 2017. "Backtesting Expected Shortfall: Accounting for Tail Risk," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(4), pages 940-958, April.
    6. repec:dau:papers:123456789/15232 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. James Ming Chen, 2018. "On Exactitude in Financial Regulation: Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall, and Expectiles," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-28, June.
    8. Benjamin R. Auer & Benjamin Mögel, 2016. "How Accurate are Modern Value-at-Risk Estimators Derived from Extreme Value Theory?," CESifo Working Paper Series 6288, CESifo.
    9. Benjamin Mögel & Benjamin R. Auer, 2018. "How accurate are modern Value-at-Risk estimators derived from extreme value theory?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 50(4), pages 979-1030, May.
    10. Radu Tunaru, 2015. "Model Risk in Financial Markets:From Financial Engineering to Risk Management," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 9524, August.
    11. Ziggel, Daniel & Berens, Tobias & Weiß, Gregor N.F. & Wied, Dominik, 2014. "A new set of improved Value-at-Risk backtests," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 29-41.
    12. Jean-Paul Laurent & Hassan Omidi Firouzi, 2022. "Market Risk and Volatility Weighted Historical Simulation After Basel III," Working Papers hal-03679434, HAL.
    13. Yuxin Zhang & Yifei Yang & Xiaosi Li & Zijing Yuan & Yuki Todo & Haichuan Yang, 2023. "A Dendritic Neuron Model Optimized by Meta-Heuristics with a Power-Law-Distributed Population Interaction Network for Financial Time-Series Forecasting," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-20, March.
    14. Simona Mikšíková & David Ulčák & František Kuda, 2022. "Analysis of Malfunctions in Selected Parking Systems in the Czech Republic," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-10, February.
    15. Liu, Che & Sun, Bo & Zhang, Chenghui & Li, Fan, 2020. "A hybrid prediction model for residential electricity consumption using holt-winters and extreme learning machine," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    16. Gary S. Anderson & Alena Audzeyeva, 2019. "A Coherent Framework for Predicting Emerging Market Credit Spreads with Support Vector Regression," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-074, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    17. Hossein Yousefi & Mohammad Hasan Ghodusinejad & Armin Ghodrati, 2022. "Multi-Criteria Future Energy System Planning and Analysis for Hot Arid Areas of Iran," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(24), pages 1-25, December.
    18. Ashima Goyal & Akhilesh K. Verma & Rajeswari Sengupta, 2022. "External shocks, cross-border flows and macroeconomic risks in emerging market economies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(5), pages 2111-2148, May.
    19. Dyna Heng & Anna Ivanova & Rodrigo Mariscal & Ms. Uma Ramakrishnan & Joyce Wong, 2016. "Advancing Financial Development in Latin America and the Caribbean," IMF Working Papers 2016/081, International Monetary Fund.
    20. Agur, Itai & Chan, Melissa & Goswami, Mangal & Sharma, Sunil, 2019. "On international integration of emerging sovereign bond markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 347-363.
    21. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2016. "The implications of monetary expansion in China for the US dollar," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 71-84.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:compec:v:56:y:2020:i:4:d:10.1007_s10614-019-09956-1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.