IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/annfin/v18y2022i3d10.1007_s10436-022-00410-1.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Dynamic optimal hedge ratio design when price and production are stochastic with jump

Author

Listed:
  • Nyassoke Titi Gaston Clément

    (Université de Douala)

  • Sadefo Kamdem Jules

    (Université Montpellier)

  • Fono Louis Aimé

    (Laboratoire de Mathématique-Université de Douala)

Abstract

In this paper, we focus on the farmer’s risk income when using commodity futures, when price and output processes are randomly correlated and represented by jump-diffusion models. We evaluate the expected utility of the farmer’s wealth and determine the optimal consumption rate and hedging position at each point in time given the harvest timing and state variables. We find a closed form for the optimal consumption and positioning rate in the case of an investor with CARA utility. This result (see Table 3.3) is a generalization of the result of Ho (J Financ 39:351–376, 1984), which considers the special case in which price and output are diffusion models.

Suggested Citation

  • Nyassoke Titi Gaston Clément & Sadefo Kamdem Jules & Fono Louis Aimé, 2022. "Dynamic optimal hedge ratio design when price and production are stochastic with jump," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 419-428, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:annfin:v:18:y:2022:i:3:d:10.1007_s10436-022-00410-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s10436-022-00410-1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10436-022-00410-1
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10436-022-00410-1?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Karp, Larry S, 1988. "Dynamic Hedging with Uncertain Production," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 29(4), pages 621-637, November.
    2. Harvey Lapan & Giancarlo Moschini & Steven D. Hanson, 1991. "Production, Hedging, and Speculative Decisions with Options and Futures Markets," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 73(1), pages 66-74.
    3. Olivier Mahul, 2000. "Optimum crop insurance under joint yield and price risk," Post-Print hal-01952116, HAL.
    4. Moschini, Giancarlo & Hennessy, David A., 2001. "Uncertainty, risk aversion, and risk management for agricultural producers," Handbook of Agricultural Economics, in: B. L. Gardner & G. C. Rausser (ed.), Handbook of Agricultural Economics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 2, pages 88-153, Elsevier.
    5. Yong Sakong & Dermot J. Hayes & Arne Hallam, 1993. "Hedging Production Risk With Options," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 75(2), pages 408-415.
    6. Marcus, Alan J & Modest, David M, 1984. "Futures Markets and Production Decisions," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 92(3), pages 409-426, June.
    7. Larry S. Karp, 1987. "Methods for Selecting the Optimal Dynamic Hedge When Production is Stochastic," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 69(3), pages 647-657.
    8. Lioui, Abraham & Poncet, Patrice, 1996. "Optimal hedging in a dynamic futures market with a nonnegativity constraint on wealth," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 20(6-7), pages 1101-1113.
    9. Harvey Lapan & Giancarlo Moschini, 1994. "Futures Hedging Under Price, Basis, and Production Risk," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 76(3), pages 465-477.
    10. Abraham Lioui & Patrice Poncet, 2003. "General equilibrium pricing of nonredundant forward contracts," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(9), pages 817-840, September.
    11. Anderson, Ronald W & Danthine, Jean-Pierre, 1980. "Hedging and Joint Production: Theory and Illustrations," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 35(2), pages 487-498, May.
    12. Olivier Mahul & Dominique Vermersch, 2000. "Hedging crop risk with yield insurance futures and options [Contrats à terme et options comme couverture de risques sur récoltes]," Post-Print hal-02690691, HAL.
    13. Hey, John D, 1987. "The Dynamic Competitive Firm under Spot Price Uncertainty," The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, University of Manchester, vol. 55(1), pages 1-12, March.
    14. I Mahul & D Vermersch, 2000. "Hedging crop risk with yield insurance futures and options," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 27(2), pages 109-126, June.
    15. G Lien & JB Hardaker, 2001. "Whole-farm planning under uncertainty: impacts of subsidy scheme and utility function on portfolio choice in Norwegian agriculture," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 28(1), pages 17-36, March.
    16. Rolfo, Jacques, 1980. "Optimal Hedging under Price and Quantity Uncertainty: The Case of a Cocoa Producer," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 88(1), pages 100-116, February.
    17. Ronald W. Anderson & Jean-Pierre Danthine, 1983. "The Time Pattern of Hedging and the Volatility of Futures Prices," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 50(2), pages 249-266.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nyassoke Titi Gaston Clément & Jules Sadefo-Kamdem & Louis Aimé Fono, 2019. "Dynamic Optimal Hedge Ratio Design when Price and Production are stochastic with Jump," Working Papers hal-02417401, HAL.
    2. Sergio H. Lence & Dermot J. Hayes & Yong Sakong, 1994. "Multiperiod Production with Forward and Option Markets," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 76(2), pages 286-295.
    3. Olaf Korn & Alexander Merz, 2019. "How to hedge if the payment date is uncertain?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(4), pages 481-498, April.
    4. Moschini, GianCarlo & Myers, Robert J., 2002. "Testing for constant hedge ratios in commodity markets: a multivariate GARCH approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(5), pages 589-603, December.
    5. Anderson, Jock R., 2003. "Risk in rural development: challenges for managers and policy makers," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 75(2-3), pages 161-197.
    6. CARPENTIER, Alain & GOHIN, Alexandre & SCKOKAI, Paolo & THOMAS, Alban, 2015. "Economic modelling of agricultural production: past advances and new challenges," Review of Agricultural and Environmental Studies - Revue d'Etudes en Agriculture et Environnement (RAEStud), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA), vol. 96(1), March.
    7. Sergio H. Lence & Dermot J. Hayes, 1995. "Optimal Hedging Under Forward‐Looking Behaviour," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 71(4), pages 329-342, December.
    8. Coble, Keith H. & Heifner, Richard G. & Zuniga, Manuel, 2000. "Implications Of Crop Yield And Revenue Insurance For Producer Hedging," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 25(2), pages 1-21, December.
    9. Songjiao Chen & William Wilson & Ryan Larsen & Bruce Dahl, 2016. "Risk Management for Grain Processors and “Copulas”," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 64(2), pages 365-382, June.
    10. Felipe Aldunate & Jaime Casassus, 2012. "Consumption and Hedging in Oil†Importing Developing Countries," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 18(5), pages 896-928, November.
    11. Joost M.E. Pennings & Raymond M. Leuthold, 1999. "Futures Exchange Innovations: Reinforcement versus Cannibalism," Finance 9905003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Bokusheva, Raushan & Breustedt, Gunnar & Heidelbach, Olaf, 2006. "Measurement and Comparison of Risk Reduction by Means of Farm Yield, Area Yield, and Weather Index Crop Insurance Schemes - The Case of Kazakhstani Wheat Farms," 2006 Annual Meeting, August 12-18, 2006, Queensland, Australia 25523, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    13. Wilson, William W. & Wagner, Robert & Nganje, William E., 2003. "Strategic Hedging For Grain Processors," Agribusiness & Applied Economics Report 23637, North Dakota State University, Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics.
    14. Wojciechowski, Jan & Ames, Glenn C. W. & Turner, Steven C. & Miller, Bill R., 2000. "Marketing of Cotton Fiber in the Presence of Yield and Price Risk," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 32(3), pages 521-529, December.
    15. Sigl, Lukas & Hirschauer, Norbert, 2024. "The hedging efficiency of wheat futures in various types of farms in Germany," SocArXiv pvq9t, Center for Open Science.
    16. Carter, Colin A. & Schaefer, K. Aleks & Scheitrum, Daniel, 2021. "Raising cane: Hedging calamity in Australian sugar," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 21(C).
    17. Xing, Liu & Pietola, Kyosti, 2005. "Forward Hedging Under Price and Production Risk of Wheat," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24467, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    18. Bokusheva, R. & Breustedt, G. & Heidelbach, O., 2007. "Reducing asymmetric information by alternative crop insurance schemes – Testing risk reduction of individual and index-based contracts," Proceedings “Schriften der Gesellschaft für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften des Landbaues e.V.”, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA), vol. 42, March.
    19. Lence, Sergio Horacio, 1991. "Dynamic firm behavior under uncertainty," ISU General Staff Papers 1991010108000010656, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    20. Tomek, William G. & Peterson, Hikaru Hanawa, 2000. "Risk Management in Agricultural Markets: A Survey," Staff Papers 121140, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:annfin:v:18:y:2022:i:3:d:10.1007_s10436-022-00410-1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.