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What determines the share of non-resident public debt ownership? Evidence from Euro Area countries

Author

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  • João Tovar Jalles

    (Nova School of Business and Economics
    ISEG Technical University of Lisbon)

Abstract

This paper provides, for the first time, a detailed picture of the composition of public debt by type of holder (foreign vs. domestic) and type of holding institution for a set of 7 Euro Area countries between 1991Q1 and 2015Q4. In addition, it empirically inspects the determinants of nonresident public debt ownership, accounting for both domestic and external factors and paying special attention to the global financial crisis period. Using a previously unexplored dataset and by means of panel and country-specific time series regressions, we find that improved fiscal positions, systemic stress and financial volatility, a strong business cycle position, all increase share of public debt held by non-residents. Also, a higher share of monetary and financial institutions cross-border holdings of sovereign debt issued by the other Euro Area countries was correlated with higher share of public debt held by non-residents. Finally, results are robust to outliers inspection and other sensitivity checks.

Suggested Citation

  • João Tovar Jalles, 2018. "What determines the share of non-resident public debt ownership? Evidence from Euro Area countries," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 14(3), pages 379-414, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:annfin:v:14:y:2018:i:3:d:10.1007_s10436-018-0321-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s10436-018-0321-8
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    Cited by:

    1. Larkin, John & Anderson, PJ & Furlong, Sean, 2019. "The Irish Government Bond Market and Quantitative Easing," Quarterly Bulletin Articles, Central Bank of Ireland, pages 78-100, April.
    2. Guglielmo D'Amico & Filippo Petroni & Philippe Regnault & Stefania Scocchera & Loriano Storchi, 2019. "A copula based Markov Reward approach to the credit spread in European Union," Papers 1902.00691, arXiv.org.
    3. Robin Brooks & Jonathan Pingle, 2022. "The Euro Area Periphery Debt Conundrum," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 57(5), pages 283-287, September.
    4. Agnello, Luca & Castro, Vítor & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2021. "On the duration of sovereign ratings cycle phases," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 512-526.
    5. Agnello, Luca & Castro, Vítor & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2022. "On the international co-movement of natural interest rates," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sovereign debt; Central bank; Financial markets; Monetary and financial institutions; Europe;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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