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The Effect of Interest-Rate Movements on Real Estate Investment Trusts

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Abstract

The rising interest-rate environment in early 1994 in the United States raised questions by investors as to how REITs will react to interest-rate movements. This study analyzes the movement of REIT price changes during past interest-rate cycles. The results indicate that REIT price movements have a low correlation with changes in interest rates and a lower correlation with interest rates than with movements in the stock market as a whole. The findings lead to a call for research into other areas in order to ascertain the determinants of REIT price movement.

Suggested Citation

  • Glenn R. Mueller & Keith R. Pauley, 1995. "The Effect of Interest-Rate Movements on Real Estate Investment Trusts," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 10(3), pages 319-326.
    • Handle: RePEc:jre:issued:v:10:n:3:1995:p:319-326
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. K.C. Chen & Daniel D. Tzang, 1988. "Interest-Rate Sensitivity of Real Estate Investment Trusts," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 3(3), pages 13-22.
    2. Joseph Gyourko & Donald B. Keim, 1992. "What Does the Stock Market Tell Us About Real Estate Returns?," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 20(3), pages 457-485, September.
    3. Joseph Gyourko & Donald B. Keim, "undated". "What Does the Stock Market Tell Us About Real Estate Returns? (Revision of 18-91) (Reprint 030)," Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers 11-92, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research.
    4. Rakesh Bharati & Manoj Gupta, 1992. "Asset Allocation and Predictability of Real Estate Returns," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 7(4), pages 469-484.
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    Cited by:

    1. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Asli Yuksel & Aydin Yuksel, 2020. "The US Term Structure and Return Volatility in Global REIT Markets," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 24(3), pages 84-109, September.
    2. repec:ire:issued:v:21:n:03:2018:p:367-388 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Chien‐Yun Chang & Jian‐Hsin Chou & Hung‐Gay Fung, 2012. "Time dependent behavior of the Asian and the US REITs around the subprime crisis," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 30(3), pages 282-303, April.
    4. Lucia Gibilaro & Gianluca Mattarocci, 2018. "Financing Decisions of REITs and the Switching Effect," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 21(3), pages 367-396.
    5. Alexey Akimov & Simon Stevenson, 2013. "Securitised Real Estate Regime-Switching Behaviour and the Relationship with Market Interest Rates," ERES eres2013_346, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    6. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Asli Yuksel & Aydin Yuksel, 2020. "The US Term Structure and Return Volatility in Global REIT Markets," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 24(3), pages 84-109, September.
    7. W. Scott Frame & Eva Steiner, 2022. "Quantitative easing and agency MBS investment and financing choices by mortgage REITs," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 50(4), pages 931-965, December.
    8. Hui-Na Lin & Wo-Chiang Lee, 2015. "Threshold Effects in the Relationships of REITs and Other Financial Securities in Developed Countries," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 5(3), pages 426-438, March.
    9. Liang Su & Li Lin & Shaozhen Chen & Lin Li, 2018. "Effect Analysis of Real Estate Price and Monetary Policy: An Empirical Study Based on China Macroeconomic Data," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 5(2), pages 158-167, March.
    10. Kuang-Liang Chang & Nan-Kuang Chen & Charles Leung, 2011. "Monetary Policy, Term Structure and Asset Return: Comparing REIT, Housing and Stock," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 43(1), pages 221-257, July.
    11. Paul Goebel & David Harrison & Jeffrey Mercer & Ryan Whitby, 2013. "REIT Momentum and Characteristic-Related REIT Returns," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 47(3), pages 564-581, October.
    12. Adilieme Chibuikem & Umeh Obinna, 2020. "Sensitivity of Real Estate Investment Return to Market Return Index: The Case of Nigerian Real Estate Investment Trusts," Baltic Journal of Real Estate Economics and Construction Management, Sciendo, vol. 8(1), pages 197-207, January.
    13. Conlin Lizieri & Steven Satchell & Elaine Worzala & Roberto Dacco', 1998. "Real Interest Regimes and Real Estate Performance: A Comparison of UK and US Markets," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 16(3), pages 339-356.
    14. Devaney, Michael, 2001. "Time varying risk premia for real estate investment trusts: A GARCH-M model," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 335-346.
    15. Chris Brooks & Sotiris Tsolacos, 2001. "International Evidence of the Predictability of Prices of Securititised Real Estate Assets: Econometric Models versus Neural Networks," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2001-08, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
    16. Chee Seng Cheong & Patrick J. Wilson & Ralf Zurbruegg, 2009. "An analysis of the long‐run impact of fixed income and equity market performance on Australian and UK securitised property markets," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 27(3), pages 259-276, April.
    17. Wu, Ming-Che & Wang, Chien-Ming, 2024. "Revisiting the nexus of REITs returns and macroeconomic variables," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    18. Cheong, Chee Seng & Gerlach, Richard & Stevenson, Simon & Wilson, Patrick J. & Zurbruegg, Ralf, 2009. "Equity and fixed income markets as drivers of securitised real estate," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 103-111, April.
    19. Ramzi Tarazi & Mohammad Zahid Hasan, 2019. "The Effect of Economic and Fundamental Factors on the Australian Property Performance," Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance (AAMJAF), Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia, vol. 15(2), pages 155-184.
    20. Don Bredin & Gerard O’Reilly & Simon Stevenson, 2007. "Monetary Shocks and REIT Returns," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 315-331, October.
    21. Pierpaolo Pattitoni & Barbara Petracci & Massimo Spisni, 2012. "REIT modified duration and convexity," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 1(3), pages 1-7.
    22. Miao Jia, 2016. "The Long-Run Effects of the Fed’s Monetary Policy on the Dynamics among Major Asset Classes," International Journal of Management and Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, vol. 51(1), pages 9-19, September.
    23. Chee Seng Cheong & Richard Gerlach & Simon Stevenson & Patrick J. Wilson & Ralf Zurbruegg, 2009. "Equity and fixed income markets as drivers of securitised real estate," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 18(2), pages 103-111, April.
    24. Kim, k. & Suh, s. & Feridun, M., 2006. "Real State Business Cycle and Real Estate Policies: The Case of Korea," Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 6(1).
    25. Versmissen, J. & Zietz, J., 2017. "Is there a leverage target for REITs?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 57-69.

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    JEL classification:

    • L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services

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