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Taking Stock of the EU Fiscal Rules over the Past 20 Years and Options for Reform

Author

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  • Kamps Christophe

    (European Central Bank, Sonnemannstrasse 20, Frankfurt60314, Germany)

  • Leiner-Killinger Nadine

    (European Central Bank, Sonnemannstrasse 20, Frankfurt60314, Germany)

Abstract

This paper reviews how the European Union’s fiscal rules have developed from the Maastricht Treaty that established the single monetary policy up until today. It shows that the design of these rules did not always follow economic logic but often resulted from political constraints, giving rise to some flaws in the framework from its very beginning. At the same time, the repeated attempts to adjust the fiscal framework to a multitude of circumstances over the past 25 years have made it overly complex and incoherent. Based on a finding that euro area countries’ compliance with the EU fiscal rules has been unsatisfactory, the paper concludes that in its current shape the Stability and Growth Pact is an insufficient disciplining device in good economic times, with the consequence that there are no fiscal buffers, in particular in high-debt countries, such that growth can be supported in economic troughs. Based on this finding, the paper reviews reform options for making the fiscal framework more effective in bringing about sounder public finances and avoiding the pro-cyclicality observed over the past two decades.

Suggested Citation

  • Kamps Christophe & Leiner-Killinger Nadine, 2019. "Taking Stock of the EU Fiscal Rules over the Past 20 Years and Options for Reform," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 239(5-6), pages 861-894, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:jns:jbstat:v:239:y:2019:i:5-6:p:861-894:n:4
    DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2018-0090
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Luc Eyraud & Xavier Debrun & Andrew Hodge & Victor Duarte Lledo & Catherine A Pattillo, 2018. "Second-Generation Fiscal Rules; Balancing Simplicity, Flexibility, and Enforceability," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 18/04, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Fagan, Gabriel & Henry, Jérôme & Mestre, Ricardo, 2001. "An area-wide model (AWM) for the euro area," Working Paper Series 42, European Central Bank.
    3. Mr. Luc Eyraud & Mr. Xavier Debrun & Andrew Hodge & Victor Duarte Lledo & Ms. Catherine A Pattillo, 2018. "Second-Generation Fiscal Rules: Balancing Simplicity, Flexibility, and Enforceability," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 2018/004, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Charles Wyplosz, 2012. "Fiscal Rules: Theoretical Issues and Historical Experiences," NBER Chapters, in: Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis, pages 495-525, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Paredes, Joan & Pedregal, Diego J. & Pérez, Javier J., 2009. "A quarterly fiscal database for the euro area based on intra-annual fiscal information," Working Paper Series 1132, European Central Bank.
    6. Mr. Luc Eyraud & Mr. Tao Wu, 2015. "Playing by the Rules: Reforming Fiscal Governance in Europe," IMF Working Papers 2015/067, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:

    1. Debrun, Xavier & Masuch, Klaus & Ferrero, Guiseppe & Vansteenkiste, Isabel & Ferdinandusse, Marien & von Thadden, Leopold & Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Alloza, Mario & Derouen, Chloé & Bańkowski, Krzyszto, 2021. "Monetary-fiscal policy interactions in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 273, European Central Bank.
    2. Haroutunian, Stephan & Bańkowski, Krzysztof & Bischl, Simeon & Bouabdallah, Othman & Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Leiner-Killinger, Nadine & O'Connell, Marguerite & Oleaga, Iñigo Arruga & Abraham, Laurent , 2024. "The path to the reformed EU fiscal framework: a monetary policy perspective," Occasional Paper Series 349, European Central Bank.
    3. Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Leiner-Killinger, Nadine & Muggenthaler, Philip & Haroutunian, Stephan, 2022. "Post-COVID fiscal rules: a central bank perspective," Working Paper Series 2656, European Central Bank.
    4. Sebastian Hauptmeier & Nadine Leiner-Killinger, 2020. "Reflections on the Stability and Growth Pact’s Preventive Arm in Light of the COVID-19 Crisis," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 55(5), pages 296-300, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    economic and monetary union; fiscal rules; stability and growth pact;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H11 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Structure and Scope of Government
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General
    • H6 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt

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