IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/inm/ormnsc/v46y2000i3p348-362.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Optimal Choice of Promotional Vehicles: Front-Loaded or Rear-Loaded Incentives?

Author

Listed:
  • Z. John Zhang

    (Graduate School of Business, Columbia University, 513 Uris Hall, New York, New York 10027)

  • Aradhna Krishna

    (University of Michigan Business School, 701 Tappan Street, Ann Arbor, Michigan 48109-1234)

  • Sanjay K. Dhar

    (Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois 60637)

Abstract

We examine the key factors that influence a firm's decision whether to use front-loaded or rear-loaded incentives. When using price packs, direct mail coupons, FSI coupons or peel-off coupons, consumers obtain an immediate benefit upon purchase or a front-loaded incentive. However, when buying products with in-pack coupons or products affiliated with loyalty programs, promotion incentives are obtained on the next purchase occasion or later, i.e., a rear-loaded incentive. Our analysis shows that the innate choice process of consumers in a market (variety-seeking or inertia) is an important determinant of the relative impact of front-loaded and rear-loaded promotions. While in both variety-seeking and inertial markets, the sales impact and the sales on discount are higher for front-loaded promotions than for rear-loaded promotions, from a profitability perspective, rear-loaded promotions may be better than front-loaded promotions. We show that in markets with high variety-seeking it is more profitable for a firm to rear-load, and in markets with high inertia it is more profitable to front-load. Model implications are verified using two empirical studies: (a) a longitudinal experiment (simulating markets with variety-seeking consumers and inertial consumers) and (b) market data on promotion usage. The data in both studies are consistent with the model predictions.

Suggested Citation

  • Z. John Zhang & Aradhna Krishna & Sanjay K. Dhar, 2000. "The Optimal Choice of Promotional Vehicles: Front-Loaded or Rear-Loaded Incentives?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(3), pages 348-362, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:46:y:2000:i:3:p:348-362
    DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.46.3.348.12062
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.46.3.348.12062
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1287/mnsc.46.3.348.12062?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Moshe Givon, 1984. "Variety Seeking Through Brand Switching," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 3(1), pages 1-22.
    2. Kapil Bawa, 1990. "Modeling Inertia and Variety Seeking Tendencies in Brand Choice Behavior," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 9(3), pages 263-278.
    3. Drew Fudenberg & Jean Tirole, 1991. "Game Theory," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262061414, April.
    4. Jagmohan S. Raju & Sanjay K. Dhar & Donald G. Morrison, 1994. "The Effect of Package Coupons on Brand Choice," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 13(2), pages 145-164.
    5. Barbara E. Kahn & Jagmohan S. Raju, 1991. "Effects of Price Promotions on Variety-Seeking and Reinforcement Behavior," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 10(4), pages 316-337.
    6. Aradhna Krishna & Z. John Zhang, 1999. "Short- or Long-Duration Coupons: The Effect of the Expiration Date on the Profitability of Coupon Promotions," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 45(8), pages 1041-1056, August.
    7. Sanjay K. Dhar & Donald G. Morrison & Jagmohan S. Raju, 1996. "The Effect of Package Coupons on Brand Choice: An Epilogue on Profits," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 15(2), pages 192-203.
    8. Scott A. Neslin & Caroline Henderson & John Quelch, 1985. "Consumer Promotions and the Acceleration of Product Purchases," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 4(2), pages 147-165.
    9. Abel P. Jeuland, 1979. "Brand Choice Inertia as One Aspect of the Notion of Brand Loyalty," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 25(7), pages 671-682, July.
    10. Peter S. Fader & James M. Lattin, 1993. "Accounting for Heterogeneity and Nonstationarity in a Cross-Sectional Model of Consumer Purchase Behavior," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 12(3), pages 304-317.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nanarpuzha, Rajesh, 2013. "Modeling Situational Factors in Variety Seeking Behaviour: An Extension of the Lightning Bolt Model," IIMA Working Papers WP2013-12-04, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
    2. Aradhna Krishna & Z. John Zhang, 1999. "Short- or Long-Duration Coupons: The Effect of the Expiration Date on the Profitability of Coupon Promotions," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 45(8), pages 1041-1056, August.
    3. Sanjay K. Dhar & Jagmohan S. Raju, 1998. "The Effects of Cross-Ruff Coupons on Sales and Profits," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 44(11-Part-1), pages 1501-1516, November.
    4. Geoffrey Fisher & Matthew McGranaghan & Jura Liaukonyte & Kenneth C. Wilbur, 2023. "Price promotions, beneficiary framing, and mental accounting," Quantitative Marketing and Economics (QME), Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 147-181, June.
    5. Sergi Jiménez-Martín & Antonio Ladrón de Guevara-Martínez, 2009. "A state-dependent model of hybrid behavior with rational consumers in the attribute space," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 33(3), pages 347-383, September.
    6. Antonio Ladrón de Guevara, 2001. "A dynamic choice model of hybrid behavior in the attribute-space," Economics Working Papers 589, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    7. Aradhna Krishna & Fred M. Feinberg & Z. John Zhang, 2007. "Should Price Increases Be Targeted?--Pricing Power and Selective vs. Across-the-Board Price Increases," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 53(9), pages 1407-1422, September.
    8. Zhao, Li & Tian, Peng & Xiangyong Li, 2012. "Dynamic pricing in the presence of consumer inertia," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 137-148, April.
    9. Raju, Jagmohan S., 1995. "Theoretical models of sales promotions: Contributions, limitations, and a future research agenda," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 85(1), pages 1-17, August.
    10. Qiang Lu & Sridhar Moorthy, 2007. "Coupons Versus Rebates," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 26(1), pages 67-82, 01-02.
    11. Irani-Kermani, Roozbeh & Jaenicke, Edward C., 2018. "Generalizing Variety Seeking Measurement from Brand Space to Product Attribute Space," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273818, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    12. S. Sajeesh & Jagmohan S. Raju, 2010. "Positioning and Pricing in a Variety Seeking Market," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 56(6), pages 949-961, June.
    13. Su, Meng & Zheng, Xiaona & Sun, Luping, 2014. "Coupon Trading and its Impacts on Consumer Purchase and Firm Profits," Journal of Retailing, Elsevier, vol. 90(1), pages 40-61.
    14. Navdeep S. Sahni & Dan Zou & Pradeep K. Chintagunta, 2017. "Do Targeted Discount Offers Serve as Advertising? Evidence from 70 Field Experiments," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(8), pages 2688-2705, August.
    15. Nadine Losch & Klaus Möller & Benjamin Quaiser & Sophie Bortfeldt, 2013. "Konzeption und Umsetzung einer Customer Lifetime Value-Berechnung am Beispiel der Luftfahrtindustrie," Schmalenbach Journal of Business Research, Springer, vol. 65(3), pages 274-301, May.
    16. Diwas KC & Tongil Kim, 2022. "Impact of universal healthcare on patient choice and quality of care," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 31(5), pages 2167-2184, May.
    17. Jackson, Tyrone W. & Perloff, Jeffrey M, 1996. "Personal computer brand loyalty," Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series qt3w5958mx, Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley.
    18. Henrika Langen & Martin Huber, 2022. "How causal machine learning can leverage marketing strategies: Assessing and improving the performance of a coupon campaign," Papers 2204.10820, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2022.
    19. H-Y Tsao & L Pitt & C Campbell, 2010. "Analysing consumer segments to budget for loyalty and promotion programmes and maximize market share," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 61(10), pages 1523-1529, October.
    20. Chen, Kang & Chen, Dongxu & Sun, Xueshan & Yang, Zhongzhen, 2016. "Container Ocean-transportation System Design with the factors of demand fluctuation and choice inertia of shippers," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 267-281.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:46:y:2000:i:3:p:348-362. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Asher (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/inforea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.