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The Effect of Package Coupons on Brand Choice

Author

Listed:
  • Jagmohan S. Raju

    (University of Pennsylvania)

  • Sanjay K. Dhar

    (University of Chicago)

  • Donald G. Morrison

    (University of California, Los Angeles)

Abstract

We propose a stochastic choice model, and supporting empirical analyses, to understand the effect of package coupons on brand choice. Package coupons can be broadly classified into three types: peel off coupons, on-pack coupons, and in-pack coupons. Our model helps understand the relative impact of these three types of coupons on market share. We find that on-pack coupons may lead to a higher market share than peel-off coupons. What makes this result potentially interesting is that while the benefit of a peel-off coupon is realized immediately, the consumer has to wait until the next purchase occasion to cash in the benefit of an on-pack coupon. Though we primarily examine situations where package coupons are dropped frequently, a scenario that is quite representative of today's marketplace, we show that our results are also applicable when a manager is evaluating a particular coupon campaign. We compare the key predictions of our model with data collected from a series of in-store quasi-experiments. The data are consistent with the model's predictions.

Suggested Citation

  • Jagmohan S. Raju & Sanjay K. Dhar & Donald G. Morrison, 1994. "The Effect of Package Coupons on Brand Choice," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 13(2), pages 145-164.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormksc:v:13:y:1994:i:2:p:145-164
    DOI: 10.1287/mksc.13.2.145
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Price, Gregory K. & Connor, John M., 2002. "The Determinants Of Coupon Discounts For Breakfast Cereals," 2002 Annual meeting, July 28-31, Long Beach, CA 19838, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    2. Banks, Jeffrey & Moorthy, Sridhar, 1999. "A model of price promotions with consumer search," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 371-398, April.
    3. Kevin Chung, 2020. "Incorporating a “Better” Behavioral Bias for Both Consumers and Firms in Rebate Programs," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(4), pages 1627-1646, April.
    4. Navdeep S. Sahni & Dan Zou & Pradeep K. Chintagunta, 2017. "Do Targeted Discount Offers Serve as Advertising? Evidence from 70 Field Experiments," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(8), pages 2688-2705, August.
    5. Tin-Chun Lin, 2024. "Coupons versus Rebates: An Economic–Mathematical Comparative Analysis with Policy Implications," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-25, June.
    6. Henrika Langen & Martin Huber, 2022. "How causal machine learning can leverage marketing strategies: Assessing and improving the performance of a coupon campaign," Papers 2204.10820, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2022.
    7. Mengze Shi, 2013. "A theoretical analysis of endogenous and exogenous switching costs," Quantitative Marketing and Economics (QME), Springer, vol. 11(2), pages 205-230, June.
    8. Wilfred Amaldoss & Amnon Rapoport, 2005. "Collaborative Product and Market Development: Theoretical Implications and Experimental Evidence," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 24(3), pages 396-414, February.
    9. Geoffrey Fisher & Matthew McGranaghan & Jura Liaukonyte & Kenneth C. Wilbur, 2023. "Price promotions, beneficiary framing, and mental accounting," Quantitative Marketing and Economics (QME), Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 147-181, June.
    10. Mengze Shi, 2013. "A theoretical analysis of endogenous and exogenous switching costs," Quantitative Marketing and Economics (QME), Springer, vol. 11(2), pages 205-230, June.
    11. Raju, Jagmohan S., 1995. "Theoretical models of sales promotions: Contributions, limitations, and a future research agenda," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 85(1), pages 1-17, August.
    12. Lifeng Mu & Xin Tang & Vijayan Sugumaran & Wei Xu & Xiangyang Sun, 2023. "Optimal rebate strategy for an online retailer with a cashback platform: commission-driven or marketing-based?," Electronic Commerce Research, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 475-510, March.
    13. Su, Meng & Zheng, Xiaona & Sun, Luping, 2014. "Coupon Trading and its Impacts on Consumer Purchase and Firm Profits," Journal of Retailing, Elsevier, vol. 90(1), pages 40-61.
    14. Samir Mamadehussene, 2024. "Rebates Offered by a Multiproduct Firm," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 43(1), pages 178-191, January.
    15. Z. John Zhang & Aradhna Krishna & Sanjay K. Dhar, 2000. "The Optimal Choice of Promotional Vehicles: Front-Loaded or Rear-Loaded Incentives?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(3), pages 348-362, March.
    16. Aradhna Krishna & Z. John Zhang, 1999. "Short- or Long-Duration Coupons: The Effect of the Expiration Date on the Profitability of Coupon Promotions," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 45(8), pages 1041-1056, August.
    17. Sanjay K. Dhar & Jagmohan S. Raju, 1998. "The Effects of Cross-Ruff Coupons on Sales and Profits," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 44(11-Part-1), pages 1501-1516, November.
    18. Qiang Lu & Sridhar Moorthy, 2007. "Coupons Versus Rebates," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 26(1), pages 67-82, 01-02.
    19. Yi-Chun (Chad) Ho & Yi-Jen (Ian) Ho & Yong Tan, 2017. "Online Cash-back Shopping: Implications for Consumers and e-Businesses," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 28(2), pages 250-264, June.
    20. Aradhna Krishna & Uday Rajan, 2009. "Cause Marketing: Spillover Effects of Cause-Related Products in a Product Portfolio," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 55(9), pages 1469-1485, September.

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