Optimal Linear Opinion Pools
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DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.37.5.546
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Cited by:
- A. Philip Dawid & Julia Mortera, 2020. "Resolving some contradictions in the theory of linear opinion pools," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 88(3), pages 453-456, April.
- Roopesh Ranjan & Tilmann Gneiting, 2010. "Combining probability forecasts," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 72(1), pages 71-91, January.
- Pierre A. Balthazard & William R. Ferrell & Dorothy L. Aguilar, 1998. "Influence Allocation Methods in Group Decision Support Systems," Group Decision and Negotiation, Springer, vol. 7(4), pages 347-362, July.
- Yakov Babichenko & Dan Garber, 2021. "Learning Optimal Forecast Aggregation in Partial Evidence Environments," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 46(2), pages 628-641, May.
- Marcello Basili & Alain Chateauneuf & Giuseppe Scianna, 2019. "A consistent representation of Keynes’s long-term expectation in ?nancial market," Department of Economics University of Siena 808, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
- David M. Pennock & Michael P. Wellman, 2005. "Graphical Models for Groups: Belief Aggregation and Risk Sharing," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 2(3), pages 148-164, September.
- Marcello Basili & Carlo Zappia, 2018. "Ellsberg’s Decision Rules and Keynes’s Long-Term Expectations," Department of Economics University of Siena 777, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
- Federico Bassetti & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2019. "Density Forecasting," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS59, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
- Stephen Hora & Erim Kardeş, 2015. "Calibration, sharpness and the weighting of experts in a linear opinion pool," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 229(1), pages 429-450, June.
- Garratt, Anthony & Henckel, Timo & Vahey, Shaun P., 2023.
"Empirically-transformed linear opinion pools,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 736-753.
- Anthony Garratt & Timo Henckel & Shaun P. Vahey, 2019. "Empirically-transformed linear opinion pools," CAMA Working Papers 2019-47, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Roberto Casarin & Giulia Mantoan & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2016. "Bayesian Calibration of Generalized Pools of Predictive Distributions," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-24, March.
- Donnacha Bolger & Brett Houlding, 2016. "Reliability updating in linear opinion pooling for multiple decision makers," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 230(3), pages 309-322, June.
- Marcello Basili & Alain Chateauneuf & Giuliano Antonio & Giuseppe Scianna, 2023. "A representation of Keynes's long-term expectation in financial markets," Working Papers hal-03999320, HAL.
- Ville A. Satopää & Robin Pemantle & Lyle H. Ungar, 2016. "Modeling Probability Forecasts via Information Diversity," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 111(516), pages 1623-1633, October.
- Marcello Basili, 2013. "Ellsberg Rules and Keynes’s State of Long-Term Expectation: More Than an Accordance," Department of Economics University of Siena 685, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
- James E. Smith & Detlof von Winterfeldt, 2004. "Anniversary Article: Decision Analysis in Management Science," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(5), pages 561-574, May.
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Keywords
Bayesian decision theory; combining probability distributions; linear opinion pools; multiple decision makers; restricted communications; scoring rules; teams; weights;All these keywords.
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