Elicitation of Probabilities Using Competitive Scoring Rules
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DOI: 10.1287/deca.1030.0003
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References listed on IDEAS
- Allan H. Murphy & Robert L. Winkler, 1977. "Reliability of Subjective Probability Forecasts of Precipitation and Temperature," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 26(1), pages 41-47, March.
- Robert L. Winkler, 1994. "Evaluating Probabilities: Asymmetric Scoring Rules," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 40(11), pages 1395-1405, November.
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Keywords
elicitation of probabilities; prediction of probabilities; competitive prediction; scoring rules; multiparty bets;All these keywords.
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