IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/imx/journl/v18y2023i4p2.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Government policies and manufacturing production during the COVID-19 pandemic

Author

Listed:
  • Víctor Manuel Cuevas Ahumada

    (Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana, México)

  • Cuauhtémoc Calderón Villarreal

    (El Colegio de la Frontera Norte, México)

Abstract

Este trabajo evalúa el impacto de las medidas de reactivación económica y de contención de la pandemia de COVID-19 en el ciclo de la producción manufacturera (CPM) de 39 naciones. El impacto de estas variables en el CPM no ha sido estudiado. Para obtener evidencia robusta, se emplea el Método Generalizado de Momentos en dos versiones: la Arellano-Bond y la Arellano-Bover. La evidencia indica que: 1) Las medidas de cierre y contención han sido recesivas, 2) Las medidas de apoyo al ingreso y los recortes de tasas de interés han reactivado la producción manufacturera, y 3) Las depreciaciones cambiarias reales no estimulan (e incluso podrían desalentar) la producción manufacturera al encarecer los insumos intermedios importados. Esto implica que los efectos recesivos de las medidas de contención pueden efectivamente atenuarse mediante recortes de tasas de interés para incentivar la inversión y mediante apoyo a los ingresos para elevar el consumo. Asimismo, las depreciaciones cambiarias pueden no estimular la producción con un comercio mundial en caída y cadenas globales de valor interrumpidas, que tienden a encarecer todavía más los insumos intermedios importados.

Suggested Citation

  • Víctor Manuel Cuevas Ahumada & Cuauhtémoc Calderón Villarreal, 2023. "Government policies and manufacturing production during the COVID-19 pandemic," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 18(4), pages 1-19, Octubre -.
    • Handle: RePEc:imx:journl:v:18:y:2023:i:4:p:2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.remef.org.mx/index.php/remef/article/view/762
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Warwick McKibbin & David Vines, 2020. "Global macroeconomic cooperation in response to the COVID-19 pandemic: a roadmap for the G20 and the IMF," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 36(Supplemen), pages 297-337.
    2. Thorvaldur Gylfason & Gylfi Zoega, 2006. "Natural Resources and Economic Growth: The Role of Investment," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(8), pages 1091-1115, August.
    3. Arellano, Manuel & Bover, Olympia, 1995. "Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 29-51, July.
    4. Chudik, Alexander & Mohaddes, Kamiar & Raissi, Mehdi, 2021. "Covid-19 fiscal support and its effectiveness," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    5. Jeffrey D. Sachs & Andrew M. Warner, 1995. "Natural Resource Abundance and Economic Growth," NBER Working Papers 5398, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Bui, Dzung & Dräger, Lena & Hayo, Bernd & Nghiem, Giang, 2022. "The effects of fiscal policy on households during the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from Thailand and Vietnam," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    7. Nadia Balemi & Roland Füss & Alois Weigand, 2021. "COVID-19’s impact on real estate markets: review and outlook," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 35(4), pages 495-513, December.
    8. Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021. "Measuring the effectiveness of US monetary policy during the COVID‐19 recession," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 68(3), pages 287-297, July.
    9. Liu, Yawen & Cui, Qi & Liu, Yu & Zhang, Jinzhu & Zhou, Meifang & Ali, Tariq & Yang, Lingyu & Feng, Kuishuang & Hubacek, Klaus & Li, Xinbei, 2021. "Countermeasures against economic crisis from COVID-19 pandemic in China: An analysis of effectiveness and trade-offs," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 482-495.
    10. Makin, Anthony J. & Layton, Allan, 2021. "The global fiscal response to COVID-19: Risks and repercussions," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 340-349.
    11. Marco Di Pietro & Luigi Marattin & Raoul Minetti, 2020. "Fiscal Policies Amid a Pandemic: The Response of Italy to the COVID-19 Crisis," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, vol. 73(3), pages 927-950, September.
    12. Daniel Susskind & David Vines, 2020. "The economics of the COVID-19 pandemic: an assessment," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 36(Supplemen), pages 1-13.
    13. Thorvaldur Gylfason, 2006. "Natural Resources and Economic Growth: From Dependence to Diversification," Springer Books, in: Harry G. Broadman & Tiiu Paas & Paul J.J. Welfens (ed.), Economic Liberalization and Integration Policy, pages 201-231, Springer.
    14. Uzma Zia & Zafar Mahmood, 2013. "Exchange rate depreciation and export price competitiveness: the case of Pakistani manufacturing industries," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(4), pages 529-542.
    15. Manuel Arellano & Stephen Bond, 1991. "Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 58(2), pages 277-297.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tiago V. De V. Cavalcanti & Kamiar Mohaddes & Mehdi Raissi, 2015. "Commodity Price Volatility and the Sources of Growth," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(6), pages 857-873, September.
    2. International Monetary Fund, 2012. "Commodity Price Volatility and the Sources of Growth," IMF Working Papers 2012/012, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Dong-Hyeon Kim & Shu-Chin Lin, 2024. "Fertility and the oil curse," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(2), pages 381-416, August.
    4. Bitoto, Fabrice Ewolo & Nkoa Ongo, Emmanuel Bruno, 2024. "Natural resource rents and public spending on education in Africa: Does women's political empowerment matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    5. Moradbeigi, Maryam & Law, Siong Hook, 2016. "Growth volatility and resource curse: Does financial development dampen the oil shocks?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 97-103.
    6. Omar G. Aziz, 2022. "FDI inflows and economic growth in Arab region: The institutional quality channel," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1009-1024, January.
    7. Khan, Muhammad Atif & Gu, Lulu & Khan, Muhammad Asif & Oláh, Judit, 2020. "Natural resources and financial development: The role of institutional quality," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    8. Asiamah, Oliver & Agyei, Samuel Kwaku & Ahmed, Bossman & Agyei, Ellen Animah, 2022. "Natural resource dependence and the Dutch disease: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    9. Nili, Masoud & Rastad, Mahdi, 2007. "Addressing the growth failure of the oil economies: The role of financial development," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(5), pages 726-740, February.
    10. Damette, Olivier & Kablan, Sandrine & Mathonnat, Clément, 2023. "Firms’ access to finance in resource-based countries and the financial resource curse," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(3), pages 1031-1047.
    11. Grundmann, Rainer & Gries, Thomas, 2015. "Crucial for Modern Sector Development? The Role of Exports and Institutions in Developing Countries," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112962, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    12. Eslamloueyan, Karim & Jafari, Mahbubeh, 2021. "Do high human capital and strong institutions make oil-rich developing countries immune to the oil curse?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    13. Yuxiang, Karl & Chen, Zhongchang, 2011. "Resource abundance and financial development: Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 72-79, March.
    14. Dwumfour, Richard Adjei & Ntow-Gyamfi, Matthew, 2018. "Natural resources, financial development and institutional quality in Africa: Is there a resource curse?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 411-426.
    15. Sharma, Chandan & Paramati, Sudharshan Reddy, 2022. "Resource curse versus resource blessing: New evidence from resource capital data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    16. Khan, Mohammed Arshad & Khan, Muhammad Atif & Khan, Muhammad Asif & Alhumoudi, Hamad & Haddad, Hossam, 2023. "Natural resource rents and access to finance," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 70.
    17. Hua Wang & Shi Wang & Cheng-Fu Yang & Sheng-Nan Jiang & Yun-Juan Li, 2019. "Resource Price Fluctuations, Resource Dependence and Sustainable Growth," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(22), pages 1-13, November.
    18. Ali, Adnan & Ramakrishnan, Suresh & Faisal, Faisal & Ghazi H Sulimany, Hamid & Bazhair, Ayman Hassan, 2022. "Stock market resource curse: The moderating role of institutional quality," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    19. Ofori-Sasu, Daniel & Adu-Darko, Eunice & Asamoah, Michael Effah & Abor, Joshua Yindenaba, 2023. "Oil rents, trade environment and financial development: An international evidence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    20. Achuo, Elvis D., 2023. "Resource wealth and the development dilemma in Africa: The role of policy syndromes," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ciclo de la producción manufacturera; políticas gubernamentales de apoyo; medidas de cierre y contención; modelos dinámicos de datos en panel; método generalizado de momentos;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • F62 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Macroeconomic Impacts
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:imx:journl:v:18:y:2023:i:4:p:2. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ricardo Mendoza (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.remef.org.mx/index.php/remef/index .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.