IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ibn/jsd123/v12y2024i4p53.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Effect of Climatic Variability on Maize and Soybean Yield under a High Input Farming System in Copperbelt Province, Zambia

Author

Listed:
  • Pathias N. Lubinga
  • Lydia M. Chabala
  • Mutisungilire Kachulu
  • Vernon R. N. Chinene

Abstract

In many developing countries, the effect of climate change on agriculture is evaluated with reference to small scale farmers, mainly under low input systems. As a result, literature on climate variability and its effect on high input farming systems are scanty. We evaluated the impact of climatic variability on maize and soybean yield under a high input management system. The objectives of the study were to- (i) assess rainfall and temperature variability at a high input farm (ii) evaluate the effect of rainfall and temperature on maize and soybean yield under high input management system. (iii) assess the impact of El Niño and La Niña on maize and soybean yield. Data for rainfall and temperature was obtained from the Zambia Meteorological Department which was complimented by records from the weather station located at the study site. Yield data for both maize and soybean was provided by ZAMBEEF farm. The analysis covered 32 years from 1980 to 2012. Time series plot was used to investigate the trend in minimum and maximum temperature and seasonal rainfall. Correlations were done in SPSS to establish the strength and direction of association between climatic variables (temperature and seasonal rainfall) and maize and soybean yield. Multiple Regression in SPSS was then used to analyze variation in maize and soybean yield due to climatic variables. Results revealed that minimum temperature had an increasing linear trend of 0.3°C to 0.5 per decade while maximum temperature showed an increasing linear trend of 0.2°C to 0.3°C per decade. On the other hand, seasonal rainfall was variable over the period studied. The variations in maize and soybean yield explained by seasonal rainfall and temperature was not significant with only 17.2% and 20.1% of the variation explained, respectively. Although there was no significant impact of both El Niño and La Niño on the yields of both crops, regression analysis revealed a negative relationship between El Niño and soybean yield and a positive relationship with maize yield and a positive relationship was showed between La Niña and maize and soybean yields.

Suggested Citation

  • Pathias N. Lubinga & Lydia M. Chabala & Mutisungilire Kachulu & Vernon R. N. Chinene, 2024. "Effect of Climatic Variability on Maize and Soybean Yield under a High Input Farming System in Copperbelt Province, Zambia," Journal of Sustainable Development, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 12(4), pages 1-53, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:ibn:jsd123:v:12:y:2024:i:4:p:53
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ccsenet.org/journal/index.php/jsd/article/download/0/0/40300/41472
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://ccsenet.org/journal/index.php/jsd/article/view/0/40300
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Henry De-Graft Acquah, 2012. "Estimating the Effect of Climatic Variables and Crop Area on Maize Yield in Ghana," Journal of Social and Development Sciences, AMH International, vol. 3(9), pages 313-321.
    2. David B. Lobell & Graeme L. Hammer & Greg McLean & Carlos Messina & Michael J. Roberts & Wolfram Schlenker, 2013. "The critical role of extreme heat for maize production in the United States," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(5), pages 497-501, May.
    3. Kachulu, Mutisungilire, 2018. "Climate change effects on crop productivity and welfare sensitivity analysis for smallholder farmers in Malawi," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 13(1), March.
    4. Acquah Henry De-graft & Kyei Clement Kweku, 2012. "The effects of climatic variables and crop area on maize yield and variability in Ghana," Russian Journal of Agricultural and Socio-Economic Sciences, CyberLeninka;Редакция журнала Russian Journal of Agricultural and Socio-Economic Sciences, vol. 10(10), pages 10-13.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fèmi E. Hounnou & Houinsou Dedehouanou & Afio Zannou & Sofwaan Bakary & Elisée F. Mahoussi, 2024. "Influence of Climate Change on Food Crop Yield in Benin Republic," Journal of Agricultural Science, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(5), pages 281-281, April.
    2. Samira Shayanmehr & Shida Rastegari Henneberry & Mahmood Sabouhi Sabouni & Naser Shahnoushi Foroushani, 2020. "Climate Change and Sustainability of Crop Yield in Dry Regions Food Insecurity," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-24, November.
    3. Timothy Neal & Michael Keane, 2018. "The Impact of Climate Change on U.S. Agriculture: The Roles of Adaptation Techniques and Emissions Reductions," Discussion Papers 2018-08, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
    4. Emediegwu, Lotanna E. & Wossink, Ada & Hall, Alastair, 2022. "The impacts of climate change on agriculture in sub-Saharan Africa: A spatial panel data approach," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    5. Balázs Varga & Zsuzsanna Farkas & Emese Varga-László & Gyula Vida & Ottó Veisz, 2022. "Elevated Atmospheric CO 2 Concentration Influences the Rooting Habits of Winter-Wheat ( Triticum aestivum L.) Varieties," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-14, March.
    6. Shekhar, Ankit & Shapiro, Charles A., 2022. "Prospective crop yield and income return based on a retrospective analysis of a long-term rainfed agriculture experiment in Nebraska," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    7. Kamal Kumar Murari & Sandeep Mahato & T. Jayaraman & Madhura Swaminathan, 2018. "Extreme Temperatures and Crop Yields in Karnataka, India," Journal, Review of Agrarian Studies, vol. 8(2), pages 92-114, July-Dece.
    8. Badi H. Baltagi & Georges Bresson & Anoop Chaturvedi & Guy Lacroix, 2022. "Robust Dynamic Space-Time Panel Data Models Using ε-contamination: An Application to Crop Yields and Climate Change," Center for Policy Research Working Papers 254, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University.
    9. Buddhika Patalee & Glynn T. Tonsor, 2021. "Weather effects on U.S. cow‐calf production: A long‐term panel analysis," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 838-857, October.
    10. Song, Jingyu & Delgado, Michael & Preckel, Paul & Villoria, Nelson, 2016. "Pixel Level Cropland Allocation and Marginal Impacts of Biophysical Factors," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235327, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    11. Guimbeau, Amanda & Ji, Xinde James & Menon, Nidhiya, 2024. "Climate Shocks, Intimate Partner Violence, and the Protective Role of Climate-Resilience Projects," IZA Discussion Papers 17529, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    12. Trevor W. Crosby & Yi Wang, 2021. "Effects of Different Irrigation Management Practices on Potato ( Solanum tuberosum L.)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-19, September.
    13. Jacob Moscona & Karthik A Sastry, 2023. "Does Directed Innovation Mitigate Climate Damage? Evidence from U.S. Agriculture," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 138(2), pages 637-701.
    14. Hertel, Thomas W. & Lobell, David B., 2014. "Agricultural adaptation to climate change in rich and poor countries: Current modeling practice and potential for empirical contributions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 562-575.
    15. Emediegwu, Lotanna E. & Ubabukoh, Chisom L., 2023. "Re-examining the impact of annual weather fluctuations on global livestock production," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 204(PA).
    16. Zhang, Peng & Zhang, Junjie & Chen, Minpeng, 2017. "Economic impacts of climate change on agriculture: The importance of additional climatic variables other than temperature and precipitation," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 8-31.
    17. François Bareille & Raja Chakir, 2024. "Structural identification of weather impacts on crop yields: Disentangling agronomic from adaptation effects," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 106(3), pages 989-1019, May.
    18. Anwar, Muhuddin Rajin & Liu, De Li & Farquharson, Robert & Macadam, Ian & Abadi, Amir & Finlayson, John & Wang, Bin & Ramilan, Thiagarajah, 2015. "Climate change impacts on phenology and yields of five broadacre crops at four climatologically distinct locations in Australia," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 133-144.
    19. Chandio, Abbas Ali & Ozdemir, Dicle & Jiang, Yuansheng, 2023. "Modelling the impact of climate change and advanced agricultural technologies on grain output: Recent evidence from China," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 485(C).
    20. Haqiqi, Iman & Grogan, Danielle S. & Hertel, Thomas W. & Schlenker, Wolfram, 2019. "Predicting Crop Yields Using Soil Moisture and Heat: An Extension to Schlenker and Roberts (2009)," 2019 Annual Meeting, July 21-23, Atlanta, Georgia 291093, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ibn:jsd123:v:12:y:2024:i:4:p:53. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Canadian Center of Science and Education (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cepflch.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.