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The Impact of Exchange Rate Fluctuation on the Nigerian Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation

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  • J.O. Adeniran
  • S.A. Yusuf
  • Olatoke A. Adeyemi

Abstract

This research study examined the impact of exchange rate on economic growth from 1986 to 2013. The main type of data used in this study is secondary; sourced from Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin of various issues. From 1986 being the year the monetary authority shifted from fixed exchange rate regime to flexible exchange rate regime to 2013. The correlation and regression analysis of the ordinary least square (OLS) were used to analyze the data. The result revealed that exchange rate has positive impact but not significant with (ß =0.014, t = 1.783, Pns) this is affirms previous studies that developing countries are relatively better off in the choice of flexible exchange rate regimes. The result also indicated that interest rate and rate of inflation have negative impact on economic growth but not significant with (ß = - 0.002, t = - 0.015, Pns) and (ß = -0.023, t = - 0.716, Pns) respectively. Therefore, the paper recommended that government should encourage the export promotion strategies in order to maintain a surplus balance of trade and also conducive environment, adequate security, effective fiscal and monetary, as well as infrastructural facilities should be provided so that foreign investors will be attracted to invest in Nigeria.

Suggested Citation

  • J.O. Adeniran & S.A. Yusuf & Olatoke A. Adeyemi, 2014. "The Impact of Exchange Rate Fluctuation on the Nigerian Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 4(8), pages 224-233, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:hur:ijarbs:v:4:y:2014:i:8:p:224-233
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    6. Charles O. Manasseh & Janathan E. Ogbuabor & Felicia C. Abada & Okoro E.U. Okoro & Aja Ebeke Egele & Josaphat U. Onwumere, 2019. "Analysis of Oil Price Oscillations, Exchange Rate Dynamics and Economic Performance," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(1), pages 95-106.
    7. Charles O. Manasseh & Nnenna G. Nwonye & Felicia C. Abada & Ogochukwu Okanya & Anuli R. Ogbuagu & Felicia U. Eze-Dike & Osmond N. Okonkwo & Otene Samson & Okechukwu J. Akamike & John O. Okoh & Peter O, 2022. "Evaluating Oil Price Movement and Revenue Generation in Nigeria during Covid-19 Pandemic: Experience from Pre and Post Era," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(3), pages 57-65, May.
    8. Areghan A. Isibor & Adetiloye A. Kehinde & Olokoyo O. Felicia & Adesina F. Tolulope & Akinjare A. Victoria & Udume E. Mercy, 2022. "Achieving Sustained Performance in the Nigerian Oil and Gas Sector despite Exchange Rate Fluctuations: A VAR Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(3), pages 341-351, May.
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    11. Lyndon M. Etale & Peter E. Ayunku, 2016. "The Relationship between Interest Rate and Economic Growth in Nigeria: An Error Correction Model (ECM) Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Academic Research Publishing Group, vol. 2(6), pages 127-131, 06-2016.
    12. K. Lawler; S. Sadiq, 2018. "Exchange Rate Volatility: An Empirical Study For State Of Kuwait," Вестник Киевского национального университета имени Тараса Шевченко. Экономика., Socionet;Киевский национальный университет имени Тараса Шевченко, vol. 3(198), pages 66-69.
    13. Ugochukwu J. Nwoye & Justina N. Obiorah & Chukwunonso Ekesiobi, 2015. "Effect of Nigeria Macroeconomic Environment on the Performance of the National Economy: Implications," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 5(7), pages 42-51, July.
    14. Hussaini Umaru & Aguda Niyi A. & Nordiana Osagie Davies, 2018. "The Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Economic Growth of West African English-Speaking Countries," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 8(4), pages 131-143, October.
    15. Kenny S, Victoria, 2019. "Exchange Rate Management and Economic Growth: An FMOLS Approach," MPRA Paper 93125, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Ekundayo P. Mesagan & Olorunfemi Y. Alimi & Ismaila A. Yusuf, 2018. "Macroeconomic Implications of Exchange Rate Depreciation: The Nigerian Experience," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 16(3 (Fall)), pages 235-258.
    17. Amadou Jawo & Mohammed Jebou & Lamin Fatou Bayo, 2023. "The Relationship between Inflation, Exchange Rate, Money Supply and Economic Growth in The Gambia," Technium Social Sciences Journal, Technium Science, vol. 40(1), pages 213-222, February.
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    19. Zarei, Samira, 2019. "How do Real Exchange Rate Movements Affect the Economic Growth in Iran?," MPRA Paper 99102, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Tzu-Yi Yang & Chieh Liu & Yu-Tai Yang & Ssu-Han Chen, 2023. "The dynamic effect of trading between China and Taiwan under exchange rate fluctuations," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-9, December.

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