IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/hur/ijaraf/v7y2017i4p95-102.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Comparative Analysis of Macroeconomic Variables and Stock Market Performances in Africa (2000-2015)

Author

Listed:
  • Christian N. Worlu
  • Cordelia Onyinyechi Oomodero

Abstract

The study aimed at evaluating the impact of macroeconomic variables on stock market performance in Africa from the period of 2000 to 2015. Four major African countries investigated were: Ghana, Kenya, South Africa and Nigeria. The specific objectives were to establish the extent to which GDP, inflation rate and real exchange rate affect the stock market performance represented by share price index. Time series data were employed and analyzed using multiple regression and t-test for hypotheses testing. With the use of SPSS software the result revealed negative impact of GDP, inflation and real exchange rate on SPI in Nigeria. Insignificant relationship of all the variables was also observed. The result for South Africa’s stock market showed that GDP and inflation had a negative impact on stock market and real exchange rate has no impact on the stock market. The impact of GDP on Ghana’s stock market was negative while the others had no impact. Real exchange rate had negative impact on Kenyan stock market, but GDP and inflation had no impact. The researchers therefore conclude that macroeconomic variables have to be checked by the government of the African countries to avoid this scenario of negative effects since they are major determinant of the success of the stock markets in every economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian N. Worlu & Cordelia Onyinyechi Oomodero, 2017. "A Comparative Analysis of Macroeconomic Variables and Stock Market Performances in Africa (2000-2015)," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 7(4), pages 95-102, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:hur:ijaraf:v:7:y:2017:i:4:p:95-102
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hrmars.com/hrmars_papers/Article_09_A_Comparative_Analysis_of_Macroeconomic_Variables.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: http://hrmars.com/hrmars_papers/Article_09_A_Comparative_Analysis_of_Macroeconomic_Variables.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Black, Bernard S. & Gilson, Ronald J., 1998. "Venture capital and the structure of capital markets: banks versus stock markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 243-277, March.
    2. Stephen A. Ross, 2013. "The Arbitrage Theory of Capital Asset Pricing," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF THE FUNDAMENTALS OF FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING Part I, chapter 1, pages 11-30, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Barro, Robert J, 1990. "The Stock Market and Investment," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 3(1), pages 115-131.
    4. Adam, Anokye M. & Tweneboah, George, 2008. "Macroeconomic Factors and Stock Market Movement: Evidence from Ghana," MPRA Paper 11256, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Fama, Eugene F, 1990. "Stock Returns, Expected Returns, and Real Activity," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 45(4), pages 1089-1108, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ajeigbe Kola Benson & Habanabakize Thomas & Ganda Fortune, 2022. "The impact of the selected macroeconomic indicators’ volatility on the performance of South African JSE-listed companies: a pre-and post- Covid-19 study," International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science (2147-4478), Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 11(4), pages 193-204, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Javed Iqbal & Aziz Haider, 2005. "Arbitrage Pricing Theory: Evidence From An Emerging Stock Market," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 123-139, Jan-Jun.
    2. Cyrus Mutuku & Kirwa Lelei Ng¡¯eny, 2015. "Macroeconomic Variables and the Kenyan Equity Market: A Time Series Analysis," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 5(1), pages 1-10, June.
    3. Ozlem Goktas & Aycan Hepsag, 2011. "Do stock returns lead real economic activity? Evidence from seasonal cointegration analysis," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(3), pages 2117-2127.
    4. Sagarika Mishra & Harminder Singh, 2012. "Do macro-economic variables explain stock-market returns? Evidence using a semi-parametric approach," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 13(2), pages 115-127, April.
    5. Kent Hargis & William F. Maloney, 1997. "Emerging Equity Markets: Are They For Real?," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 20(2), pages 243-262, June.
    6. Oyetayo Oluwatosin J & Adeyeye Patrick Olufemi, 2017. "A Robust Application of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory: Evidence from Nigeria," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 9(1), pages 141-151.
    7. Alfred Mbairadjim Moussa & Jules Sadefo Kamdem, 2022. "A fuzzy multifactor asset pricing model," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(2), pages 1221-1241, June.
    8. Tsouma, Ekaterini, 2009. "Stock returns and economic activity in mature and emerging markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 668-685, May.
    9. Avanidhar Subrahmanyam & Sheridan Titman, 2013. "Financial Market Shocks and the Macroeconomy," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 26(11), pages 2687-2717.
    10. Du, Ding & Denning, Karen & Zhao, Xiaobing, 2012. "Real aggregate activity and stock returns," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 64(5), pages 323-337.
    11. Ali Akbar Nazari & Mohammad Taher Ahmadi Shadmehri, 2016. "Examining the Relationship between Economic Variables and Financial Performance of the Companies in Tehran Stock Exchange," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(7), pages 188-197, July.
    12. Cooper, Michael J. & Gubellini, Stefano, 2011. "The critical role of conditioning information in determining if value is really riskier than growth," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 289-305, March.
    13. Golinski, Adam & Madeira, Joao & Rambaccussing, Dooruj, 2014. "Fractional Integration of the Price-Dividend Ratio in a Present-Value Model," MPRA Paper 58554, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Ekaterini Panopoulou & Nikitas Pittis & Sarantis Kalyvitis, 2010. "Looking far in the past: revisiting the growth-returns nexus with non-parametric tests," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 38(3), pages 743-766, June.
    15. Cheung, Yin-Wong & Ng, Lilian K., 1998. "International evidence on the stock market and aggregate economic activity," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 281-296, September.
    16. George W. Gallinger, 1994. "Causality Tests Of The Real Stock Return-Real Activity Hypothesis," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 17(2), pages 271-288, June.
    17. Panopoulou, Ekaterini, 2007. "Predictive financial models of the euro area: A new evaluation test," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 695-705.
    18. Qiang Kang, 2019. "Business-cycle pattern of asset returns: a general equilibrium explanation," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 15(4), pages 539-561, December.
    19. DITIMI Amassoma & IFEOLUWA Bolarinwa, 2018. "A Time Series Analysis Of The Nexus Between Macroeconomic Fundamentals And Stock Prices In Nigeria," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 13(2), pages 69-91, August.
    20. Fatma Ben Moussa & Mariem Talbi, 2019. "Stock Market Reaction to Terrorist Attacks and Political Uncertainty: Empirical Evidence from the Tunisian Stock Exchange," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(3), pages 48-64.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hur:ijaraf:v:7:y:2017:i:4:p:95-102. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Hassan Danial Aslam (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://hrmars.com/index.php/pages/detail/Accounting-Finance-Journal .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.