IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v9y2017i7p1184-d103885.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Low-Carbon Transition toward Sustainability of Regional Coal-Dominated Energy Consumption Structure: A Case of Hebei Province in China

Author

Listed:
  • Xunmin Ou

    (Institute of Energy, Environment and Economy, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
    China Automotive Energy Research Center, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China)

  • Zhiyi Yuan

    (Institute of Energy, Environment and Economy, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China)

  • Tianduo Peng

    (Institute of Energy, Environment and Economy, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
    China Automotive Energy Research Center, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China)

  • Zhenqing Sun

    (School of Economics and Management, Tianjin University of Science and Technology, Tianjin 300222, China)

  • Sheng Zhou

    (Institute of Energy, Environment and Economy, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China)

Abstract

CO 2 emission resulted from fossil energy use is threatening human sustainability globally. This study focuses on the low-carbon transition of Hebei’s coal-dominated energy system by estimating its total end-use energy consumption, primary energy supply and resultant CO 2 emission up to 2030, by employing an energy demand analysis model based on setting of the economic growth rate, industrial structure, industry/sector energy consumption intensity, energy supply structure, and CO 2 emission factor. It is found that the total primary energy consumption in Hebei will be 471 and 431 million tons of coal equivalent (tce) in 2030 in our two defined scenarios (conventional development scenario and coordinated development scenario), which are 1.40 and 1.28 times of the level in 2015, respectively. The resultant full-chain CO 2 emission will be 1027 and 916 million tons in 2030 in the two scenarios, which are 1.24 and 1.10 times of the level in 2015, respectively. The full-chain CO 2 emission will peak in about 2025. It is found that the coal-dominated situation of energy structure and CO 2 emission increasing trend in Hebei can be changed in the future in the coordinated development scenario, in which Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei area coordinated development strategy will be strengthened. The energy structure of Hebei can be optimised since the proportion of coal in total primary energy consumption can fall from around 80% in 2015 to below 30% in 2030 and the proportions of transferred electricity, natural gas, nuclear energy and renewable energy can increase rapidly. Some specific additional policy instruments are also suggested to support the low-carbon transition of energy system in Hebei under the framework of the coordinated development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei area, and with the support from the central government of China.

Suggested Citation

  • Xunmin Ou & Zhiyi Yuan & Tianduo Peng & Zhenqing Sun & Sheng Zhou, 2017. "The Low-Carbon Transition toward Sustainability of Regional Coal-Dominated Energy Consumption Structure: A Case of Hebei Province in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-26, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:9:y:2017:i:7:p:1184-:d:103885
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/9/7/1184/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/9/7/1184/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhao, Guangling & Guerrero, Josep M. & Jiang, Kejun & Chen, Sha, 2017. "Energy modelling towards low carbon development of Beijing in 2030," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 107-113.
    2. Emodi, Nnaemeka Vincent & Emodi, Chinenye Comfort & Murthy, Girish Panchakshara & Emodi, Adaeze Saratu Augusta, 2017. "Energy policy for low carbon development in Nigeria: A LEAP model application," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 68(P1), pages 247-261.
    3. Jin, Wei & Zhang, ZhongXiang, 2014. "Quo Vadis? Energy Consumption and Technological Innovation," Working Papers 249494, Australian National University, Centre for Climate Economics & Policy.
    4. Yuan, Jiahai & Xu, Yan & Hu, Zheng & Zhao, Changhong & Xiong, Minpeng & Guo, Jingsheng, 2014. "Peak energy consumption and CO2 emissions in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 508-523.
    5. Hao Yu & Su-Yan Pan & Bao-Jun Tang & Zhi-Fu Mi & Yan Zhang & Yi-Ming Wei, 2014. "Urban energy consumption and CO2 emissions in Beijing: Current and Future," CEEP-BIT Working Papers 70, Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research (CEEP), Beijing Institute of Technology.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Guo, Xiurui & Shen, Yaqian & Chen, Dongsheng & Zhao, Lijuan & Tian, Xiaolei, 2021. "Quantification of reduced disease burden resulting from air quality improvement by clean energy deployment in Hebei Province, China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    2. Zeng Li & Jingying Fu & Gang Lin & Dong Jiang & Kun Liu & Yaxin Wang, 2019. "Multi-Scenario Analysis of Energy Consumption and Carbon Emissions: The Case of Hebei Province in China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-17, February.
    3. Krzysztofik, Robert & Dulias, Renata & Kantor-Pietraga, Iwona & Spórna, Tomasz & Dragan, Weronika, 2020. "Paths of urban planning in a post-mining area. A case study of a former sandpit in southern Poland," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    4. Shiyin Chen & Qingxu Huang & Ziwen Liu & Shiting Meng & Dan Yin & Lei Zhu & Chunyang He, 2019. "Assessing the Regional Sustainability of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration from 2000 to 2015 Using the Human Sustainable Development Index," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-17, June.
    5. Zhang, Xueru & Song, Wei & Lang, Yanqing & Feng, Xiaomiao & Yuan, Quanzhi & Wang, Jingtao, 2020. "Land use changes in the coastal zone of China’s Hebei Province and the corresponding impacts on habitat quality," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    6. Yuan, Rong & Rodrigues, João F.D. & Tukker, Arnold & Behrens, Paul, 2018. "The impact of the expansion in non-fossil electricity infrastructure on China’s carbon emissions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 1994-2008.
    7. Henrique Oliveira & Víctor Moutinho, 2021. "Renewable Energy, Economic Growth and Economic Development Nexus: A Bibliometric Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-28, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yan Xu & Junjie Kang & Jiahai Yuan, 2018. "The Prospective of Nuclear Power in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-21, June.
    2. Dong, Xiao-Ying & Hao, Yu, 2018. "Would income inequality affect electricity consumption? Evidence from China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 215-227.
    3. Hu, Guangxiao & Ma, Xiaoming & Ji, Junping, 2019. "Scenarios and policies for sustainable urban energy development based on LEAP model – A case study of a postindustrial city: Shenzhen China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 876-886.
    4. Shaozhou Qi & Huarong Peng & Xiujie Tan, 2019. "The Moderating Effect of R&D Investment on Income and Carbon Emissions in China: Direct and Spatial Spillover Insights," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-19, February.
    5. Bin Wang & Qiuxia Zheng & Ao Sun & Jie Bao & Dianting Wu, 2021. "Spatio-Temporal Patterns of CO 2 Emissions and Influencing Factors in China Using ESDA and PLS-SEM," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(21), pages 1-24, October.
    6. Muhammad Imran & Sajid Ali & Yousef Shahwan & Jijian Zhang & Issa Ahmad Al-Swiety, 2022. "Analyzing the Effects of Renewable and Nonrenewable Energy Usage and Technological Innovation on Environmental Sustainability: Evidence from QUAD Economies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-16, November.
    7. Østergaard, P.A. & Lund, H. & Thellufsen, J.Z. & Sorknæs, P. & Mathiesen, B.V., 2022. "Review and validation of EnergyPLAN," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    8. Li, Xi & Yu, Biying, 2019. "Peaking CO2 emissions for China's urban passenger transport sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    9. Garfield Wayne Hunter & Gideon Sagoe & Daniele Vettorato & Ding Jiayu, 2019. "Sustainability of Low Carbon City Initiatives in China: A Comprehensive Literature Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-37, August.
    10. Michael O. Dioha & Nnaemeka Vincent Emodi, 2019. "Investigating the Impacts of Energy Access Scenarios in the Nigerian Household Sector by 2030," Resources, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-18, July.
    11. Yong Bian & Zhi Yu & Xuelan Zeng & Jingchun Feng & Chao He, 2018. "Achieving China’s Long-Term Carbon Emission Abatement Targets: A Perspective from Regional Disparity," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-19, November.
    12. Carvalho, Ricardo L. & Lindgren, Robert & García-López, Natxo & Nyambane, Anne & Nyberg, Gert & Diaz-Chavez, Rocio & Boman, Christoffer, 2019. "Household air pollution mitigation with integrated biomass/cookstove strategies in Western Kenya," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 168-186.
    13. Ugwoke, B. & Gershon, O. & Becchio, C. & Corgnati, S.P. & Leone, P., 2020. "A review of Nigerian energy access studies: The story told so far," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    14. Lizhan Cao & Hui Wang, 2022. "The Slowdown in China’s Energy Consumption Growth in the “New Normal” Stage: From Both National and Regional Perspectives," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-21, April.
    15. Wang, Feng & Liu, Xiying & Nguyen, Tue Anh, 2018. "Evaluating the economic impacts and feasibility of China's energy cap: Based on an Analytic General Equilibrium Model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 114-126.
    16. Zhao, Changhong & Zhang, Weirong & Wang, Yang & Liu, Qilin & Guo, Jingsheng & Xiong, Minpeng & Yuan, Jiahai, 2017. "The economics of coal power generation in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 1-9.
    17. Giwa, Adewale & Alabi, Adetunji & Yusuf, Ahmed & Olukan, Tuza, 2017. "A comprehensive review on biomass and solar energy for sustainable energy generation in Nigeria," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 620-641.
    18. Mu, Yaqian & Wang, Can & Cai, Wenjia, 2018. "The economic impact of China's INDC: Distinguishing the roles of the renewable energy quota and the carbon market," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P2), pages 2955-2966.
    19. Xinyu Han & Rongrong Li, 2019. "Comparison of Forecasting Energy Consumption in East Africa Using the MGM, NMGM, MGM-ARIMA, and NMGM-ARIMA Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-24, August.
    20. Huo, Tengfei & Ma, Yuling & Xu, Linbo & Feng, Wei & Cai, Weiguang, 2022. "Carbon emissions in China's urban residential building sector through 2060: A dynamic scenario simulation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PA).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:9:y:2017:i:7:p:1184-:d:103885. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.