IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v16y2024i15p6495-d1445599.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Predicting the Invasion Range of the Common Myna, Acridotheres tristis Linnaeus, 1766 in Egypt under Climate Change

Author

Listed:
  • Gamal M. Orabi

    (Department of Zoology, Faculty of Science, Suez Canal University, Ismailia 41522, Egypt)

  • Fayez M. Semida

    (Department of Zoology, Faculty of Science, Suez Canal University, Ismailia 41522, Egypt)

  • Doaa M. Medany

    (Biotechnology Institute, Suez Canal University, Ismailia 41522, Egypt)

  • Mohamed A. Issa

    (Plant Protection Research Institute, Giza 12618, Egypt)

  • Sanad H. Ragab

    (Department of Zoology and Entomology, Faculty of Science (Boys), Al-Azhar University, Cairo 11884, Egypt)

  • Mohamed Kamel

    (Department of Environmental Basic Sciences, Faculty of Graduate Studies and Environmental Research, Ain Shams University, Cairo 11566, Egypt)

Abstract

The common myna bird ( Acridotheres tristis Linnaeus, 1766) is widely recognized as one of the most formidable invasive avian species globally. The bird poses significant challenges due to its ability to outcompete a variety of native cavity-nesting birds. Additionally, the common myna is a notable agricultural pest and a substantial threat to indigenous biodiversity. The current study is focused on understanding the distribution pattern of the common myna ( Acridotheres tristis Linnaeus, 1766) in Egypt and the significant favorable conditions to predict the invasion scale of the bird to the Egyptian fauna. To determine the environmental variables influencing the invasion range of the common myna in Egypt, a Species Distribution Model (SDM) was employed. The current work documented 117 invasion sites of the species from February to December 2023. The predicted habitats are mainly concentrated close to the Nile Delta of Egypt, the Suez Canal region, North and South Sinai, in addition to scattered areas on the Red Sea coast, along the riverbanks of Upper Egypt, in addition to a few northwestern areas of the Western Desert. The most significant environmental factors affecting the establishment were the Minimum Temperature of the Coldest Month, the Mean Temperature of the Coldest Quarter, and Elevation. The current invaded areas comprise about 0.8% of Egypt (8240 km 2 out of roughly one million km 2 ). We found that this is significant and of concern due to the expectation of increasingly favourable conditions due to global warming; this will turn this invasive species into a real threat to Egyptian ecosystems due to its aggressive competition with native cavity-nesting birds, its impact as an agricultural pest, and its potential to disrupt local biodiversity.

Suggested Citation

  • Gamal M. Orabi & Fayez M. Semida & Doaa M. Medany & Mohamed A. Issa & Sanad H. Ragab & Mohamed Kamel, 2024. "Predicting the Invasion Range of the Common Myna, Acridotheres tristis Linnaeus, 1766 in Egypt under Climate Change," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(15), pages 1-22, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:16:y:2024:i:15:p:6495-:d:1445599
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/16/15/6495/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/16/15/6495/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Moffitt, L. Joe & Osteen, Craig D., 2006. "Prioritizing Invasive Species Threats Under Uncertainty," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 35(1), pages 41-51, April.
    2. Moffitt, L. Joe & Osteen, Craig D., 2006. "Prioritizing Invasive Species Threats Under Uncertainty," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 35(1), pages 1-11, April.
    3. Worthington, Thomas A. & Zhang, Tianjiao & Logue, Daniel R. & Mittelstet, Aaron R. & Brewer, Shannon K., 2016. "Landscape and flow metrics affecting the distribution of a federally-threatened fish: Improving management, model fit, and model transferability," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 342(C), pages 1-18.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. L. Joe Moffitt & John K. Stranlund & Craig D. Osteen, 2009. "Securing the Border from Invasives: Robust Inspections Under Severe Uncertainty," Working Papers 2009-6, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Department of Resource Economics.
    2. Chengyan Yue & Terrance M. Hurley & Neil Anderson, 2011. "Do native and invasive labels affect consumer willingness to pay for plants? Evidence from experimental auctions," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 42(2), pages 195-205, March.
    3. Cervelli, Elena & Recchi, Pier Francesco & Fagnano, Massimo & Scotto di Perta, Ester & Pindozzi, Stefania, 2024. "Marginal lands between recovery and valorization. An inclusive definition to support bio-energy supply chains. The Southern Italy contexts case study," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    4. Yuncheng Zhao & Mingyue Zhao & Lei Zhang & Chunyi Wang & Yinlong Xu, 2021. "Predicting Possible Distribution of Tea ( Camellia sinensis L.) under Climate Change Scenarios Using MaxEnt Model in China," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-18, November.
    5. Keretz, Shay S. & Woolnough, Daelyn A. & Morris, Todd J. & Roseman, Edward F. & Zanatta, David T., 2024. "Habitat modelling of native freshwater mussels distinguishes river specific differences in the Detroit and St. Clair rivers of the Laurentian Great Lakes," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 487(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:16:y:2024:i:15:p:6495-:d:1445599. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.