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Prioritizing Invasive Species Threats Under Uncertainty

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  • Moffitt, L. Joe
  • Osteen, Craig D.

Abstract

Prioritizing exotic or invasive pest threats in terms of agricultural, environmental, or human health damages is an important resource allocation issue for programs charged with preventing or responding to the entry of such organisms. Under extreme uncertainty, program managers may decide to research the severity of threats, develop prevention or control actions, and estimate cost-effectiveness in order to provide better information and more options when making decisions to choose strategies for specific pests. We examine decision rules based on the minimax and relative cost criteria in order to express a cautious approach for decisions regarding severe, irreversible consequences, discuss the strengths and weaknesses of these rules, examine the roles of simple rules and sophisticated analyses in decision making, and apply a simple rule to develop a list of priority plant pests.

Suggested Citation

  • Moffitt, L. Joe & Osteen, Craig D., 2006. "Prioritizing Invasive Species Threats Under Uncertainty," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 35(1), pages 41-51, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:agrerw:v:35:y:2006:i:01:p:41-51_01
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    Cited by:

    1. Moffitt, L. Joe & Stranlund, John K. & Osteen, Craig D., 2009. "Securing the Border from Invasives: Robust Inspections Under Severe Uncertainty," Working Paper Series 53127, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Department of Resource Economics.
    2. Chengyan Yue & Terrance M. Hurley & Neil Anderson, 2011. "Do native and invasive labels affect consumer willingness to pay for plants? Evidence from experimental auctions," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 42(2), pages 195-205, March.
    3. Gamal M. Orabi & Fayez M. Semida & Doaa M. Medany & Mohamed A. Issa & Sanad H. Ragab & Mohamed Kamel, 2024. "Predicting the Invasion Range of the Common Myna, Acridotheres tristis Linnaeus, 1766 in Egypt under Climate Change," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(15), pages 1-22, July.

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