IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v16y2024i14p6125-d1437384.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spatiotemporal Dynamics and Scenario Simulation of Regional Green Spaces in a Rapidly Urbanizing Type I Large City: A Case Study of Changzhou, China

Author

Listed:
  • Chenjia Xu

    (College of Art and Design, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, China)

  • Yao Xiong

    (College of Art and Design, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, China)

  • Ziwen Liu

    (College of Art and Design, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, China)

  • Yajuan Chen

    (College of Art and Design, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, China)

Abstract

The rapid urbanization observed in major Chinese cities has resulted in the degradation of both urban and rural environments. In response to this challenge, the concept of regional green spaces has emerged as an innovative approach to coordinate and manage green space resources across urban and rural areas. This study focuses on conducting a comprehensive analysis of the evolution, driving factors, and future scenarios of regional green spaces in Changzhou, which serves as a representative Type I large city in China. To accomplish this analysis, Landsat satellite images from 1992, 2002, 2012, and 2022 were utilized. Various methodologies, including landscape pattern indices for quantitative evaluation, the CLUE-S model, logistic regression for qualitative evaluation, and the Markov–FLUS model, were employed. The findings indicate a continuous decline in the area of regional green spaces in Changzhou, decreasing from 248.23 km 2 in 1992 to 204.46 km 2 in 2022. Landscape pattern analysis reveals an increase in fragmentation, complexity, irregularity, and human interference within these green spaces. Logistic regression analysis identifies key driving factors influencing regional green spaces, including elevation, urban population, and proximity to water bodies and transportation. The scenario simulations provide valuable insights into potential future trends of regional green spaces. According to the economic priority scenario, a modest increase in regional green spaces is anticipated, while the ecological priority scenario indicates substantial growth. Conversely, the inertial development scenario predicts a continued decline in regional green spaces. This research emphasizes the significance of achieving a harmonious coexistence between economic progress and environmental preservation. It emphasizes the necessity of optimizing the arrangement of green areas within a region while fostering public engagement in the conservation of these spaces. The findings contribute to the protection and sustainable development of the urban environment in the Yangtze River Delta region.

Suggested Citation

  • Chenjia Xu & Yao Xiong & Ziwen Liu & Yajuan Chen, 2024. "Spatiotemporal Dynamics and Scenario Simulation of Regional Green Spaces in a Rapidly Urbanizing Type I Large City: A Case Study of Changzhou, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-26, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:16:y:2024:i:14:p:6125-:d:1437384
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/16/14/6125/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/16/14/6125/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zang, Yuzhu & Liu, Yansui & Yang, Yuanyuan & Woods, Michael & Fois, Francesca, 2020. "Rural decline or restructuring? Implications for sustainability transitions in rural China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    2. Yaou Ji & Qianqian Sheng & Zunling Zhu, 2023. "Assessment of Ecological Benefits of Urban Green Spaces in Nanjing City, China, Based on the Entropy Method and the Coupling Harmonious Degree Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-17, July.
    3. Min Shang & Ji Luo, 2021. "The Tapio Decoupling Principle and Key Strategies for Changing Factors of Chinese Urban Carbon Footprint Based on Cloud Computing," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(4), pages 1-17, February.
    4. Chen, Kunqiu & Long, Hualou & Liao, Liuwen & Tu, Shuangshuang & Li, Tingting, 2020. "Land use transitions and urban-rural integrated development: Theoretical framework and China’s evidence," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yanbo Qu & Meijing Wu & Lingyun Zhan & Ran Shang, 2023. "Multifunctional Evolution and Allocation Optimization of Rural Residential Land in China," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-23, January.
    2. Li, Lei & Ma, Shaojun & Zheng, Yilin & Xiao, Xinyue, 2022. "Integrated regional development: Comparison of urban agglomeration policies in China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    3. Ellen Banzhaf & Sally Anderson & Gwendoline Grandin & Richard Hardiman & Anne Jensen & Laurence Jones & Julius Knopp & Gregor Levin & Duncan Russel & Wanben Wu & Jun Yang & Marianne Zandersen, 2022. "Urban-Rural Dependencies and Opportunities to Design Nature-Based Solutions for Resilience in Europe and China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-25, March.
    4. Junzhong Zou & Kai Wang & Keke Zhang & Murizah Kassim, 2024. "Perspective of virtual machine consolidation in cloud computing: a systematic survey," Telecommunication Systems: Modelling, Analysis, Design and Management, Springer, vol. 87(2), pages 257-285, October.
    5. Chi, Yuan & Liu, Dahai & Wang, Jing & Wang, Enkang, 2020. "Human negative, positive, and net influences on an estuarine area with intensive human activity based on land covers and ecological indices: An empirical study in Chongming Island, China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    6. Ying Lu & Walter Timo de Vries, 2023. "Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Rural Development in China over the Past 40 Years," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-20, May.
    7. Xinyao Li & Lingzhi Wang & Bryan Pijanowski & Lingpeng Pan & Hichem Omrani & Anqi Liang & Yi Qu, 2022. "The Spatio-Temporal Pattern and Transition Mode of Recessive Cultivated Land Use Morphology in the Huaibei Region of the Jiangsu Province," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-16, November.
    8. Zhixiu Li & Shixi Cheng & Lin Xiao & Yangyang Wei & Tianchuan Fang, 2025. "Sustainability Benefit Evaluation and Optimization of Rural Public Spaces Under Self-Organization Theory," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(3), pages 1-34, January.
    9. Viccaro, Mauro & Romano, Severino & Prete, Carmelina & Cozzi, Mario, 2021. "Rural planning? An integrated dynamic model for assessing quality of life at a local scale," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    10. Guang Han & Ping Zhai & Liqun Zhu & Kongqing Li, 2023. "Economic Incentives, Reputation Incentives, and Rural Residents’ Participation in Household Waste Classification: Evidence from Jiangsu, China," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-15, October.
    11. Xiuling Ding & Qian Lu & Lipeng Li & Apurbo Sarkar & Hua Li, 2023. "Does Labor Transfer Improve Farmers’ Willingness to Withdraw from Farming?—A Bivariate Probit Modeling Approach," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-27, August.
    12. Lei Yan & Xubin Lei & Kairong Hong & Hui Li & Mengyuan Chen, 2022. "Improving Farmer Willingness to Participate in the Transfer of Land Rights in Rural China: A Preference-Based Income Distribution Scheme," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-22, March.
    13. Qian, Qian & Wang, Junbang & Zhang, Xiujuan & Wang, Shaoqiang & Li, Yingnian & Wang, Qinxue & Watson, Alan E. & Zhao, Xinquan, 2022. "Improving herders’ income through alpine grassland husbandry on Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    14. Yanjun Wang & Yanjun Chen & Wang Zhang & I-Chen Chao & Hang Li, 2024. "The Impact of Rural Tourism on Rural Culture Evidence from China," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-19, November.
    15. Bankole I. Oladapo & Mattew A. Olawumi & Francis T. Omigbodun, 2024. "Renewable Energy Credits Transforming Market Dynamics," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(19), pages 1-17, October.
    16. Tao Xia & Elias G. Carayannis & Stavros Sindakis & Saloome Showkat & Nikos Kanellos, 2024. "Technology transfer for sustainable rural development: evidence from homestead withdrawal with compensation in Chengdu–Chongqing," The Journal of Technology Transfer, Springer, vol. 49(1), pages 303-333, February.
    17. Kaoutare Amini Alaoui & Hassan Radoine, 2024. "Evolution of Landscapes and Land Cover in Old Villages of Ziz Oasis (East Morocco) and SWOT Analysis for Potential Sustainable Tourism," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-19, April.
    18. Worku Nega & Mulugeta Tenaw & Yeneneh Hunie & Sayeh Kassaw Agegnehu & Reinfried Mansberger, 2021. "Evaluating Institutional Dichotomy between Urban and Rural Land Administration in Amhara Region, Ethiopia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-19, August.
    19. Yuzhu Zang & Junjun Zhu & Xu Han & Ligang Lv, 2023. "Dynamics between Population Growth and Construction Land Expansion: Evidence from the Yangtze River Economic Belt of China," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-20, June.
    20. Tan, Kun & Zhao, Xiaoqing & Pu, Junwei & Li, Sinan & Li, Yuhao & Miao, Peipei & Wang, Qian, 2021. "Zoning regulation and development model for water and land resources in the Karst Mountainous Region of Southwest China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:16:y:2024:i:14:p:6125-:d:1437384. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.