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Multi-Objective Optimization for Food Availability under Economic and Environmental Risk Constraints

Author

Listed:
  • Bashar Hassna

    (College of Science and Engineering, Hamad Bin Khalifa University, Doha P.O. Box 34110, Qatar)

  • Sarah Namany

    (College of Science and Engineering, Hamad Bin Khalifa University, Doha P.O. Box 34110, Qatar)

  • Mohammad Alherbawi

    (College of Science and Engineering, Hamad Bin Khalifa University, Doha P.O. Box 34110, Qatar)

  • Adel Elomri

    (College of Science and Engineering, Hamad Bin Khalifa University, Doha P.O. Box 34110, Qatar)

  • Tareq Al-Ansari

    (College of Science and Engineering, Hamad Bin Khalifa University, Doha P.O. Box 34110, Qatar)

Abstract

Food security remains a critical global challenge, increasingly threatened by the adverse effects of climate change on agricultural productivity and food supply chains. Ensuring the stability, availability, and accessibility of food resources necessitates innovative strategies to assess and mitigate climate-related risks. This study presents a comprehensive analysis of the impact of climate change on global food systems, focusing on the risk assessment and optimization of food supply chains from the perspective of importers. Deploying the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), this study evaluates climate change risks associated with seven different suppliers for three key crops, considering a range of factors, including surface temperature, arable land, water stress, and adaptation policies. Utilizing these assessments, a multi-objective optimization model is developed and solved using MATLAB (R2018a)’s Genetic Algorithm, aiming to identify optimal suppliers to meet Qatar’s food demand, with consideration of the economic, environmental, and risk factors. The findings underscore the importance of a comprehensive approach in managing food supply chains and offer insights to enhance the resilience and sustainability of global food systems amid climate uncertainties. This study contributes to the literature by applying AHP and multi-objective optimization in climate risk management within food systems, providing valuable perspectives for policymakers and stakeholders in the agricultural sector. Furthermore, the multi-objective optimization model analyzed three crop networks, yielding total costs of USD 16 million, USD 6 million, and USD 10 million for tomatoes, onions, and cucumbers, respectively, with associated CO 2 eq emissions and risk percentages. The findings reveal concentrated global vegetable markets, with major importers accounting for over 60% of imports, though the leading importers differ across crops, highlighting regional demand and production disparities, potentially impacting food security and supply chain resilience.

Suggested Citation

  • Bashar Hassna & Sarah Namany & Mohammad Alherbawi & Adel Elomri & Tareq Al-Ansari, 2024. "Multi-Objective Optimization for Food Availability under Economic and Environmental Risk Constraints," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(11), pages 1-18, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:16:y:2024:i:11:p:4336-:d:1398787
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cucagna, Maria Emilia & Goldsmith, Peter D., 2018. "Value Adding in the Agri-Food Value Chain," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 21(3), February.
    2. Mabhaudhi, T. & Nhamo, Luxon & Mpandeli, S. & Nhemachena, Charles & Senzanje, A. & Sobratee, N. & Chivenge, P. P. & Slotow, R. & Naidoo, D. & Liphadzi, S. & Modi, A. T., 2019. "The water–energy–food nexus as a tool to transform rural livelihoods and well-being in southern Africa," Papers published in Journals (Open Access), International Water Management Institute, pages 16(16):1-20.
    3. Vaidya, Omkarprasad S. & Kumar, Sushil, 2006. "Analytic hierarchy process: An overview of applications," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 169(1), pages 1-29, February.
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