IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v15y2023i9p7548-d1139455.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Untangling the Integral Impact of Land Use Change, Economic, Ecological and Social Factors on the Development of Burabay District (Kazakhstan) during the Period 1999–2021

Author

Listed:
  • Onggarbek Alipbeki

    (Department Geodesy and Cartography, S. Seifullin Kazakh Agrotechnical Research University, Astana 01011, Kazakhstan)

  • Gauhar Mussaif

    (Department Geodesy and Cartography, S. Seifullin Kazakh Agrotechnical Research University, Astana 01011, Kazakhstan)

  • Chaimgul Alipbekova

    (Department Biology, Plant Protection and Quarantine, S. Seifullin Kazakh Agrotechnical Research University, Astana 01011, Kazakhstan)

  • Aizada Kapassova

    (Department Geodesy and Cartography, S. Seifullin Kazakh Agrotechnical Research University, Astana 01011, Kazakhstan)

  • Pavel Grossul

    (Department Geodesy and Cartography, S. Seifullin Kazakh Agrotechnical Research University, Astana 01011, Kazakhstan)

  • Meirzhan Aliyev

    (Department Geodesy and Cartography, S. Seifullin Kazakh Agrotechnical Research University, Astana 01011, Kazakhstan)

  • Nursultan Mineyev

    (Department Geodesy and Cartography, S. Seifullin Kazakh Agrotechnical Research University, Astana 01011, Kazakhstan)

Abstract

Long-term spatiotemporal Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) analysis is an objective tool for assessing patterns of sustainable development (SD). The basic purpose of this research is to define the Driving Mechanisms (DM) and assess the trend of SD in the Burabay district (Kazakhstan), which includes a city, an agro-industrial complex, and a national natural park, based on the integrated use of spatiotemporal data (STD), economic, environmental, and social (EES) indicators. The research was performed on the GEE platform using Landsat and Random Forest. The DM were studied by Multiple Linear Regression and Principal Component Analysis. SD trend was assessed through sequential transformations, aggregations, and integrations of 36 original STD and EES indicators. The overall classification accuracy was 0.85–0.97. Over the past 23 years, pasture area has changed the most (−16.69%), followed by arable land (+14.72%), forest area increased slightly (+1.81%), and built-up land—only +0.16%. The DM of development of the AOI are mainly economic components. There has been a noticeable drop in the development growth of the study area in 2021, which is apparently a consequence of the COVID-19. The upshots of the research can serve as a foundation for evaluating SD and LULC policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Onggarbek Alipbeki & Gauhar Mussaif & Chaimgul Alipbekova & Aizada Kapassova & Pavel Grossul & Meirzhan Aliyev & Nursultan Mineyev, 2023. "Untangling the Integral Impact of Land Use Change, Economic, Ecological and Social Factors on the Development of Burabay District (Kazakhstan) during the Period 1999–2021," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-36, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:9:p:7548-:d:1139455
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/9/7548/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/9/7548/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Srishti Gaur & Rajendra Singh, 2023. "A Comprehensive Review on Land Use/Land Cover (LULC) Change Modeling for Urban Development: Current Status and Future Prospects," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-12, January.
    2. Mads Christensen & Jamal Jokar Arsanjani, 2020. "Stimulating Implementation of Sustainable Development Goals and Conservation Action: Predicting Future Land Use/Cover Change in Virunga National Park, Congo," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-28, February.
    3. Campagnolo, Lorenza & Eboli, Fabio & Farnia, Luca & Carraro, Carlo, 2018. "Supporting the UN SDGs transition: Methodology for sustainability assessment and current worldwide ranking," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 12, pages 1-19.
    4. Amir Esmael Forouhid & Shahrzad Khosravi & Jafar Mahmoudi, 2023. "Noise Pollution Analysis Using Geographic Information System, Agglomerative Hierarchical Clustering and Principal Component Analysis in Urban Sustainability (Case Study: Tehran)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-22, January.
    5. Janja Rudolf & Andrej Udovč, 2022. "Introducing the SWOT Scorecard Technique to Analyse Diversified AE Collective Schemes with a DEX Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-19, January.
    6. Daniel Rozas-Vásquez & Marcin Spyra & Felipe Jorquera & Sebastián Molina & Nica Claudia Caló, 2022. "Ecosystem Services Supply from Peri-Urban Landscapes and Their Contribution to the Sustainable Development Goals: A Global Perspective," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-18, November.
    7. Xiaoteng Cen & Cifang Wu & Xiaoshi Xing & Ming Fang & Zhuoma Garang & Yizhou Wu, 2015. "Coupling Intensive Land Use and Landscape Ecological Security for Urban Sustainability: An Integrated Socioeconomic Data and Spatial Metrics Analysis in Hangzhou City," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-24, January.
    8. Anning Liang & Dongmei Yan & Jun Yan & Yayang Lu & Xiaowei Wang & Wanrong Wu, 2023. "A Comprehensive Assessment of Sustainable Development of Urbanization in Hainan Island Using Remote Sensing Products and Statistical Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-21, January.
    9. Ayyoob Sharifi, 2020. "Urban Resilience Assessment: Mapping Knowledge Structure and Trends," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-18, July.
    10. Barbara Kalisz & Krystyna Żuk-Gołaszewska & Wioleta Radawiec & Janusz Gołaszewski, 2023. "Land Use Indicators in the Context of Land Use Efficiency," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-18, January.
    11. Selvina Aliyeva & Xi Chen & Degang Yang & Kanat Samarkhanov & Ordenbek Mazbayev & Aday Sekenuly & Gulnura Issanova & Sadyrbek Kozhokulov, 2019. "The Socioeconomic Impact of Tourism in East Kazakhstan Region: Assessment Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(17), pages 1-14, September.
    12. United Nations UN, 2015. "Transforming our World: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development," Working Papers id:7559, eSocialSciences.
    13. Shu Yu & Yongtong Mu, 2022. "Sustainable Agricultural Development Assessment: A Comprehensive Review and Bibliometric Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-18, September.
    14. Etheldreder Trecia Koppa & Innocent Musonda & Sambo Lyson Zulu, 2023. "A Systematic Literature Review on Local Sustainability Assessment Processes for Infrastructure Development Projects in Africa," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-37, January.
    15. Xinyu Wang & Xinzhi Yao & Huamei Shao & Tian Bai & Yaqiong Xu & Guohang Tian & Albert Fekete & László Kollányi, 2023. "Land Use Quality Assessment and Exploration of the Driving Forces Based on Location: A Case Study in Luohe City, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-17, January.
    16. Shruti Kanga & Suraj Kumar Singh & Gowhar Meraj & Anup Kumar & Ruby Parveen & Nikola Kranjčić & Bojan Đurin, 2022. "Assessment of the Impact of Urbanization on Geoenvironmental Settings Using Geospatial Techniques: A Study of Panchkula District, Haryana," Geographies, MDPI, vol. 2(1), pages 1-10, January.
    17. van Ittersum, Martin K. & Ewert, Frank & Heckelei, Thomas & Wery, Jacques & Alkan Olsson, Johanna & Andersen, Erling & Bezlepkina, Irina & Brouwer, Floor & Donatelli, Marcello & Flichman, Guillermo & , 2008. "Integrated assessment of agricultural systems - A component-based framework for the European Union (SEAMLESS)," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 96(1-3), pages 150-165, March.
    18. Anthony D. Barnosky & Nicholas Matzke & Susumu Tomiya & Guinevere O. U. Wogan & Brian Swartz & Tiago B. Quental & Charles Marshall & Jenny L. McGuire & Emily L. Lindsey & Kaitlin C. Maguire & Ben Mers, 2011. "Has the Earth’s sixth mass extinction already arrived?," Nature, Nature, vol. 471(7336), pages 51-57, March.
    19. Mashudu Andra Mabibibi & Kaitano Dube & Konanani Thwala, 2021. "Successes and Challenges in Sustainable Development Goals Localisation for Host Communities around Kruger National Park," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-16, May.
    20. Onggarbek Alipbeki & Chaimgul Alipbekova & Arnold Sterenharz & Zhanat Toleubekova & Saule Makenova & Meirzhan Aliyev & Nursultan Mineyev, 2020. "Analysis of Land-Use Change in Shortandy District in Terms of Sustainable Development," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-16, May.
    21. Honglei Jiang & Xia Xu & Mengxi Guan & Lingfei Wang & Yongmei Huang & Yinghui Liu, 2019. "Simulation of Spatiotemporal Land Use Changes for Integrated Model of Socioeconomic and Ecological Processes in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-18, July.
    22. Christoph Schneider & Bianca Achilles & Hendrik Merbitz, 2014. "Urbanity and Urbanization: An Interdisciplinary Review Combining Cultural and Physical Approaches," Land, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-26, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Moldir Seitkazy & Nail Beisekenov & Omirzhan Taukebayev & Kanat Zulpykharov & Aigul Tokbergenova & Salavat Duisenbayev & Edil Sarybaev & Zhanarys Turymtayev, 2024. "Forecasting Land Use Dynamics in Talas District, Kazakhstan, Using Landsat Data and the Google Earth Engine (GEE) Platform," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-18, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Batara Surya & Agus Salim & Hernita Hernita & Seri Suriani & Firman Menne & Emil Salim Rasyidi, 2021. "Land Use Change, Urban Agglomeration, and Urban Sprawl: A Sustainable Development Perspective of Makassar City, Indonesia," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-31, May.
    2. Grigorios L. Kyriakopoulos, 2023. "Land Use Planning and Green Environment Services: The Contribution of Trail Paths to Sustainable Development," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-25, May.
    3. Bali Swain, Ranjula & Ranganathan, Shyam, 2021. "Modeling interlinkages between sustainable development goals using network analysis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    4. Mohsen Alawi & Dongzhu Chu & Seba Hammad, 2023. "Resilience of Public Open Spaces to Earthquakes: A Case Study of Chongqing, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-20, January.
    5. Alessandro Magrini & Francesca Giambona, 2022. "A Composite Indicator to Assess Sustainability of Agriculture in European Union Countries," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 163(3), pages 1003-1036, October.
    6. Barbier, Edward B. & Burgess, Joanne C., 2019. "Sustainable development goal indicators: Analyzing trade-offs and complementarities," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 295-305.
    7. Paulina Schiappacasse & Bernhard Müller & Le Thuy Linh, 2019. "Towards Responsible Aggregate Mining in Vietnam," Resources, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-15, August.
    8. Pina Puntillo, 2023. "Circular economy business models: Towards achieving sustainable development goals in the waste management sector—Empirical evidence and theoretical implications," Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(2), pages 941-954, March.
    9. Schlör, Holger & Venghaus, Sandra & Hake, Jürgen-Friedrich, 2018. "The FEW-Nexus city index – Measuring urban resilience," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 382-392.
    10. Jean-Louis Combes & Alexandru Minea & Pegdéwendé Nestor Sawadogo, 2019. "Assessing the effects of combating illicit financial flows on domestic tax revenue mobilization in developing countries," Post-Print halshs-02315734, HAL.
    11. Nelson, Ewan & Warren, Peter, 2020. "UK transport decoupling: On track for clean growth in transport?," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 39-51.
    12. Ibrahim Ari & Muammer Koc, 2018. "Sustainable Financing for Sustainable Development: Understanding the Interrelations between Public Investment and Sovereign Debt," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-25, October.
    13. R. Ebrahimi & S. Choobchian & H. Farhadian & I. Goli & E. Farmandeh & H. Azadi, 2022. "Investigating the effect of vocational education and training on rural women’s empowerment," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-11, December.
    14. Benjamin Nölting & Bettina König & Anne B. Zimmermann & Antonietta Di Giulio & Martina Schäfer & Flurina Schneider, 2022. "Dealing with the COVID-19 pandemic: an opportunity to reflect on sustainability research," Sustainability Nexus Forum, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 11-27, December.
    15. Rashmi Jaipal, 2017. "Psychology at the Crossroads," Psychology and Developing Societies, , vol. 29(2), pages 125-159, September.
    16. Bárbara Galleli & Elder Semprebon & Joyce Aparecida Ramos dos Santos & Noah Emanuel Brito Teles & Mateus Santos de Freitas-Martins & Raquel Teodoro da Silva Onevetch, 2021. "Institutional Pressures, Sustainable Development Goals and COVID-19: How Are Organisations Engaging?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-21, November.
    17. Sagarika Dey & Priyanka Devi, 2019. "Impact of TVET on Labour Market Outcomes and Women’s Empowerment in Rural Areas: A Case Study from Cachar District, Assam," Indian Journal of Human Development, , vol. 13(3), pages 357-371, December.
    18. Rostami-Tabar, Bahman & Ali, Mohammad M. & Hong, Tao & Hyndman, Rob J. & Porter, Michael D. & Syntetos, Aris, 2022. "Forecasting for social good," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 1245-1257.
    19. Maria Sassi, 2020. "A SEM Approach to the Direct and Indirect Links between WaSH Services and Access to Food in Countries in Protracted Crises: The Case of Western Bahr-el-Ghazal State, South Sudan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-13, November.
    20. Seebacher, Moritz, 2023. "Pathways to progress: The complementarity of bicycles and road infrastructure for girls’ education," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:9:p:7548-:d:1139455. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.