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Evaluation of Land Carrying Capacity of 31 Provinces in China Based on a Natural–Societal-Supply–Demand Framework

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  • Huijuan Hu

    (School of Land Engineering, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710054, China)

  • Ling Han

    (School of Land Engineering, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710054, China)

Abstract

Land carrying capacity (LCC) refers to the ability of land resources to support human activities, and has become an important tool for research into the man–land relationship. Due to the 31 provinces of China possessing huge differences in resource and social development, it is necessary to understand the key factors and differences in LCC in each province. This paper provided a framework for the Natural–Societal-Supply–Demand of LCC, and analyzed the LCC of the 31 provinces of China via the cross relationship between the four subsystems. In total, 22 indicators were selected, and the weight of the indicators was calculated via the gray correlation coefficient. Through this framework, the LCC is endowed by natural resources and is improved by social development; the comprehensive LCC of the 31 provinces was evaluated using geographic information data and statistical data, and the main causes of overload were analyzed by using the obstacle model. The results show that (1) The natural resources of most provinces in China cannot support the current population; (2) Social development has significantly improved the LCC; and (3) The shortage of natural resources is the key factor in LCC overloading in most provinces. Insufficient food supply, insufficient carbon sequestration, the shortage of construction land, and insufficient water supply are the main causes of overload in China.

Suggested Citation

  • Huijuan Hu & Ling Han, 2023. "Evaluation of Land Carrying Capacity of 31 Provinces in China Based on a Natural–Societal-Supply–Demand Framework," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-17, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:2:p:1037-:d:1026781
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Wei Zhou & Ayman Elshkaki & Shuai Zhong & Lei Shen, 2021. "Study on Relative Carrying Capacity of Land Resources and Its Zoning in 31 Provinces of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-13, January.
    2. Zhu Liu & Dabo Guan & Wei Wei & Steven J. Davis & Philippe Ciais & Jin Bai & Shushi Peng & Qiang Zhang & Klaus Hubacek & Gregg Marland & Robert J. Andres & Douglas Crawford-Brown & Jintai Lin & Hongya, 2015. "Reduced carbon emission estimates from fossil fuel combustion and cement production in China," Nature, Nature, vol. 524(7565), pages 335-338, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Xiaoyan Bu & Xiaomin Wang & Jiarui Wang & Ge Shi, 2023. "A Study on Resource Carrying Capacity and Early Warning of Urban Agglomerations of the Yellow River Basin Based on Sustainable Development Goals, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-20, October.
    2. Xiang Shi & Xiao Yu & Shijun Wang & Feilong Hao, 2023. "Influence of Intercity Network on Land Comprehensive Carrying Capacity: A Perspective of Population Flow," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-21, July.

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