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TCN-Informer-Based Flight Trajectory Prediction for Aircraft in the Approach Phase

Author

Listed:
  • Zijing Dong

    (School of Airport, Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Guanghan 618307, China
    CAAC Key Laboratory of Flight Techniques and Flight Safety, Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Guanghan 618307, China)

  • Boyi Fan

    (CAAC Key Laboratory of Flight Techniques and Flight Safety, Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Guanghan 618307, China)

  • Fan Li

    (CAAC Key Laboratory of Flight Techniques and Flight Safety, Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Guanghan 618307, China)

  • Xuezhi Xu

    (CAAC Key Laboratory of Flight Techniques and Flight Safety, Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Guanghan 618307, China)

  • Hong Sun

    (CAAC Key Laboratory of Flight Techniques and Flight Safety, Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Guanghan 618307, China)

  • Weiwei Cao

    (CAAC Key Laboratory of Flight Techniques and Flight Safety, Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Guanghan 618307, China
    Chengdu Institute of Computer Application, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu 610029, China)

Abstract

Trajectory prediction (TP) is a vital operation in air traffic control systems for flight monitoring and tracking. The approach phase of general aviation (GA) aircraft is more of a visual approach, which is related to the safety of the flight and whether to go around. Therefore, it is important to accurately predict the flight trajectory of the approach phase. Based on the historical flight trajectories of GA aircraft, a TP model is proposed with deep learning after feature extraction in this study, and the hybrid model combines a time convolution network and an improved transformer model. First, feature extraction of the spatiotemporal dimension is performed on the preprocessed flight data by using TCN; then, the extracted features are executed by adopting the Informer model for TP. The performance of the novel architecture is verified by experiments based on real flight trajectory data. The results show that the proposed TCN-Informer architecture performs better according to various evaluation metrics, which means that the prediction accuracies of the hybrid model are better than those of the typical prediction models widely used today. Moreover, it has been verified that the proposed method can provide valuable suggestions for decision-making regarding whether to go around during the approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Zijing Dong & Boyi Fan & Fan Li & Xuezhi Xu & Hong Sun & Weiwei Cao, 2023. "TCN-Informer-Based Flight Trajectory Prediction for Aircraft in the Approach Phase," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-20, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:23:p:16344-:d:1288851
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Shu-Yuan Jiang & Xiling Luo & Liang He, 2021. "Research on Method of Trajectory Prediction in Aircraft Flight Based on Aircraft Performance and Historical Track Data," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2021, pages 1-11, February.
    2. Chunzheng Wang & Minghua Hu & Lei Yang & Zheng Zhao, 2021. "Prediction of air traffic delays: An agent-based model introducing refined parameter estimation methods," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(4), pages 1-22, April.
    3. Hongbin Xu & Qiang Peng & Yuhao Wang & Zengwen Zhan, 2023. "Power-Load Forecasting Model Based on Informer and Its Application," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-14, March.
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