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Urban Vulnerability Assessment for Pandemic Surveillance—The COVID-19 Case in Bogotá, Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Jeisson Prieto

    (Departamento de Matemáticas, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Bogotá 11001, Colombia)

  • Rafael Malagón

    (Departamento de Salud Colectiva, Facultad de Odontología, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Bogotá 11001, Colombia)

  • Jonatan Gomez

    (Departamento de Ingeniería de Sistemas e Industrial, Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Bogotá 11001, Colombia)

  • Elizabeth León

    (Departamento de Ingeniería de Sistemas e Industrial, Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Bogotá 11001, Colombia)

Abstract

A pandemic devastates the lives of global citizens and causes significant economic, social, and political disruption. Evidence suggests that the likelihood of pandemics has increased over the past century because of increased global travel and integration, urbanization, and changes in land use with a profound affectation of society–nature metabolism. Further, evidence concerning the urban character of the pandemic has underlined the role of cities in disease transmission. An early assessment of the severity of infection and transmissibility can help quantify the pandemic potential and prioritize surveillance to control highly vulnerable urban areas in pandemics. In this paper, an Urban Vulnerability Assessment (UVA) methodology is proposed. UVA investigates various vulnerability factors related to pandemics to assess the vulnerability in urban areas. A vulnerability index is constructed by the aggregation of multiple vulnerability factors computed on each urban area (i.e., urban density, poverty index, informal labor, transmission routes). This methodology is useful in a-priori evaluation and development of policies and programs aimed at reducing disaster risk (DRR) at different scales (i.e., addressing urban vulnerability at national, regional, and provincial scales), under diverse scenarios of resources scarcity (i.e., short and long-term actions), and for different audiences (i.e., the general public, policy-makers, international organizations). The applicability of UVA is shown by the identification of high vulnerable areas based on publicly available data where surveillance should be prioritized in the COVID-19 pandemic in Bogotá, Colombia.

Suggested Citation

  • Jeisson Prieto & Rafael Malagón & Jonatan Gomez & Elizabeth León, 2021. "Urban Vulnerability Assessment for Pandemic Surveillance—The COVID-19 Case in Bogotá, Colombia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-13, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:6:p:3402-:d:520268
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jonatan Gomez & Jeisson Prieto & Elizabeth Leon & Arles Rodríguez, 2021. "INFEKTA—An agent-based model for transmission of infectious diseases: The COVID-19 case in Bogotá, Colombia," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(2), pages 1-16, February.
    2. Mishra, Swasti Vardhan & Gayen, Amiya & Haque, Sk. Mafizul, 2020. "COVID-19 and urban vulnerability in India," SocArXiv 523r8, Center for Open Science.
    3. Jorge Salas & Víctor Yepes, 2019. "VisualUVAM: A Decision Support System Addressing the Curse of Dimensionality for the Multi-Scale Assessment of Urban Vulnerability in Spain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-17, April.
    4. Peter Emerson, 2013. "The original Borda count and partial voting," Social Choice and Welfare, Springer;The Society for Social Choice and Welfare, vol. 40(2), pages 353-358, February.
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