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Integration of Land Use and Transport to Reach Sustainable Development Goals: Will Radical Scenarios Actually Get Us There?

Author

Listed:
  • Carlos Llorca

    (Professorship for Modeling Spatial Mobility, Department of Civil, Geo and Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Munich, 80333 Munich, Germany)

  • Cat Silva

    (Professorship for Modeling Spatial Mobility, Department of Civil, Geo and Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Munich, 80333 Munich, Germany)

  • Nico Kuehnel

    (Professorship for Modeling Spatial Mobility, Department of Civil, Geo and Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Munich, 80333 Munich, Germany)

  • Ana T. Moreno

    (Professorship for Modeling Spatial Mobility, Department of Civil, Geo and Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Munich, 80333 Munich, Germany)

  • Qin Zhang

    (Professorship for Modeling Spatial Mobility, Department of Civil, Geo and Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Munich, 80333 Munich, Germany)

  • Masanobu Kii

    (Faculty of Engineering and Design, Kagawa University, 2217-20 Hayashicho, Kagawa 761 0396, Japan)

  • Rolf Moeckel

    (Professorship for Modeling Spatial Mobility, Department of Civil, Geo and Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Munich, 80333 Munich, Germany)

Abstract

The United Nations have developed Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) to guide countries’ development in the next decades. In this paper, we first propose a set of measurable indicators that define the degree of achievement of SDG. Secondly, we use a microscopic integrated land use and transportation model to define future scenarios and measure SDG in the future with radical policies. The model is implemented in Munich and Kagawa. The results are not uniform across policies: while the core cities scenario limits urban sprawl and consumption of greenfield land, traffic conditions and GHG emissions worsened. Furthermore, the scenarios also show the relevance of testing policies in different study areas: the core city scenario and the draconic resettlement scenario showed some impact on vehicle-kilometers traveled in Munich, while the impact in the Kagawa region was almost negligible. In general, only strong (and perhaps implausible) relocation policies result in overall significant changes in the SDG indicators.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos Llorca & Cat Silva & Nico Kuehnel & Ana T. Moreno & Qin Zhang & Masanobu Kii & Rolf Moeckel, 2020. "Integration of Land Use and Transport to Reach Sustainable Development Goals: Will Radical Scenarios Actually Get Us There?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-19, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:12:y:2020:i:23:p:9795-:d:450050
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Carlos Javier de las Heras-Rosas & Juan Herrera, 2019. "Towards Sustainable Mobility through a Change in Values. Evidence in 12 European Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-23, August.
    2. Andrzej Raszkowski & Bartosz Bartniczak, 2019. "On the Road to Sustainability: Implementation of the 2030 Agenda Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) in Poland," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-20, January.
    3. Isti Hidayati & Claudia Yamu & Wendy Tan, 2019. "The Emergence of Mobility Inequality in Greater Jakarta, Indonesia: A Socio-Spatial Analysis of Path Dependencies in Transport–Land Use Policies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(18), pages 1-18, September.
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    3. Witsarut Achariyaviriya & Yoshitsugu Hayashi & Hiroyuki Takeshita & Masanobu Kii & Varameth Vichiensan & Thanaruk Theeramunkong, 2021. "Can Space–Time Shifting of Activities and Travels Mitigate Hyper-Congestion in an Emerging Megacity, Bangkok? Effects on Quality of Life and CO 2 Emission," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-19, June.
    4. Masanobu Kii & Yuki Goda & Varameth Vichiensan & Hiroyuki Miyazaki & Rolf Moeckel, 2021. "Assessment of Spatiotemporal Peak Shift of Intra-Urban Transportation Taking a Case in Bangkok, Thailand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-16, June.
    5. Serban Raicu & Dorinela Costescu & Mihaela Popa & Vasile Dragu, 2021. "Dynamic Intercorrelations between Transport/Traffic Infrastructures and Territorial Systems: From Economic Growth to Sustainable Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-16, October.

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