IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v11y2019i22p6254-d284623.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modified Driving Safety Field Based on Trajectory Prediction Model for Pedestrian–Vehicle Collision

Author

Listed:
  • Renfei Wu

    (Department of Transportation, Nanjing University of Science and Technology, Nanjing 210094, China)

  • Xunjia Zheng

    (State Key Laboratory of Automotive Safety and Energy, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China)

  • Yongneng Xu

    (Department of Transportation, Nanjing University of Science and Technology, Nanjing 210094, China)

  • Wei Wu

    (Department of Transportation, Nanjing University of Science and Technology, Nanjing 210094, China)

  • Guopeng Li

    (College of Information and Communication, National University of Defense Technology, Xian 710106, China)

  • Qing Xu

    (State Key Laboratory of Automotive Safety and Energy, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China)

  • Zhuming Nie

    (Department of Education Technology, School of Educational Science Anhui Normal University, Wuhu 241000, China)

Abstract

Pedestrian–vehicle collision is an important component of traffic accidents. Over the past decades, it has become the focus of academic and industrial research and presents an important challenge. This study proposes a modified Driving Safety Field (DSF) model for pedestrian–vehicle risk assessment at an unsignalized road section, in which predicted positions are considered. A Dynamic Bayesian Network (DBN) model is employed for pedestrian intention inference, and a particle filtering model is conducted to simulate pedestrian motion. Driving data collection was conducted and pedestrian–vehicle scenarios were extracted. The effectiveness of the proposed model was evaluated by Monte Carlo simulations running 1000 times. Results show that the proposed risk assessment approach reduces braking times by 18.73%. Besides this, the average value of TTC −1 (the reciprocal of time-to-collision) and the maximum TTC −1 were decreased by 28.83% and 33.91%, respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Renfei Wu & Xunjia Zheng & Yongneng Xu & Wei Wu & Guopeng Li & Qing Xu & Zhuming Nie, 2019. "Modified Driving Safety Field Based on Trajectory Prediction Model for Pedestrian–Vehicle Collision," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(22), pages 1-15, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:11:y:2019:i:22:p:6254-:d:284623
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/11/22/6254/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/11/22/6254/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Catherine Staton & Joao Vissoci & Enying Gong & Nicole Toomey & Rebeccah Wafula & Jihad Abdelgadir & Yi Zhou & Chen Liu & Fengdi Pei & Brittany Zick & Camille D Ratliff & Claire Rotich & Nicole Jadue , 2016. "Road Traffic Injury Prevention Initiatives: A Systematic Review and Metasummary of Effectiveness in Low and Middle Income Countries," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(1), pages 1-15, January.
    2. Lord, Dominique & Mannering, Fred, 2010. "The statistical analysis of crash-frequency data: A review and assessment of methodological alternatives," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 44(5), pages 291-305, June.
    3. Zhou, Zhuping & Cai, Yifei & Ke, Ruimin & Yang, Jiwei, 2017. "A collision avoidance model for two-pedestrian groups: Considering random avoidance patterns," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 475(C), pages 142-154.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Cheng Peng & Chenxiao Ma & Yunhao Dong, 2023. "Unravelling the Formation Mechanism of Sustainable Underground Pedestrian Systems: Two Case Studies in Shanghai," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-23, August.
    2. Matteo Miani & Matteo Dunnhofer & Christian Micheloni & Andrea Marini & Nicola Baldo, 2021. "Surrogate Safety Measures Prediction at Multiple Timescales in V2P Conflicts Based on Gated Recurrent Unit," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-18, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Pablo Martínez & Daniela Contreras & Mónica Moreno, 2020. "Safe mobility, socioeconomic inequalities, and aging: A 12-year multilevel interrupted time-series analysis of road traffic death rates in a Latin American country," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(1), pages 1-14, January.
    2. Najaf, Pooya & Thill, Jean-Claude & Zhang, Wenjia & Fields, Milton Greg, 2018. "City-level urban form and traffic safety: A structural equation modeling analysis of direct and indirect effects," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 257-270.
    3. Buddhavarapu, Prasad & Bansal, Prateek & Prozzi, Jorge A., 2021. "A new spatial count data model with time-varying parameters," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 566-586.
    4. Khondoker Billah & Qasim Adegbite & Hatim O. Sharif & Samer Dessouky & Lauren Simcic, 2021. "Analysis of Intersection Traffic Safety in the City of San Antonio, 2013–2017," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-18, May.
    5. Bo Yang & Yao Wu & Weihua Zhang & Jie Bao, 2020. "Modeling Collision Probability on Freeway: Accounting for Different Types and Severities in Various LOS," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-13, September.
    6. Bae, Bumjoon & Seo, Changbeom, 2022. "Do public-private partnerships help improve road safety? Finding empirical evidence using panel data models," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 336-342.
    7. Mutia J. Mpekethu & Dr. Franciscah Irangi Wamocho & Dr. Beatrice Bunyasi Awori, 2020. "Influence of Disabilities Induced by Road Traffic Accidents on Academic Achievement of Survivors’ Children before and After Occurrence of Accidents in Kiambu County," International Journal of Research and Scientific Innovation, International Journal of Research and Scientific Innovation (IJRSI), vol. 7(7), pages 270-278, July.
    8. Svetlana BAČKALIĆ & Dragan JOVANOVIĆ & Todor BAČKALIĆ & Boško MATOVIĆ & Miloš PLJAKIĆ, 2019. "The Application Of Reliability Reallocation Model In Traffic Safety Analysis On Rural Roads," Transport Problems, Silesian University of Technology, Faculty of Transport, vol. 14(1), pages 115-125, April.
    9. Izdebski, Mariusz & Jacyna-Gołda, Ilona & Gołda, Paweł, 2022. "Minimisation of the probability of serious road accidents in the transport of dangerous goods," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    10. Dong, Chunjiao & Shao, Chunfu & Clarke, David B. & Nambisan, Shashi S., 2018. "An innovative approach for traffic crash estimation and prediction on accommodating unobserved heterogeneities," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 407-428.
    11. Lv, Jinpeng & Lord, Dominique & Zhang, Yunlong & Chen, Zhi, 2015. "Investigating Peltzman effects in adopting mandatory seat belt laws in the US: Evidence from non-occupant fatalities," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 58-64.
    12. Ye, Wei & Xu, Yueru & Shi, Xiaomeng & Shiwakoti, Nirajan & Ye, Zhirui & Zheng, Yuan, 2024. "A macroscopic safety indicator for road segment: application of entropy theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 642(C).
    13. Dereli, Mehmet Ali & Erdogan, Saffet, 2017. "A new model for determining the traffic accident black spots using GIS-aided spatial statistical methods," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 106-117.
    14. Maria Luisa Tumminello & Elżbieta Macioszek & Anna Granà, 2024. "Insights into Simulated Smart Mobility on Roundabouts: Achievements, Lessons Learned, and Steps Ahead," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-33, May.
    15. Ruru Xing & Zimu Li & Xiaoyu Cai & Zepeng Yang & Ningning Zhang & Tao Yang, 2023. "Accident Rate Prediction Model for Urban Expressway Underwater Tunnel," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-28, July.
    16. Wang, Hwachyi & De Backer, Hans & Lauwers, Dirk & Chang, S.K.Jason, 2019. "A spatio-temporal mapping to assess bicycle collision risks on high-risk areas (Bridges) - A case study from Taipei (Taiwan)," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 94-109.
    17. Ulak, Mehmet Baran & Ozguven, Eren Erman & Spainhour, Lisa & Vanli, Omer Arda, 2017. "Spatial investigation of aging-involved crashes: A GIS-based case study in Northwest Florida," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 71-91.
    18. Petr Halámek & Radka Matuszková & Michal Radimský, 2021. "Modernisation of Regional Roads Evaluated Using Ex-Post CBA," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-20, February.
    19. Chen, Roger B., 2018. "Models of count with endogenous choices," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 117(PB), pages 862-875.
    20. Darren Shannon & Grigorios Fountas, 2022. "Amending the Heston Stochastic Volatility Model to Forecast Local Motor Vehicle Crash Rates: A Case Study of Washington, D.C," Papers 2203.01729, arXiv.org.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:11:y:2019:i:22:p:6254-:d:284623. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.