IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v10y2018i10p3620-d174708.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Macroprudential Policy, Credit Cycle, and Bank Risk-Taking

Author

Listed:
  • Xing Zhang

    (School of Finance, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China)

  • Fengchao Li

    (School of Finance, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China)

  • Zhen Li

    (School of Finance, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China)

  • Yingying Xu

    (Donlinks School of Economics and Management, University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing 100083, China)

Abstract

This paper constructs a theoretical model to analyze the effect of macroprudential policies (MPPs) on bank risk-taking. We collect a data set of 231 commercial banks in China to empirically test whether macroprudential tools, including countercyclical capital buffers, reserve requirements, and caps on loan-to-value, can affect bank risk-taking behaviors by using the dynamic unbalanced panel system generalized method of moment (SYS-GMM). The results provide further evidence on the important role of MPPs in maintaining financial stability, which helps mitigate financial system vulnerabilities. Bank risk-taking will be decreased with the strengthening of macroprudential supervision, which greatly benefits the resilience and the sustainability of bank sector. Moreover, the credit cycle has a magnifying role on MPPs’ effect on bank risk-taking. Reducing risks in bank loans requires a further slowing of credit growth, which is necessary to ensure sustainable growth in a bank system, or more ambitiously, to smooth financial booms and busts. The results survive robustness checks under alternative estimation methods and alternative proxies of bank risk-taking and MPPs.

Suggested Citation

  • Xing Zhang & Fengchao Li & Zhen Li & Yingying Xu, 2018. "Macroprudential Policy, Credit Cycle, and Bank Risk-Taking," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-18, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:10:y:2018:i:10:p:3620-:d:174708
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/10/10/3620/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/10/10/3620/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Olszak, Małgorzata & Roszkowska, Sylwia & Kowalska, Iwona, 2018. "Macroprudential policy instruments and procyclicality of loan-loss provisions – Cross-country evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 228-257.
    2. Nada Mora & Andrew Logan, 2012. "Shocks to bank capital: evidence from UK banks at home and away," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(9), pages 1103-1119, March.
    3. Yongseung Jung & Soyoung Kim & Doo Yong Yang, 2017. "Optimal Macroprudential Policies and House Prices in Korea," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(11), pages 2419-2439, November.
    4. Sami Alpanda & Gino Cateau & Césaire Meh, 2018. "A policy model to analyze macroprudential regulations and monetary policy," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 51(3), pages 828-863, August.
    5. Joseph Olorunfemi Akande & Farai Kwenda & Dimu Ehalaiye, 2018. "Competition and commercial banks risk-taking: evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa region," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(44), pages 4774-4787, September.
    6. Altunbas, Yener & Binici, Mahir & Gambacorta, Leonardo, 2018. "Macroprudential policy and bank risk," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 203-220.
    7. Angeloni, Ignazio & Faia, Ester & Lo Duca, Marco, 2015. "Monetary policy and risk taking," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 285-307.
    8. Gabriel Jiménez & Steven Ongena & José-Luis Peydró & Jesús Saurina, 2017. "Macroprudential Policy, Countercyclical Bank Capital Buffers, and Credit Supply: Evidence from the Spanish Dynamic Provisioning Experiments," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 125(6), pages 2126-2177.
    9. Laeven, Luc & Levine, Ross, 2009. "Bank governance, regulation and risk taking," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(2), pages 259-275, August.
    10. Kim, Sooji & Plosser, Matthew C. & Santos, João A.C., 2018. "Macroprudential policy and the revolving door of risk: Lessons from leveraged lending guidance," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 17-31.
    11. Ibrahim, Mansor H. & Rizvi, Syed Aun R., 2018. "Bank lending, deposits and risk-taking in times of crisis: A panel analysis of Islamic and conventional banks," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 31-47.
    12. Jérôme Vandenbussche & Piyabha Kongsamut & Dilyana Dimova, 2018. "Macroprudential Policy Effectiveness: Lessons from Southeastern Europe," Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 1(9), pages 60-102, May.
    13. Gregory Bauer & Gurnain Pasricha & Rodrigo Sekkel & Yaz Terajima, 2018. "The Global Financial Cycle, Monetary Policies, and Macroprudential Regulations in Small, Open Economies," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 44(2), pages 81-99, June.
    14. Hélène Rey, 2015. "Dilemma not Trilemma: The Global Financial Cycle and Monetary Policy Independence," NBER Working Papers 21162, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Funke, Michael & Kirkby, Robert & Mihaylovski, Petar, 2018. "House prices and macroprudential policy in an estimated DSGE model of New Zealand," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 152-171.
    16. Eliana Balla & Andrew McKenna, 2009. "Dynamic provisioning: a countercyclical tool for loan loss reserves," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, vol. 95(Fall), pages 383-418.
    17. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Luiz A. Pereira da Silva, 2012. "Macroeconomic Stability, Financial Stability, and Monetary Policy Rules," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(2), pages 205-224, June.
    18. Claessens, Stijn & Ghosh, Swati R. & Mihet, Roxana, 2013. "Macro-prudential policies to mitigate financial system vulnerabilities," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 153-185.
    19. Zhang, Longmei & Zoli, Edda, 2016. "Leaning against the wind: Macroprudential policy in Asia," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 33-52.
    20. Bruno, Valentina & Shim, Ilhyock & Shin, Hyun Song, 2017. "Comparative assessment of macroprudential policies," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 183-202.
    21. Borio, Claudio & Zhu, Haibin, 2012. "Capital regulation, risk-taking and monetary policy: A missing link in the transmission mechanism?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 236-251.
    22. Guidara, Alaa & Lai, Van Son & Soumaré, Issouf & Tchana, Fulbert Tchana, 2013. "Banks’ capital buffer, risk and performance in the Canadian banking system: Impact of business cycles and regulatory changes," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(9), pages 3373-3387.
    23. Mathias Drehmann & Leonardo Gambacorta, 2012. "The effects of countercyclical capital buffers on bank lending," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(7), pages 603-608, May.
    24. Cerutti, Eugenio & Claessens, Stijn & Laeven, Luc, 2017. "The use and effectiveness of macroprudential policies: New evidence," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 203-224.
    25. Mohsni, Sana & Otchere, Isaac, 2018. "Does regulatory regime matter for bank risk taking? A comparative analysis of US and Canada," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 1-16.
    26. Carreras, Oriol & Davis, E. Philip & Piggott, Rebecca, 2018. "Assessing macroprudential tools in OECD countries within a cointegration framework," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 112-130.
    27. Samet, Anis & Boubakri, Narjess & Boubaker, Sabri, 2018. "Does public–private status affect bank risk taking? Worldwide evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 287-306.
    28. Blundell, Richard & Bond, Stephen, 1998. "Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 115-143, August.
    29. Curiman Mihai Cosmin & Mihai Bogdan Madalin & Tenea Andrei Cosmin, 2018. "Considerations Regarding The Financial Stability And The Macro-Prudential Policy," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1, pages 130-138, February.
    30. Kolade Sunday Adesina & John Muteba Mwamba, 2016. "Do Basel III Higher Common Equity Capital Requirements Matter for Bank Risk-taking Behaviour? Lessons from South Africa," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 28(3), pages 319-331, September.
    31. Mathias Drehmann & Claudio Borio & Kostas Tsatsaronis, 2011. "Anchoring Countercyclical Capital Buffers: The role of Credit Aggregates," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 7(4), pages 189-240, December.
    32. Warwick J. McKibbin, 2016. "Macroprudential Policy in an Australian Context," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 49(1), pages 86-88, March.
    33. International Monetary Fund, 2011. "Macroprudential Policy: What Instruments and How to Use them? Lessons From Country Experiences," IMF Working Papers 2011/238, International Monetary Fund.
    34. Nicholas Apergis, 2017. "Monetary Policy and Macroprudential Policy: New Evidence from a World Panel of Countries," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 79(3), pages 395-410, June.
    35. Badar Nadeem Ashraf & Sidra Arshad & Liang Yan, 2017. "Trade Openness and Bank Risk-Taking Behavior: Evidence from Emerging Economies," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-18, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Tran, Dung Viet & Hassan, M. Kabir & Alam, Ahmed W. & Pezzo, Luca & Abdul-Majid, Mariani, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty, agency problem, and funding structure: Evidence from U.S. banking industry," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    2. Zhen Shi & Shijiong Qin & Yung-ho Chiu & Xiaoying Tan & Xiaoli Miao, 2021. "The impact of gross domestic product on the financing and investment efficiency of China’s commercial banks," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-23, December.
    3. Zhao, Yang & Goodell, John W. & Wang, Yong & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul, 2023. "Fintech, macroprudential policies and bank risk: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    4. Zhang, Xing & Li, Fengchao & Ortiz, Jaime, 2021. "Internal risk governance and external capital regulation affecting bank risk-taking and performance: Evidence from P.R. China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 276-292.
    5. Wong, Siu Kei & Cheung, Ka Shing & Deng, Kuang Kuang & Chau, Kwong Wing, 2021. "Policy responses to an overheated housing market: Credit tightening versus transaction taxes," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    6. Pejman Peykani & Mostafa Sargolzaei & Mohammad Hashem Botshekan & Camelia Oprean-Stan & Amir Takaloo, 2023. "Optimization of Asset and Liability Management of Banks with Minimum Possible Changes," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-24, June.
    7. Changjun Zheng & Shiying Chen & Zhenhuan Dong, 2021. "Economic Fluctuation, Local Government Bond Risk and Risk-Taking of City Commercial Banks," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-26, September.
    8. Kumar Debasis Dutta & Mallika Saha, 2021. "Nexus of governance, macroprudential policy and financial risk: cross-country evidence," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 1253-1298, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ely, Regis Augusto & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda & Teixeira, Anderson Mutter, 2019. "Heterogeneous effects of the implementation of macroprudential policies on bank risk," MPRA Paper 94546, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Jose David GARCIA REVELO & Yannick LUCOTTE & Florian PRADINES-JOBET, 2019. "Macroprudential and Monetary Policies : The Need to Dance the Tango in Harmony," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2691, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    3. Ely, Regis A. & Tabak, Benjamin M. & Teixeira, Anderson M., 2021. "The transmission mechanisms of macroprudential policies on bank risk," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 598-630.
    4. Lilit Popoyan, 2020. "Macroprudential Policy: a Blessing or a Curse?," Review of Economics and Institutions, Università di Perugia, vol. 11(1-2).
    5. Marcin Czaplicki, 2022. "Measuring the restrictiveness of (macro)prudential policy: the case of bank capital regulation in Poland," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(3), pages 322-338, September.
    6. Garcia Revelo, José David & Lucotte, Yannick & Pradines-Jobet, Florian, 2020. "Macroprudential and monetary policies: The need to dance the Tango in harmony," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    7. Ćehajić, Aida & Košak, Marko, 2021. "Macroprudential measures and developments in bank funding costs," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    8. Kumar Debasis Dutta & Mallika Saha, 2021. "Nexus of governance, macroprudential policy and financial risk: cross-country evidence," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 1253-1298, November.
    9. Das, Mitali & Ordal, Hailey, 2022. "Macroeconomic stability or financial stability: How are capital controls used? Insights from a new database," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    10. Retselisitsoe I. Thamae & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2022. "The impact of bank regulation on bank lending: a review of international literature," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(4), pages 405-418, December.
    11. Malovaná, Simona & Hodula, Martin & Gric, Zuzana & Bajzík, Josef, 2023. "Macroprudential policy in central banks: Integrated or separate? Survey among academics and central bankers," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    12. Nitzan Tzur-Ilan, 2019. "Macroprudential Policy: Implementation, Effects, And Lessons," Israel Economic Review, Bank of Israel, vol. 17(1), pages 39-71.
    13. Gambacorta, Leonardo & Murcia, Andrés, 2020. "The impact of macroprudential policies in Latin America: An empirical analysis using credit registry data," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    14. Tiago F. A. Matos & João C. A. Teixeira & Tiago M. Dutra, 2023. "The contribution of macroprudential policies to banks' resilience: Lessons from the systemic crises and the COVID‐19 pandemic shock," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 23(4), pages 794-830, December.
    15. Kang, Qiaoling & Wu, Ji & Chen, Minghua & Jeon, Bang Nam, 2021. "Do macroprudential policies affect the bank financing of firms in China? Evidence from a quantile regression approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    16. Chen, Minghua & Kang, Qiaoling & Wu, Ji & Jeon, Bang Nam, 2022. "Do macroprudential policies affect bank efficiency? Evidence from emerging economies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    17. Madeira, Carlos, 2024. "The impact of macroprudential policies on industrial growth," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    18. Mircea Epure & Irina Mihai & Camelia Minoiu & José-Luis Peydró, 2024. "Global Financial Cycle, Household Credit, and Macroprudential Policies," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(11), pages 8096-8115, November.
    19. de Moraes, Claudio Oliveira & de Mendonça, Helder Ferreira, 2019. "Bank’s risk measures and monetary policy: Evidence from a large emerging economy," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 121-132.
    20. Gómez, Esteban & Murcia, Andrés & Lizarazo, Angélica & Mendoza, Juan Carlos, 2020. "Evaluating the impact of macroprudential policies on credit growth in Colombia," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:10:y:2018:i:10:p:3620-:d:174708. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.