Predicting Random Walks and a Data-Splitting Prediction Region
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Jae H. Kim, 2004. "Bias-corrected bootstrap prediction regions for vector autoregression," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(2), pages 141-154.
- Einmahl, J. H.J. & Mason, D.M., 1992. "Generalized quantile processes," Other publications TiSEM b2a76bac-045d-457f-869f-d, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Jing Lei & Max G’Sell & Alessandro Rinaldo & Ryan J. Tibshirani & Larry Wasserman, 2018. "Distribution-Free Predictive Inference for Regression," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 113(523), pages 1094-1111, July.
- Paolo Vidoni, 2004. "Improved prediction intervals for stochastic process models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(1), pages 137-154, January.
- James E. Marengo & David L. Farnsworth & Lucas Stefanic, 2017. "A Geometric Derivation of the Irwin-Hall Distribution," International Journal of Mathematics and Mathematical Sciences, Hindawi, vol. 2017, pages 1-6, September.
- David J. Olive, 2018. "Applications of hyperellipsoidal prediction regions," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 59(3), pages 913-931, September.
- Leying Guan, 2023. "Localized conformal prediction: a generalized inference framework for conformal prediction," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 110(1), pages 33-50.
- Kim, Jae H., 1999. "Asymptotic and bootstrap prediction regions for vector autoregression," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 393-403, October.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2014-007 is not listed on IDEAS
- Staszewska-Bystrova, Anna & Winker, Peter, 2013. "Constructing narrowest pathwise bootstrap prediction bands using threshold accepting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 221-233.
- Pascual, Lorenzo & Fresoli, Diego Eduardo, 2011. "Bootstrap forecast of multivariate VAR models without using the backward representation," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws113426, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Anna Staszewska-Bystrova, 2009. "Bootstrap Confidence Bands for Forecast Paths," Working Papers 024, COMISEF.
- Lasanthi C. R. Pelawa Watagoda & David J. Olive, 2021. "Comparing six shrinkage estimators with large sample theory and asymptotically optimal prediction intervals," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 62(5), pages 2407-2431, October.
- Jing, Li, 2009. "Bootstrap prediction intervals for threshold autoregressive models," MPRA Paper 13086, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- De Gooijer, Jan G. & Hyndman, Rob J., 2006. "25 years of time series forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 443-473.
- Giovanni Fonseca & Federica Giummolè & Paolo Vidoni, 2021. "A note on simultaneous calibrated prediction intervals for time series," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 30(1), pages 317-330, March.
- Li, Jing, 2011. "Bootstrap prediction intervals for SETAR models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 320-332.
- Helmut Lütkepohl & Anna Staszewska-Bystrova & Peter Winker, 2014.
"Confidence Bands for Impulse Responses: Bonferroni versus Wald,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
4634, CESifo.
- Helmut Lütkepohl & Anna Staszewska-Bystrova & Peter Winker, 2014. "Confidence Bands for Impulse Responses: Bonferroni versus Wald," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1354, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Lütkepohl, Helmut & Staszewska-Bystrova, Anna & Winker, Peter, 2014. "Confidence bands for impulse responses: Bonferroni versus Wald," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2014-007, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Winker, Peter & Helmut, Lütkepohl & Staszewska-Bystrova, Anna, 2014. "Confidence Bands for Impulse Responses: Bonferroni versus Wald," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100597, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Li, Jing, 2011. "Bootstrap prediction intervals for SETAR models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 320-332, April.
- Anna Staszewska‐Bystrova, 2011. "Bootstrap prediction bands for forecast paths from vector autoregressive models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(8), pages 721-735, December.
- Fresoli, Diego & Ruiz, Esther & Pascual, Lorenzo, 2015. "Bootstrap multi-step forecasts of non-Gaussian VAR models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 834-848.
- Acharki, Naoufal & Bertoncello, Antoine & Garnier, Josselin, 2023. "Robust prediction interval estimation for Gaussian processes by cross-validation method," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
- Liu, Shen & Maharaj, Elizabeth Ann & Inder, Brett, 2014. "Polarization of forecast densities: A new approach to time series classification," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 345-361.
- Daniel Grabowski & Anna Staszewska-Bystrova & Peter Winker, 2020.
"Skewness-adjusted bootstrap confidence intervals and confidence bands for impulse response functions,"
AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 104(1), pages 5-32, March.
- Grabowski, Daniel & Staszewska-Bystrova, Anna, 2018. "Skewness-Adjusted Bootstrap Confidence Intervals and Confidence Bands for Impulse Response Functions," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181590, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Daniel Grabowski & Anna Staszewska-Bystrova & Peter Winker, 2018. "Skewness-Adjusted Bootstrap Confidence Intervals and Confidence Bands for Impulse Response Functions," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201810, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Daniel Grabowski & Anna Staszewska-Bystrova & Peter Winker, 2018. "Skewness-Adjusted Bootstrap Confidence Intervals and Confidence Bands for Impulse Response Functions," Lodz Economics Working Papers 1/2018, University of Lodz, Faculty of Economics and Sociology.
- Brian D. Williamson & Peter B. Gilbert & Marco Carone & Noah Simon, 2021. "Nonparametric variable importance assessment using machine learning techniques," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 77(1), pages 9-22, March.
- Helmut Lütkepohl, 2013.
"Vector autoregressive models,"
Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 6, pages 139-164,
Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Helmut Luetkepohl, 2011. "Vector Autoregressive Models," Economics Working Papers ECO2011/30, European University Institute.
- Barme-Delcroix, Marie-Francoise & Gather, Ursula, 2007. "Limit laws for multidimensional extremes," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 77(18), pages 1750-1755, December.
- Tengyuan Liang, 2022. "Universal prediction band via semi‐definite programming," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 84(4), pages 1558-1580, September.
- Victor Chernozhukov & Kaspar Wuthrich & Yinchu Zhu, 2019.
"Distributional conformal prediction,"
Papers
1909.07889, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
- Chernozhukov, Victor & Wüthrich, Kaspar & Zhu, Yinchu, 2021. "Distributional conformal prediction," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt2zs6m5p5, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
More about this item
Keywords
conformal prediction; high dimensional data; renewal processes; shorth;All these keywords.
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jstats:v:7:y:2024:i:1:p:2-33:d:1315222. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.