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Addressing Urban Management Challenges for Sustainable Development: Analyzing the Impact of Neighborhood Deprivation on Crime Distribution in Chicago

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Listed:
  • Omid Mansourihanis

    (Department of Geosciences, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX 79409, USA)

  • Mohammad Javad Maghsoodi Tilaki

    (Section of Geography, School of Humanities, Universiti Sains Malaysia, Gelugor 11800, Malaysia)

  • Shiva Sheikhfarshi

    (Department of Urban and Regional Planning, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, IL 61820, USA)

  • Fatemeh Mohseni

    (Department of Urban Planning, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran 1411713116, Iran)

  • Ebrahim Seyedebrahimi

    (School of Architecture, Planning and Preservation, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20740, USA)

Abstract

Urban crime prevention remains a critical challenge intertwined with socioeconomic disparities. This study investigates the spatial nexus between urban deprivation and crime decline in Chicago from 2015 to 2022, addressing the question: How do changes in neighborhood deprivation relate to crime reduction patterns? Using comprehensive crime incident and census tract Area Deprivation Index (ADI) data, this study conducted exploratory spatial analysis, regression modeling, and local bivariate relationship analysis. The findings reveal persistent hotspots of concentrated deprivation on Chicago’s south and west sides, alongside a general citywide crime decline. However, the current research uncovered significant spatial heterogeneity in both deprivation patterns and crime reduction, challenging the achievement of equitable public safety outcomes. Surprisingly, while crime incidents in 2015 and 2022 significantly predicted crime change, ADI scores were not statistically significant predictors in our regression model. Local bivariate analysis exposed diverse relationships between ADI changes and crime rate changes across neighborhoods, with 72.2% of census tracts showing no statistically significant relationship. This underscores the complexity of urban crime dynamics and the importance of local context in understanding these patterns. Our research contributes a nuanced understanding of the intricate relationship between urban deprivation and crime patterns, providing valuable insights for policymakers, law enforcement agencies, and urban planners. These findings highlight the need for integrated, long-term strategies that address both crime prevention and socioeconomic disparities, ultimately fostering safer, more equitable urban environments and informing evidence-based interventions tailored to specific neighborhood contexts.

Suggested Citation

  • Omid Mansourihanis & Mohammad Javad Maghsoodi Tilaki & Shiva Sheikhfarshi & Fatemeh Mohseni & Ebrahim Seyedebrahimi, 2024. "Addressing Urban Management Challenges for Sustainable Development: Analyzing the Impact of Neighborhood Deprivation on Crime Distribution in Chicago," Societies, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-15, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsoctx:v:14:y:2024:i:8:p:139-:d:1448025
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Drawve, Grant & Thomas, Shaun A. & Walker, Jeffery T., 2016. "Bringing the physical environment back into neighborhood research: The utility of RTM for developing an aggregate neighborhood risk of crime measure," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 21-29.
    2. Gian Maria Campedelli & Serena Favarin & Alberto Aziani & Alex R. Piquero, 2020. "Disentangling Community-level Changes in Crime Trends During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Chicago," Papers 2011.05658, arXiv.org.
    3. Carmelina Bevilacqua & Poya Sohrabi & Nourhan Hamdy & Federica Mangiulli, 2023. "Mapping Connections between Neighborhoods in Response to Community-Based Social Needs," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-22, March.
    4. Aldrin Abdullah & Massoomeh Hedayati Marzbali & Mohammad Javad Maghsoodi Tilaki & Azizi Bahauddin, 2015. "Territorial features, disorder and fear of crime in residential neighbourhoods in Malaysia: testing for multigroup invariance," Global Crime, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(3), pages 197-218, July.
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