Measuring the Economic Impact of Pre-Salt Layer on the Productivity of the Oil and Natural Gas Sector

Based on productivity and efficiency indicators, we investigated the performance of the Brazilian oil and gas exploration industry, comparing the performance of this sector with other industrial sectors. We associate productivity with the concept of total factor productivity (TFP), while efficiency is measured using the stochastic frontier production model. Our sample was assembled from the Annual Industrial Survey (PIA) for 29 Brazilian industrial sectors from 2007 to 2019, period of data availability. The results derived from both methods allow us to affirm that the policies resulting from the Pre-Salt have significantly boosted the oil and natural gas extraction sector in terms of technological progress and efficiency. Between 2007 and 2009, the sector was among the least efficient, ranking 29th. However, in 2019 it reached first place in terms of efficiency. This structural change, which began in 2010 as a result of the technological innovations resulting from investments in R&D, has undergone a change since 2010, reflected in the upward trend towards pre-salt exploration promoted by Petrobras, in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, as well as the new regulatory framework and government incentives for oil exploration in Brazil. Un-fortunately, these productivity gains have not been exported to other branches of industry connected to the oil industry.