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Reconstruction and Prediction of Regional Population Migration Neural Network Model with Age Structure

Author

Listed:
  • Cuiying Li

    (School of Mathematical Sciences, Bohai University, Jinzhou 121013, China)

  • Yulin Wu

    (School of Mathematical Sciences, Bohai University, Jinzhou 121013, China)

  • Yi Cheng

    (School of Mathematical Sciences, Bohai University, Jinzhou 121013, China)

  • Yandong Guo

    (School of Mathematical Sciences, Bohai University, Jinzhou 121013, China)

  • Kun Wei

    (Defense Innovation Institute, Academy of Military Science, Beijing 100071, China)

  • Jie Zhao

    (Defense Innovation Institute, Academy of Military Science, Beijing 100071, China)

Abstract

The rationale for age-structured population migration system models lies in the significant impact of age patterns on migration dynamics, as age-specific migration rates exhibit distinct regularities and are influenced by life course transitions, socio-economic conditions, and demographic structures. Based on artificial neural networks, this article proposes a class of population models with age structure described by partial differential equations to predict the future trends of regional population changes. The population migration rate, as a complex nonlinear feature, can be trained through artificial neural networks, providing a population approximation system. By employing semigroup theory, we establish the well-posedness of the proposed system. It is shown that the solution of the approximation system can converge to that of the original system in the sense of the L 2 -norm. Finally, several simulation experiments are provided to verify the effectiveness of the population forecasting model.

Suggested Citation

  • Cuiying Li & Yulin Wu & Yi Cheng & Yandong Guo & Kun Wei & Jie Zhao, 2025. "Reconstruction and Prediction of Regional Population Migration Neural Network Model with Age Structure," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-16, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:13:y:2025:i:5:p:755-:d:1599536
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