IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jmathe/v11y2023i8p1925-d1127615.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Advancing COVID-19 Understanding: Simulating Omicron Variant Spread Using Fractional-Order Models and Haar Wavelet Collocation

Author

Listed:
  • Zehba Raizah

    (Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, King Khalid University, Abha 62529, Saudi Arabia)

  • Rahat Zarin

    (Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, King Mongkut’s University of Technology Thonburi (KMUTT), 126 Pracha-Uthit Road, Bang Mod Thrung Khru, Bangkok 10140, Thailand)

Abstract

This study presents a novel approach for simulating the spread of the Omicron variant of the SARS-CoV-2 virus using fractional-order COVID-19 models and the Haar wavelet collocation method. The proposed model considers various factors that affect virus transmission, while the Haar wavelet collocation method provides an efficient and accurate solution for the fractional derivatives used in the model. This study analyzes the impact of the Omicron variant and provides valuable insights into its transmission dynamics, which can inform public health policies and strategies that are aimed at controlling its spread. Additionally, this study’s findings represent a significant step forward in understanding the COVID-19 pandemic and its evolving variants. The results of the simulation showcase the effectiveness of the proposed method and demonstrate its potential to advance the field of COVID-19 research. The COVID epidemic model is reformulated by using fractional derivatives in the Caputo sense. The existence and uniqueness of the proposed model are illustrated in the model, taking into account some results of fixed point theory. The stability analysis for the system is established by incorporating the Hyers–Ulam method. For numerical treatment and simulations, we apply the Haar wavelet collocation method. The parameter estimation for the recorded COVID-19 cases in Pakistan from 23 June 2022 to 23 August 2022 is presented.

Suggested Citation

  • Zehba Raizah & Rahat Zarin, 2023. "Advancing COVID-19 Understanding: Simulating Omicron Variant Spread Using Fractional-Order Models and Haar Wavelet Collocation," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-30, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:11:y:2023:i:8:p:1925-:d:1127615
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/8/1925/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/8/1925/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Agarwal, Praveen & Singh, Ram, 2020. "Modelling of transmission dynamics of Nipah virus (Niv): A fractional order Approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 547(C).
    2. Zarin, Rahat & Khan, Amir & Inc, Mustafa & Humphries, Usa Wannasingha & Karite, Touria, 2021. "Dynamics of five grade leishmania epidemic model using fractional operator with Mittag–Leffler kernel," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    3. Atangana, Abdon, 2018. "Non validity of index law in fractional calculus: A fractional differential operator with Markovian and non-Markovian properties," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 505(C), pages 688-706.
    4. Komal Bansal & Sugandha Arora & Kocherlakota Satya Pritam & Trilok Mathur & Shivi Agarwal, 2022. "Dynamics Of Crime Transmission Using Fractional-Order Differential Equations," FRACTALS (fractals), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 30(01), pages 1-16, February.
    5. Amir Khan & Rahat Zarin & Saddam Khan & Anwar Saeed & Taza Gul & Usa Wannasingha Humphries, 2022. "Fractional dynamics and stability analysis of COVID-19 pandemic model under the harmonic mean type incidence rate," Computer Methods in Biomechanics and Biomedical Engineering, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(6), pages 619-640, April.
    6. Gao, Wei & Veeresha, P. & Prakasha, D.G. & Baskonus, Haci Mehmet & Yel, Gulnur, 2020. "New approach for the model describing the deathly disease in pregnant women using Mittag-Leffler function," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    7. Omame, Andrew & Abbas, Mujahid & Abdel-Aty, Abdel-Haleem, 2022. "Assessing the impact of SARS-CoV-2 infection on the dynamics of dengue and HIV via fractional derivatives," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Cristiano Maria Verrelli & Fabio Della Rossa, 2024. "New Challenges in the Mathematical Modelling and Control of COVID-19 Epidemics: Analysis of Non-Pharmaceutical Actions and Vaccination Strategies," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-6, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yin, Baoli & Liu, Yang & Li, Hong, 2020. "A class of shifted high-order numerical methods for the fractional mobile/immobile transport equations," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 368(C).
    2. Bandaliyev, R.A. & Ibayev, E.A. & Omarova, K.K., 2021. "Investigation of fractional order differential equation for boundary functional of a semi-Markov random walk process with negative drift and positive jumps," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    3. Mahmood, Tariq & ur Rahman, Mati & Arfan, Muhammad & Kayani, Sadaf-Ilyas & Sun, Mei, 2023. "Mathematical study of Algae as a bio-fertilizer using fractal–fractional dynamic model," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 203(C), pages 207-222.
    4. Ahmed M. Elaiw & Raghad S. Alsulami & Aatef D. Hobiny, 2022. "Modeling and Stability Analysis of Within-Host IAV/SARS-CoV-2 Coinfection with Antibody Immunity," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(22), pages 1-36, November.
    5. Ullah, Ihsan & Ahmad, Saeed & Rahman, Mati ur & Arfan, Muhammad, 2021. "Investigation of fractional order tuberculosis (TB) model via Caputo derivative," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    6. Suganya Subramanian & Agilan Kumaran & Srilekha Ravichandran & Parthiban Venugopal & Slim Dhahri & Kavikumar Ramasamy, 2024. "Fuzzy Fractional Caputo Derivative of Susceptible-Infectious- Removed Epidemic Model for Childhood Diseases," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-12, January.
    7. Suwan, Iyad & Abdeljawad, Thabet & Jarad, Fahd, 2018. "Monotonicity analysis for nabla h-discrete fractional Atangana–Baleanu differences," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 50-59.
    8. Solís-Pérez, J.E. & Gómez-Aguilar, J.F. & Atangana, A., 2018. "Novel numerical method for solving variable-order fractional differential equations with power, exponential and Mittag-Leffler laws," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 175-185.
    9. Ebrahem A. Algehyne & Musaad S. Aldhabani & Mounirah Areshi & Essam R. El-Zahar & Abdelhalim Ebaid & Hind K. Al-Jeaid, 2023. "A Proposed Application of Fractional Calculus on Time Dilation in Special Theory of Relativity," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(15), pages 1-11, July.
    10. Peng, Li & Zhou, Yong & Debbouche, Amar, 2019. "Approximation techniques of optimal control problems for fractional dynamic systems in separable Hilbert spaces," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 234-241.
    11. Abro, Kashif Ali & Khan, Ilyas & Nisar, Kottakkaran Sooppy, 2019. "Novel technique of Atangana and Baleanu for heat dissipation in transmission line of electrical circuit," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 40-45.
    12. Xiao Liang & Juntao Fei, 2019. "Adaptive fractional fuzzy sliding mode control of microgyroscope based on backstepping design," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(6), pages 1-21, June.
    13. Yavuz, Mehmet & Bonyah, Ebenezer, 2019. "New approaches to the fractional dynamics of schistosomiasis disease model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 373-393.
    14. Rehman, Attiq ul & Singh, Ram & Singh, Jagdev, 2022. "Mathematical analysis of multi-compartmental malaria transmission model with reinfection," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    15. Hamid, M. & Usman, M. & Haq, R.U. & Wang, W., 2020. "A Chelyshkov polynomial based algorithm to analyze the transport dynamics and anomalous diffusion in fractional model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 551(C).
    16. Chatibi, Y. & El Kinani, E.H. & Ouhadan, A., 2019. "Variational calculus involving nonlocal fractional derivative with Mittag–Leffler kernel," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 117-121.
    17. Doungmo Goufo, Emile F. & Mbehou, Mohamed & Kamga Pene, Morgan M., 2018. "A peculiar application of Atangana–Baleanu fractional derivative in neuroscience: Chaotic burst dynamics," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 170-176.
    18. Rahman, Mati ur & Arfan, Muhammad & Shah, Kamal & Gómez-Aguilar, J.F., 2020. "Investigating a nonlinear dynamical model of COVID-19 disease under fuzzy caputo, random and ABC fractional order derivative," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    19. Ávalos-Ruiz, L.F. & Gómez-Aguilar, J.F. & Atangana, A. & Owolabi, Kolade M., 2019. "On the dynamics of fractional maps with power-law, exponential decay and Mittag–Leffler memory," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 364-388.
    20. Deniz, Sinan, 2021. "Optimal perturbation iteration method for solving fractional FitzHugh-Nagumo equation," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:11:y:2023:i:8:p:1925-:d:1127615. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.