IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jlogis/v2y2018i3p14-d162334.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Unravelling the Complexity of Supply Chain Volatility Management

Author

Listed:
  • Benjamin Nitsche

    (Chair of Logistics, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623 Berlin, Germany)

Abstract

Managing supply chain volatility (SCV) is often identified as one of the major challenges of modern supply chain management. While research has predominantly focused on describing the multidimensional areas of SCV and its negative impacts, clear guidelines on how to manage SCV for efficiency, and prioritize the areas on which to focus, are sparse. This study seeks to fill this gap in the research by: (1) assessing the relative impact of SCV sources, and (2) proposing means to deal with them. Based on an Analytical Hierarchy Process conducted with 17 SCM practitioners, the paper assesses the relative impact of sources of SCV, and further contextualizes them according to factors such as product lead time and production strategy, providing more fine-grained insights for SC managers seeking to manage SCV. Subsequently, the paper applies the Nominal Group Technique with the same group of practitioners in order to identify and condense strategies for dealing with the most impactful sources of SCV ( intra-organizational misalignment , inaccurate forecasting , long lead times , erratic behavior of decision makers in the supply chain , erratic behavior of customers , and high level of competition ), leading to a set of 44 SCV-management strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Benjamin Nitsche, 2018. "Unravelling the Complexity of Supply Chain Volatility Management," Logistics, MDPI, vol. 2(3), pages 1-26, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlogis:v:2:y:2018:i:3:p:14-:d:162334
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2305-6290/2/3/14/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2305-6290/2/3/14/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Childerhouse, P. & Disney, S.M. & Towill, D.R., 2008. "On the impact of order volatility in the European automotive sector," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(1), pages 2-13, July.
    2. Miragliotta, Giovanni, 2006. "Layers and mechanisms: A new taxonomy for the Bullwhip Effect," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(2), pages 365-381, December.
    3. Robert C. Merton, 2005. "Theory of rational option pricing," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Sudipto Bhattacharya & George M Constantinides (ed.), Theory Of Valuation, chapter 8, pages 229-288, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    4. Wagner, Stephan M. & Ullrich, Kristoph K.R. & Transchel, Sandra, 2014. "The game plan for aligning the organization," Business Horizons, Elsevier, vol. 57(2), pages 189-201.
    5. Altman, Edward I. & Schwartz, Robert A., 1970. "Common Stock Price Volatility Measures and Patterns," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 4(5), pages 603-625, January.
    6. Caridi, Maria & Crippa, Luca & Perego, Alessandro & Sianesi, Andrea & Tumino, Angela, 2010. "Do virtuality and complexity affect supply chain visibility?," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(2), pages 372-383, October.
    7. Ben Naylor, J. & Naim, Mohamed M & Berry, Danny, 1999. "Leagility: Integrating the lean and agile manufacturing paradigms in the total supply chain," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(1-2), pages 107-118, May.
    8. Y Barlas & B Gunduz, 2011. "Demand forecasting and sharing strategies to reduce fluctuations and the bullwhip effect in supply chains," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 62(3), pages 458-473, March.
    9. Saaty, Thomas L., 1990. "How to make a decision: The analytic hierarchy process," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 9-26, September.
    10. Kim, Ilhyung & Springer, Mark, 2008. "Measuring endogenous supply chain volatility: Beyond the bullwhip effect," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 189(1), pages 172-193, August.
    11. Pinches, George E & Kinney, William R, Jr, 1971. "The Measurement of the Volatility of Common Stock Prices," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 26(1), pages 119-125, March.
    12. So, Kut C. & Zheng, Xiaona, 2003. "Impact of supplier's lead time and forecast demand updating on retailer's order quantity variability in a two-level supply chain," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(2), pages 169-179, November.
    13. Benjamin Bridgman, 2013. "International Supply Chains And The Volatility Of Trade," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 51(4), pages 2110-2124, October.
    14. Hau L. Lee & V. Padmanabhan & Seungjin Whang, 1997. "Information Distortion in a Supply Chain: The Bullwhip Effect," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 43(4), pages 546-558, April.
    15. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-654, May-June.
    16. Sunil Chopra & Gilles Reinhardt & Usha Mohan, 2007. "The importance of decoupling recurrent and disruption risks in a supply chain," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 54(5), pages 544-555, August.
    17. Chaharsooghi, S. Kamal & Heydari, Jafar, 2010. "LT variance or LT mean reduction in supply chain management: Which one has a higher impact on SC performance?," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(2), pages 475-481, April.
    18. Rachel Croson & Karen Donohue, 2006. "Behavioral Causes of the Bullwhip Effect and the Observed Value of Inventory Information," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 52(3), pages 323-336, March.
    19. Arshinder & Kanda, Arun & Deshmukh, S.G., 2008. "Supply chain coordination: Perspectives, empirical studies and research directions," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(2), pages 316-335, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Masoud Zafarzadeh & Magnus Wiktorsson & Jannicke Baalsrud Hauge, 2021. "A Systematic Review on Technologies for Data-Driven Production Logistics: Their Role from a Holistic and Value Creation Perspective," Logistics, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-32, April.
    2. Horst Treiblmaier & Patrick Mair, 2021. "Textual Data Science for Logistics and Supply Chain Management," Logistics, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-15, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chatfield, Dean C. & Pritchard, Alan M., 2013. "Returns and the bullwhip effect," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 159-175.
    2. Thuy Thi Thu Truong & Jungmu Kim, 2019. "Premiums for Non-Sustainable and Sustainable Components of Market Volatility: Evidence from the Korean Stock Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(18), pages 1-15, September.
    3. Wang, Xun & Disney, Stephen M., 2016. "The bullwhip effect: Progress, trends and directions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 250(3), pages 691-701.
    4. Manuel Brauch & Andreas Größler, 2022. "Holistic versus analytic thinking orientation and its relationship to the bullwhip effect," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 38(2), pages 121-134, April.
    5. Dominguez, Roberto & Cannella, Salvatore & Framinan, Jose M., 2015. "On returns and network configuration in supply chain dynamics," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 152-167.
    6. Enrique Holgado de Frutos & Juan R Trapero & Francisco Ramos, 2020. "A literature review on operational decisions applied to collaborative supply chains," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(3), pages 1-28, March.
    7. Ponte, Borja & Costas, José & Puche, Julio & Pino, Raúl & de la Fuente, David, 2018. "The value of lead time reduction and stabilization: A comparison between traditional and collaborative supply chains," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 165-185.
    8. Ciancimino, Elena & Cannella, Salvatore & Bruccoleri, Manfredi & Framinan, Jose M., 2012. "On the Bullwhip Avoidance Phase: The Synchronised Supply Chain," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 49-63.
    9. Mendes, Paulo & Leal, José Eugênio & Thomé, Antônio Márcio Tavares, 2016. "A maturity model for demand-driven supply chains in the consumer product goods industry," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 153-165.
    10. Springer, Mark & Kim, Ilhyung, 2010. "Managing the order pipeline to reduce supply chain volatility," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 203(2), pages 380-392, June.
    11. Cannella, Salvatore & Dominguez, Roberto & Ponte, Borja & Framinan, Jose M., 2018. "Capacity restrictions and supply chain performance: Modelling and analysing load-dependent lead times," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 264-277.
    12. Rana Azghandi & Jacqueline Griffin & Mohammad S. Jalali, 2018. "Minimization of Drug Shortages in Pharmaceutical Supply Chains: A Simulation-Based Analysis of Drug Recall Patterns and Inventory Policies," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-14, December.
    13. Yang, Y. & Lin, J. & Liu, G. & Zhou, L., 2021. "The behavioural causes of bullwhip effect in supply chains: A systematic literature review," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    14. Bandaly, Dia & Satir, Ahmet & Shanker, Latha, 2016. "Impact of lead time variability in supply chain risk management," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 88-100.
    15. Lin, Junyi & Huang, Hongfu & Li, Shanshan & Naim, Mohamed M., 2023. "On the dynamics of order pipeline inventory in a nonlinear order-up-to system," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    16. Zhu, Tianyuan & Balakrishnan, Jaydeep & da Silveira, Giovani J.C., 2020. "Bullwhip effect in the oil and gas supply chain: A multiple-case study," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    17. Xu, Henry & Koh, Lenny & Parker, David, 2009. "Business processes inter-operation for supply network co-ordination," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(1), pages 188-199, November.
    18. Eriksson, Katarina, 2019. "An option mechanism to coordinate a dyadic supply chain bilaterally in a multi-period setting," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 196-209.
    19. Cannella, Salvatore & Framinan, Jose M. & Bruccoleri, Manfredi & Barbosa-Póvoa, Ana Paula & Relvas, Susana, 2015. "The effect of Inventory Record Inaccuracy in Information Exchange Supply Chains," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 243(1), pages 120-129.
    20. Kiyoung Jeong & Jae-Dong Hong, 2019. "The impact of information sharing on bullwhip effect reduction in a supply chain," Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, Springer, vol. 30(4), pages 1739-1751, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jlogis:v:2:y:2018:i:3:p:14-:d:162334. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.