IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jlands/v4y2015i3p670-687d53980.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modelling Deforestation and Land Cover Transitions of Tropical Peatlands in Sumatra, Indonesia Using Remote Sensed Land Cover Data Sets

Author

Listed:
  • Ian Elz

    (Department of Geography, University of Leicester, Leicester LE1 7RH, UK)

  • Kevin Tansey

    (Department of Geography, University of Leicester, Leicester LE1 7RH, UK
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Susan E. Page

    (Department of Geography, University of Leicester, Leicester LE1 7RH, UK
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Mandar Trivedi

    (Zoological Society of London, Regent's Park, London NW1 4RY, UK)

Abstract

In Southeast Asia land use change associated with forest loss and degradation is a major source of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. This is of particular concern where deforestation occurs on peat soils. A business-as-usual (BAU) land change model was developed using Dinamica EGO© for a REDD+ Demonstration Activity area in south-east Jambi Province, Sumatra, Indonesia containing Berbak National Park (NP). The model output will be used as baseline land change predictions for comparison with alternative land cover management scenarios as part of a REDD+ feasibility study. The study area is approximately 376,000 ha with approximately 50% on peat soils. The model uses published 2000 and 2010 land cover maps as input and projects land cover change for thirty years until 2040. The model predicted that under a BAU scenario the forest area, 185,000 ha in 2010, will decline by 37% by 2040. In protected forest areas, approximately 50% of the study area, forest cover will reduce by 25%. Peat swamp forest will reduce by almost 37%. The greatest land cover category increases are plantation/regrowth areas (which includes oil palm) and open areas which each increase by 30,000 ha. These results indicate that the site has great potential as an Indonesian REDD+ Demonstration Activity.

Suggested Citation

  • Ian Elz & Kevin Tansey & Susan E. Page & Mandar Trivedi, 2015. "Modelling Deforestation and Land Cover Transitions of Tropical Peatlands in Sumatra, Indonesia Using Remote Sensed Land Cover Data Sets," Land, MDPI, vol. 4(3), pages 1-18, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:4:y:2015:i:3:p:670-687:d:53980
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/4/3/670/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/4/3/670/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Susan E. Page & Florian Siegert & John O. Rieley & Hans-Dieter V. Boehm & Adi Jaya & Suwido Limin, 2002. "The amount of carbon released from peat and forest fires in Indonesia during 1997," Nature, Nature, vol. 420(6911), pages 61-65, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ashebir Woldeyohannes & Marc Cotter & Wubneshe Dessalegn Biru & Girma Kelboro, 2020. "Assessing Changes in Ecosystem Service Values over 1985–2050 in Response to Land Use and Land Cover Dynamics in Abaya-Chamo Basin, Southern Ethiopia," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-22, January.
    2. Prashanti Sharma & Rajesh Bahadur Thapa & Mir Abdul Matin, 2020. "Examining forest cover change and deforestation drivers in Taunggyi District, Shan State, Myanmar," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 22(6), pages 5521-5538, August.
    3. Elisabeth Hettig & Jann Lay & Kacana Sipangule, 2016. "Drivers of Households’ Land-Use Decisions: A Critical Review of Micro-Level Studies in Tropical Regions," Land, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-32, October.
    4. Mariane S. Reis & Maria Isabel S. Escada & Luciano V. Dutra & Sidnei J. S. Sant’Anna & Nathan D. Vogt, 2018. "Towards a Reproducible LULC Hierarchical Class Legend for Use in the Southwest of Pará State, Brazil: A Comparison with Remote Sensing Data-Driven Hierarchies," Land, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-29, May.
    5. Zhang, Rui & Tian, Qing & Jiang, Luguang & Crooks, Andrew & Qi, Shuhua & Yang, Ruixin, 2018. "Projecting cropping patterns around Poyang lake and prioritizing areas for policy intervention to promote rice: A cellular automata model," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 248-260.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bou Dib, Jonida & Alamsyah, Zulkifli & Qaim, Matin, 2018. "Land-use change and income inequality in rural Indonesia," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 55-66.
    2. Greta C. Dargie & Ian T. Lawson & Tim J. Rayden & Lera Miles & Edward T. A. Mitchard & Susan E. Page & Yannick E. Bocko & Suspense A. Ifo & Simon L. Lewis, 2019. "Congo Basin peatlands: threats and conservation priorities," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 24(4), pages 669-686, April.
    3. Raitzer, David A., 2010. "Assessing the Impact of Policy-Oriented Research: The Case of CIFOR's Influence on the Indonesian Pulp and Paper Sector," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 38(10), pages 1506-1518, October.
    4. Husnain Husnain & I. Wigena & Ai Dariah & Setiari Marwanto & Prihasto Setyanto & Fahmuddin Agus, 2014. "CO 2 emissions from tropical drained peat in Sumatra, Indonesia," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 19(6), pages 845-862, August.
    5. Tisdell, Clement A. & Swarna Nantha, Hemanath, 2007. "Conservation of the Proboscis Monkey and the Orangutan in Borneo: Comparative Issues and Economic Considerations," Economics, Ecology and Environment Working Papers 55097, University of Queensland, School of Economics.
    6. Farida Yulistianingrum, 2019. "The Effect of Forest Fires and Oil Palm Plantations on Green House Gases (GHG) Emissions in Indonesia," Working Papers in Economics and Development Studies (WoPEDS) 201909, Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University, revised Dec 2019.
    7. Zhao, Meifang & Xiang, Wenhua & Deng, Xiangwen & Tian, Dalun & Huang, Zhihong & Zhou, Xiaolu & Yu, Guirui & He, Honglin & Peng, Changhui, 2013. "Application of TRIPLEX model for predicting Cunninghamia lanceolata and Pinus massoniana forest stand production in Hunan Province, southern China," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 250(C), pages 58-71.
    8. Erika Berenguer & Toby A Gardner & Joice Ferreira & Luiz E O C Aragão & Plínio B Camargo & Carlos E Cerri & Mariana Durigan & Raimundo C Oliveira Junior & Ima C G Vieira & Jos Barlow, 2015. "Developing Cost-Effective Field Assessments of Carbon Stocks in Human-Modified Tropical Forests," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(8), pages 1-19, August.
    9. Jayed, M.H. & Masjuki, H.H. & Kalam, M.A. & Mahlia, T.M.I. & Husnawan, M. & Liaquat, A.M., 2011. "Prospects of dedicated biodiesel engine vehicles in Malaysia and Indonesia," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 220-235, January.
    10. Erik Lilleskov & Kevin McCullough & Kristell Hergoualc’h & Dennis Castillo Torres & Rodney Chimner & Daniel Murdiyarso & Randy Kolka & Laura Bourgeau-Chavez & John Hribljan & Jhon Aguila Pasquel & Cra, 2019. "Is Indonesian peatland loss a cautionary tale for Peru? A two-country comparison of the magnitude and causes of tropical peatland degradation," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 24(4), pages 591-623, April.
    11. Heli Lu & Guifang Liu, 2012. "A case study of REDD+ challenges in the post‐2012 climate regime: The scenarios approach," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 36(3), pages 192-201, August.
    12. Atiek Widayati & Bastiaan Louman & Elok Mulyoutami & Edi Purwanto & Koen Kusters & Roderick Zagt, 2021. "Communities’ Adaptation and Vulnerability to Climate Change: Implications for Achieving a Climate-Smart Landscape," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-20, August.
    13. Edwards, Ryan B. & Naylor, Rosamond L. & Higgins, Matthew M. & Falcon, Walter P., 2020. "Causes of Indonesia’s forest fires," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    14. Erlis Saputra, 2019. "Beyond Fires and Deforestation: Tackling Land Subsidence in Peatland Areas, a Case Study from Riau, Indonesia," Land, MDPI, vol. 8(5), pages 1-24, April.
    15. Tom Quirk, 2010. "Twentieth Century Sources of Methane in the Atmosphere," Energy & Environment, , vol. 21(3), pages 251-266, July.
    16. Dislich, Claudia & Keyel, Alexander C. & Salecker, Jan & Kisel, Yael & Meyer, Katrin M. & Corre, Marife D. & Faust, Heiko & Hess, Bastian & Knohl, Alexander & Kreft, Holger & Meijide, Ana & Nurdiansya, 2015. "Ecosystem functions of oil palm plantations - a review," EFForTS Discussion Paper Series 16, University of Goettingen, Collaborative Research Centre 990 "EFForTS, Ecological and Socioeconomic Functions of Tropical Lowland Rainforest Transformation Systems (Sumatra, Indonesia)".
    17. Quentin Grafton, R. & Jotzo, Frank & Wasson, Merrilyn, 2004. "Financing sustainable development: Country Undertakings and Rights for Environmental Sustainability CURES," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(1-2), pages 65-78, November.
    18. Jenny Farmer & Robin Matthews & Pete Smith & Jo Smith, 2014. "The Tropical Peatland Plantation-Carbon Assessment Tool: estimating CO 2 emissions from tropical peat soils under plantations," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 19(6), pages 863-885, August.
    19. Gordon, Line J. & Finlayson, C. Max & Falkenmark, Malin, 2010. "Managing water in agriculture for food production and other ecosystem services," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 97(4), pages 512-519, April.
    20. Tri Wira Yuwati & Dony Rachmanadi & Pratiwi & Maman Turjaman & Yonky Indrajaya & Hunggul Yudono Setio Hadi Nugroho & Muhammad Abdul Qirom & Budi Hadi Narendra & Bondan Winarno & Sri Lestari & Purwanto, 2021. "Restoration of Degraded Tropical Peatland in Indonesia: A Review," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-31, November.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:4:y:2015:i:3:p:670-687:d:53980. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.