IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jlands/v13y2024i9p1337-d1462114.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Vegetation Dynamics and Driving Mechanisms Considering Time-Lag and Accumulation Effects: A Case Study of Hubao–Egyu Urban Agglomeration

Author

Listed:
  • Xi Liu

    (School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510006, China)

  • Guoming Du

    (School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510006, China)

  • Xiaodie Zhang

    (Beidou Research Institute, South China Normal University, Foshan 528225, China)

  • Xing Li

    (School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510006, China)

  • Shining Lv

    (School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, Changsha University of Science and Technology, Changsha 410114, China)

  • Yinghao He

    (School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510006, China)

Abstract

The Hubao–Egyu Urban Agglomeration (HBEY) was a crucial ecological barrier in northern China. To accurately assess the impact of climate change on vegetation growth, it is essential to consider the effects of time lag and accumulation. In this study, we used a newly proposed kernel Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (kNDVI) as the metric for vegetation condition, and employed partial correlation analysis to ascertain the lag and accumulation period of vegetation response to climate by considering different scenarios (No/Lag/Acc/LagAcc) and various combinations. Moreover, we further modified the traditional residual analysis model. The results are as follows: (1) From 2000 to 2022, the HBEY experienced extensive and persistent greening, with a kNDVI slope of 0.0163/decade. Precipitation was identified as the dominant climatic factor influencing vegetation dynamics. (2) In HBEY, the lag effect of temperature was most distinct, particularly affecting the vegetation in cropland and grassland. The accumulation effect of precipitation was pronounced in grassland. (3) Incorporating lag and accumulation effects into models increases the explanatory power of climate impacts on vegetation dynamics by 6.95% compared to traditional residual models. Our findings hold essential implications for regional ecological regulation and climate change response research.

Suggested Citation

  • Xi Liu & Guoming Du & Xiaodie Zhang & Xing Li & Shining Lv & Yinghao He, 2024. "Vegetation Dynamics and Driving Mechanisms Considering Time-Lag and Accumulation Effects: A Case Study of Hubao–Egyu Urban Agglomeration," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-17, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:13:y:2024:i:9:p:1337-:d:1462114
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/13/9/1337/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/13/9/1337/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Giovanni Forzieri & Vasilis Dakos & Nate G. McDowell & Alkama Ramdane & Alessandro Cescatti, 2022. "Emerging signals of declining forest resilience under climate change," Nature, Nature, vol. 608(7923), pages 534-539, August.
    2. Keshav Paudel & Peter Andersen, 2013. "Response of rangeland vegetation to snow cover dynamics in Nepal Trans Himalaya," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 117(1), pages 149-162, March.
    3. Alistair W. R. Seddon & Marc Macias-Fauria & Peter R. Long & David Benz & Kathy J. Willis, 2016. "Sensitivity of global terrestrial ecosystems to climate variability," Nature, Nature, vol. 531(7593), pages 229-232, March.
    4. A. S. MacDougall & K. S. McCann & G. Gellner & R. Turkington, 2013. "Diversity loss with persistent human disturbance increases vulnerability to ecosystem collapse," Nature, Nature, vol. 494(7435), pages 86-89, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Taylor Smith & Niklas Boers, 2023. "Global vegetation resilience linked to water availability and variability," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    2. Meng Luo & Shengwei Zhang & Lei Huang & Zhiqiang Liu & Lin Yang & Ruishen Li & Xi Lin, 2022. "Temporal and Spatial Changes of Ecological Environment Quality Based on RSEI: A Case Study in Ulan Mulun River Basin, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-19, October.
    3. Sharaniya Vijitharan & Nophea Sasaki & Manjunatha Venkatappa & Nitin Kumar Tripathi & Issei Abe & Takuji W. Tsusaka, 2022. "Assessment of Forest Cover Changes in Vavuniya District, Sri Lanka: Implications for the Establishment of Subnational Forest Reference Emission Level," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-25, July.
    4. Li Yang & Yue Xu & Junqi Zhu & Keyu Sun, 2024. "Research on Water Ecological Resilience Measurement and Influencing Factors: A Case Study of the Yangtze River Economic Belt, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-23, August.
    5. Shulin Chen & Zhenghao Zhu & Xiaotong Liu & Li Yang, 2022. "Variation in Vegetation and Its Driving Force in the Pearl River Delta Region of China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(16), pages 1-15, August.
    6. Huang, Ze & Liu, Yu & Qiu, Kaiyang & López-Vicente, Manuel & Shen, Weibo & Wu, Gao-Lin, 2021. "Soil-water deficit in deep soil layers results from the planted forest in a semi-arid sandy land: Implications for sustainable agroforestry water management," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 254(C).
    7. Yuhao Jin & Han Zhang & Yuchao Yan & Peitong Cong, 2020. "A Semi-Parametric Geographically Weighted Regression Approach to Exploring Driving Factors of Fractional Vegetation Cover: A Case Study of Guangdong," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-19, September.
    8. Henry R. Scharf & Ann M. Raiho & Sierra Pugh & Carl A. Roland & David K. Swanson & Sarah E. Stehn & Mevin B. Hooten, 2022. "Multivariate Bayesian clustering using covariate‐informed components with application to boreal vegetation sensitivity," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 78(4), pages 1427-1440, December.
    9. Coline C. F. Boonman & Josep M. Serra-Diaz & Selwyn Hoeks & Wen-Yong Guo & Brian J. Enquist & Brian Maitner & Yadvinder Malhi & Cory Merow & Robert Buitenwerf & Jens-Christian Svenning, 2024. "More than 17,000 tree species are at risk from rapid global change," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-14, December.
    10. Naimah Alanazi, 2024. "Tree resources decline in Saudi Arabia: Climate change or pest attack causes?," Journal of Forest Science, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 70(5), pages 223-234.
    11. Cecilia Parracciani & Robert Buitenwerf & Jens-Christian Svenning, 2023. "Impacts of Climate Change on Vegetation in Kenya: Future Projections and Implications for Protected Areas," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-20, November.
    12. Hasibuan, Abdul Muis & Gregg, Daniel & Stringer, Randy, 2020. "Accounting for diverse risk attitudes in measures of risk perceptions: A case study of climate change risk for small-scale citrus farmers in Indonesia," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    13. Shuang Liu & Xuefei Li & Long Chen & Qing Zhao & Chaohui Zhao & Xisheng Hu & Jian Li, 2022. "A New Approach to Investigate the Spatially Heterogeneous in the Cooling Effects of Landscape Pattern," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-21, February.
    14. Yi-ping Fang & Fu-biao Zhu & Shu-hua Yi & Xiao-ping Qiu & Yong-jiang Ding, 2021. "Ecological carrying capacity of alpine grassland in the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau based on the structural dynamics method," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(8), pages 12550-12578, August.
    15. Thaís Pacheco Kasecker & Mario Barroso Ramos-Neto & Jose Maria Cardoso Silva & Fabio Rubio Scarano, 2018. "Ecosystem-based adaptation to climate change: defining hotspot municipalities for policy design and implementation in Brazil," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 23(6), pages 981-993, August.
    16. Pedro Daleo & Juan Alberti & Enrique J. Chaneton & Oscar Iribarne & Pedro M. Tognetti & Jonathan D. Bakker & Elizabeth T. Borer & Martín Bruschetti & Andrew S. MacDougall & Jesús Pascual & Mahesh Sank, 2023. "Environmental heterogeneity modulates the effect of plant diversity on the spatial variability of grassland biomass," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    17. Yu-Pin Lin & Chi-Ju Chen & Wan-Yu Lien & Wen-Hao Chang & Joy R. Petway & Li-Chi Chiang, 2019. "Landscape Conservation Planning to Sustain Ecosystem Services under Climate Change," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-18, March.
    18. Zefeng Chen & Weiguang Wang & Giovanni Forzieri & Alessandro Cescatti, 2024. "Transition from positive to negative indirect CO2 effects on the vegetation carbon uptake," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-13, December.
    19. Meng Wang & Zhengfeng An, 2022. "Regional and Phased Vegetation Responses to Climate Change Are Different in Southwest China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-21, July.
    20. Luyun Chen & Yongheng Gao, 2022. "Global Climate Change Effects on Soil Microbial Biomass Stoichiometry in Alpine Ecosystems," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-16, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:13:y:2024:i:9:p:1337-:d:1462114. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.