IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jlands/v13y2024i11p1924-d1521968.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Exploring the Impact of Climate Variables and Scenario Simulation on Ecosystem Service Value Profits and Losses in China

Author

Listed:
  • Dahai Yu

    (Faculty of Engineering and IT, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC 3052, Australia)

  • Chang You

    (School of Ethnology and Sociology, Minzu University of China, Beijing 100081, China)

Abstract

Ecosystem restoration can yield multiple benefits, and the quantitative accounting of ecosystem service value (ESV) profits and losses is of significant importance to the economic benefits of ecosystem restoration. This study reveals the dynamic impacts of climate change on ESVs by analyzing the effects of climate variables on ESV profits and losses across different periods and scenarios. The research findings are as follows: (1) From 1990 to 2020, and extending to simulated projections for 2030, China’s ESV exhibits a high distribution pattern in the southern regions. In 2030, under the natural development scenario (NDS), the southwestern region shows a coexistence of high and low ESVs. Under the ecological protection scenario (EPS), ESV in the southwestern region increases, whereas under the urban development scenario (UDS), ESV in the southwest decreases. (2) In both the NDS and UDS, the trends in ESV profits and losses continue from 2010 to 2020. Under the EPS, there is a significant increase in ESV in the southwestern region. The largest contributors to ESV loss are the conversion of grassland to unused land and forest to farmland. The southwestern region shows the most significant spatial differences in ESV profits and losses, with an increase in ESV profits in the northeastern region. In contrast, other regions show no significant spatial differences in ESV profits and losses. (3) From 1990 to 2000, Bio13 (the precipitation of the wettest month) and Bio12 (annual precipitation) had a significant positive impact on ESV profits and losses, indicating that increased precipitation promotes the functioning of ESVs. This study indicates that fluctuations in precipitation and temperature are significant climate factors influencing the value of ESV. Due to climate change, precipitation patterns and temperature swings are now key determinants of ESV changes. By carefully studying ESV profits and losses and their driving factors, this research can serve as the scientific basis for ecosystem restoration and management strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Dahai Yu & Chang You, 2024. "Exploring the Impact of Climate Variables and Scenario Simulation on Ecosystem Service Value Profits and Losses in China," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-26, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:13:y:2024:i:11:p:1924-:d:1521968
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/13/11/1924/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/13/11/1924/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yan Zhang & Xiaoyong Liao & Dongqi Sun, 2024. "A Coupled InVEST-PLUS Model for the Spatiotemporal Evolution of Ecosystem Carbon Storage and Multi-Scenario Prediction Analysis," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-24, April.
    2. Sharma, Rozi & Malaviya, Piyush, 2023. "Ecosystem services and climate action from a circular bioeconomy perspective," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    3. Zhou, Yuanxiang & Lu, Bu & Jia, Wei & Huang, Chunjie & Ma, Yingqi, 2023. "The conflict between natural resource use and welfare supply — Natural resources is a bless or a curse?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    4. Jing Li & Jian Qiu & Majid Amani-Beni & Yuyang Wang & Mian Yang & Juewen Chen, 2023. "A Modified Equivalent Factor Method Evaluation Model Based on Land Use Changes in Tianfu New Area," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-22, July.
    5. Dedi Liu & Shenglian Guo & Pan Liu & Hui Zou & Xingjun Hong, 2019. "Rational Function Method for Allocating Water Resources in the Coupled Natural-Human Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(1), pages 57-73, January.
    6. Qingxiang Meng & Likun Zhang & Hejie Wei & Enxiang Cai & Dong Xue & Mengxue Liu, 2021. "Linking Ecosystem Service Supply–Demand Risks and Regional Spatial Management in the Yihe River Basin, Central China," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-27, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Vasileios A. Tzanakakis & Andrea G. Capodaglio & Andreas N. Angelakis, 2023. "Insights into Global Water Reuse Opportunities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-30, August.
    2. Yuqing Zhao & Zenglin Han & Changren Zhang & Yuqiao Wang & Jingqiu Zhong & Mengfan Gao, 2024. "Coastal Cultural Ecosystem Services: A Bridge between the Natural Ecosystem and Social Ecosystem for Sustainable Development," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-22, August.
    3. Hong Shi & Ji Yang & Qijuan Liu & Taohong Li & Ning Chris Chen, 2024. "Impacts of Climate and Land-Use Change on Fraction Vegetation Coverage Based on PLUS-Dimidiate Pixel Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(23), pages 1-18, November.
    4. Hongpeng Fu & Jiao Liu & Xiaotian Dong & Zhenlin Chen & Min He, 2024. "Evaluating the Sustainable Development Goals within Spatial Planning for Decision-Making: A Major Function-Oriented Zone Planning Strategy in China," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-22, March.
    5. Barrios Latorre, Sergio Alejandro & Aronsson, Helena & Björnsson, Lovisa & Viketoft, Maria & Prade, Thomas, 2024. "Exploring the benefits of intermediate crops: Is it possible to offset soil organic carbon losses caused by crop residue removal?," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    6. Raihan, Asif, 2024. "The influences of economic progress, natural resources, and capitalization on financial development in the United States," Innovation and Green Development, Elsevier, vol. 3(2).
    7. Peder Hjorth & Kaveh Madani, 2023. "Adaptive Water Management: On the Need for Using the Post-WWII Science in Water Governance," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(6), pages 2247-2270, May.
    8. Xiao Zhang & Jun Wang & Mingyue Zhao & Yan Gao & Yanxu Liu, 2023. "Variations of Ecosystem Services Supply and Demand on the Southeast Hilly Area of China: Implications for Ecosystem Protection and Restoration Management," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-25, March.
    9. Zhuo Xu & Xiaohu Li & Lie Ma & Yuehong Lu & Guo Liu, 2024. "Unraveling the Knowledge Roadmap of Building Policy Mixes: A Scientometric Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-23, January.
    10. Zeyuan Gong & Wei Liu & Jing Guo & Yi Su & Yapei Gao & Wanru Bu & Jun Ren & Chengying Li, 2024. "How to Achieve the Ecological Sustainability Goal of Ecologically Fragile Areas on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau: A Multi-Scenario Simulation of Lanzhou-Xining Urban Agglomerations," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-23, October.
    11. Ai, Weina & Dong, Weiwei & Liu, Yajie, 2024. "Connecting ferrous metal extraction, sustainable urban development, and resource management in diverse economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    12. Hejie Wei & Qing Han & Yu Ma & Wenfeng Ji & Weiguo Fan & Mengxue Liu & Junchang Huang & Ling Li, 2024. "Multi-Scenario Simulating the Effects of Land Use Change on Ecosystem Health for Rural Ecological Management in the Zheng–Bian–Luo Rural Area, Central China," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-28, October.
    13. Lefteris Melas & Maria Batsioula & Apostolos Malamakis & Sotiris I. Patsios & Dimitris Geroliolios & Evangelos Alexandropoulos & Stamatia Skoutida & Christos Karkanias & Anna Dedousi & Maria-Zoi Krits, 2023. "Circular Bioeconomy Practices in the Greek Pig Sector: The Environmental Performance of Bakery Meal as Pig Feed Ingredient," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-26, July.
    14. Wenjun Liu & Xiangyi Ma & Qian Sun & Wei Qi & Xinyang Yu, 2024. "Quantification and Flow Simulation of Ecosystem Service Supply and Demand in the Yellow River Delta High-Efficiency Eco-Economic Zone," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-29, October.
    15. Beiling Chen & Jianhua Zhu & Huayan Liu & Lixiong Zeng & Fuhua Li & Zhiyan Xiao & Wenfa Xiao, 2024. "Construction and Optimization of Ecological Security Patterns Based on Ecosystem Services in the Wuhan Metropolitan Area," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-22, October.
    16. Avenali, Alessandro & Catalano, Giuseppe & Giagnorio, Mirko & Matteucci, Giorgio, 2024. "Factors influencing the adoption of zero-emission buses: A review-based framework," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    17. Lai, Lifeng & Li, Xin, 2024. "Resource curse, public crisis, and the road to sustainable development in emerging Asia," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:13:y:2024:i:11:p:1924-:d:1521968. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.