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Assessment of Landscape Ecological Risk and Its Driving Factors for the Ebinur Lake Basin from 1985 to 2022

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  • Ayinigaer Adili

    (College of Ecology and Environment, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830017, China
    State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Key Laboratory of Ecological Safety and Sustainable Development in Arid Lands, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China
    CAS Research Center for Ecology and Environment of Central Asia, Urumqi 830011, China
    China-Kazakhstan Joint Laboratory for Remote Sensing Technology and Application, Al-Farabi Kazakh National University, Almaty 050012, Kazakhstan)

  • Biao Wu

    (State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Key Laboratory of Ecological Safety and Sustainable Development in Arid Lands, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China
    CAS Research Center for Ecology and Environment of Central Asia, Urumqi 830011, China
    China-Kazakhstan Joint Laboratory for Remote Sensing Technology and Application, Al-Farabi Kazakh National University, Almaty 050012, Kazakhstan
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)

  • Jiayu Chen

    (State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Key Laboratory of Ecological Safety and Sustainable Development in Arid Lands, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China
    CAS Research Center for Ecology and Environment of Central Asia, Urumqi 830011, China
    China-Kazakhstan Joint Laboratory for Remote Sensing Technology and Application, Al-Farabi Kazakh National University, Almaty 050012, Kazakhstan
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)

  • Na Wu

    (State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Key Laboratory of Ecological Safety and Sustainable Development in Arid Lands, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China
    CAS Research Center for Ecology and Environment of Central Asia, Urumqi 830011, China
    China-Kazakhstan Joint Laboratory for Remote Sensing Technology and Application, Al-Farabi Kazakh National University, Almaty 050012, Kazakhstan
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)

  • Yongxiao Ge

    (State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Key Laboratory of Ecological Safety and Sustainable Development in Arid Lands, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China
    CAS Research Center for Ecology and Environment of Central Asia, Urumqi 830011, China
    China-Kazakhstan Joint Laboratory for Remote Sensing Technology and Application, Al-Farabi Kazakh National University, Almaty 050012, Kazakhstan
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)

  • Jilili Abuduwaili

    (State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Key Laboratory of Ecological Safety and Sustainable Development in Arid Lands, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China
    CAS Research Center for Ecology and Environment of Central Asia, Urumqi 830011, China
    China-Kazakhstan Joint Laboratory for Remote Sensing Technology and Application, Al-Farabi Kazakh National University, Almaty 050012, Kazakhstan
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)

Abstract

The Ebinur Lake Basin (ELB), which is a typical watershed in an arid region, has an extremely delicate natural ecosystem. Rapid urbanisation and economic growth have triggered substantial ecological and environmental transformations in this key economic hub of Xinjiang. However, a comprehensive and systematic knowledge of the evolving ecological conditions in the ELB remains limited. Therefore, this study modelled the landscape ecological risk index (LERI) using land use/land cover (LULC) data from 1985 to 2022 and assessed the drivers of landscape ecological risk (LER) using a geographical detector model (GDM). The findings revealed that (1) from 1985 to 2022, the construction land, cropland, and forestland areas in the ELB increased, whereas those of water bodies, grasslands, and barren land decreased. (2) Between 1985 and 2022, LER in the ELB showed a downward trend. Spatially, LER was predominantly characterised by lower and lowest risk levels. The higher and highest risk status has been around Ebinur lake and has continued to improve each year. (3) Climatic factors, particularly temperature and precipitation, were identified as the most significant drivers of the LER change from 1985 to 2022. The findings provide crucial scientific knowledge for advancing sustainable development and maintaining ecological security in the ELB.

Suggested Citation

  • Ayinigaer Adili & Biao Wu & Jiayu Chen & Na Wu & Yongxiao Ge & Jilili Abuduwaili, 2024. "Assessment of Landscape Ecological Risk and Its Driving Factors for the Ebinur Lake Basin from 1985 to 2022," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-20, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:13:y:2024:i:10:p:1572-:d:1487202
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yanping Yang & Jianjun Chen & Yanping Lan & Guoqing Zhou & Haotian You & Xiaowen Han & Yu Wang & Xue Shi, 2022. "Landscape Pattern and Ecological Risk Assessment in Guangxi Based on Land Use Change," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(3), pages 1-20, January.
    2. Sizheng Li & Liuzhu Wang & Sheng Zhao & Feng Gui & Qun Le, 2023. "Landscape Ecological Risk Assessment of Zhoushan Island Based on LULC Change," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-17, June.
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