IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jlands/v12y2023i9p1668-d1225446.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spatial and Temporal Variability Characteristics of Future Carbon Stocks in Anhui Province under Different SSP Scenarios Based on PLUS and InVEST Models

Author

Listed:
  • Shuaijun Yue

    (College of Resources and Environment, Henan Agricultural University, Zhengzhou 450046, China
    Henan Engineering Research Center of Land Consolidation and Ecological Restoration, Zhengzhou 450046, China)

  • Guangxing Ji

    (College of Resources and Environment, Henan Agricultural University, Zhengzhou 450046, China
    Henan Engineering Research Center of Land Consolidation and Ecological Restoration, Zhengzhou 450046, China)

  • Weiqiang Chen

    (College of Resources and Environment, Henan Agricultural University, Zhengzhou 450046, China
    Henan Engineering Research Center of Land Consolidation and Ecological Restoration, Zhengzhou 450046, China)

  • Junchang Huang

    (College of Resources and Environment, Henan Agricultural University, Zhengzhou 450046, China
    Henan Engineering Research Center of Land Consolidation and Ecological Restoration, Zhengzhou 450046, China)

  • Yulong Guo

    (College of Resources and Environment, Henan Agricultural University, Zhengzhou 450046, China
    Henan Engineering Research Center of Land Consolidation and Ecological Restoration, Zhengzhou 450046, China)

  • Mingyue Cheng

    (College of Resources and Environment, Henan Agricultural University, Zhengzhou 450046, China
    Henan Engineering Research Center of Land Consolidation and Ecological Restoration, Zhengzhou 450046, China)

Abstract

With the rapid development of the social economy, human activities have had a severe impact on the environment. The global climate issue caused by CO 2 emissions has attracted the attention of various countries around the world, and reducing CO 2 emissions is urgent. This article simulates the changes in carbon storage in Anhui Province from 2030 to 2070 based on SSP1-2.5, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-5.8 scenarios. First, based on the land use data of Anhui Province in 2010, the PLUS model was used to simulate the land use data of 2015, and the accuracy of the simulation results was verified against real data. Then, the land use data of Anhui Province were simulated in the future period from 2030 to 2070 under different SSP scenarios. Finally, based on the InVEST model, the spatiotemporal changes in future carbon storage were calculated. The research showed that, during the period of 2030 to 2070, the spatial distribution of carbon storage in Anhui Province under three scenario simulations generally showed a distribution pattern of high carbon storage in the north and south, and low carbon storage in the central region. Under the SSP1-2.6 scenario, Anhui Province’s carbon storage decreased by 0.33 million tons, a decrease of 0.029%. Under the SSP2-4.5 scenario, carbon storage increased by 0.25 million tons, an increase of 0.021%. Under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, carbon storage decreased by 1.54 million tons, a decrease of 0.133%. The reasons for the changes in carbon storage were related to the areas of arable land, forest land, and grassland. This study can provide a reference for future low-carbon land use planning.

Suggested Citation

  • Shuaijun Yue & Guangxing Ji & Weiqiang Chen & Junchang Huang & Yulong Guo & Mingyue Cheng, 2023. "Spatial and Temporal Variability Characteristics of Future Carbon Stocks in Anhui Province under Different SSP Scenarios Based on PLUS and InVEST Models," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-17, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:12:y:2023:i:9:p:1668-:d:1225446
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/9/1668/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/9/1668/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Linfeng Xu & Xuan Liu & De Tong & Zhixin Liu & Lirong Yin & Wenfeng Zheng, 2022. "Forecasting Urban Land Use Change Based on Cellular Automata and the PLUS Model," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-16, April.
    2. Opelele Omeno Michel & Ying Yu & Wenyi Fan & Tolerant Lubalega & Chen Chen & Claude Kachaka Sudi Kaiko, 2022. "Impact of Land Use Change on Tree Diversity and Aboveground Carbon Storage in the Mayombe Tropical Forest of the Democratic Republic of Congo," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-19, May.
    3. Lyndré Nel & Ana Flávia Boeni & Viola Judit Prohászka & Alfréd Szilágyi & Eszter Tormáné Kovács & László Pásztor & Csaba Centeri, 2022. "InVEST Soil Carbon Stock Modelling of Agricultural Landscapes as an Ecosystem Service Indicator," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-19, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lin Tang & Jing Wang & Luo Xu & Heng Lu, 2024. "Exploring New Avenues in Sustainable Urban Development: Ecological Carbon Dynamics of Park City in Chengdu," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(15), pages 1-21, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tiantian Ma & Qingbai Hu & Changle Wang & Jungang Lv & Changhong Mi & Rongguang Shi & Xiaoli Wang & Yanying Yang & Wenhao Wu, 2022. "Exploring the Relationship between Ecosystem Services under Different Socio-Economic Driving Degrees," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(23), pages 1-17, December.
    2. Huanhuan Xiong & Xuejing Wang & Xinrui Hu, 2023. "Research on the Duality of China’s Marine Fishery Carbon Emissions and Its Coordination with Economic Development," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(2), pages 1-17, January.
    3. Harik, G. & Alameddine, I. & Zurayk, R. & El-Fadel, M., 2023. "Uncertainty in forecasting land cover land use at a watershed scale: Towards enhanced sustainable land management," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 486(C).
    4. Jian Chen & Kai Wang & Maomao Li & Xianzhi Wang & Xiaoxiao Zhang & Lixin Niu & Yanlong Zhang, 2023. "Prediction and Evolution of Carbon Storage of Terrestrial Ecosystems in the Qinling Mountains North Slope Region, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-17, November.
    5. Furui Xi & Gang Lin & Yanan Zhao & Xiang Li & Zhiyu Chen & Chenglong Cao, 2023. "Land Use Optimization and Carbon Storage Estimation in the Yellow River Basin, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-17, July.
    6. Ning He & Wenxian Guo & Hongxiang Wang & Long Yu & Siyuan Cheng & Lintong Huang & Xuyang Jiao & Wenxiong Chen & Haotong Zhou, 2023. "Temporal and Spatial Variations in Landscape Habitat Quality under Multiple Land-Use/Land-Cover Scenarios Based on the PLUS-InVEST Model in the Yangtze River Basin, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-19, July.
    7. Yonghua Li & Song Yao & Hezhou Jiang & Huarong Wang & Qinchuan Ran & Xinyun Gao & Xinyi Ding & Dandong Ge, 2022. "Spatial-Temporal Evolution and Prediction of Carbon Storage: An Integrated Framework Based on the MOP–PLUS–InVEST Model and an Applied Case Study in Hangzhou, East China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-22, December.
    8. Rao Ma & Wendong Lv & Yao Zhao, 2022. "The Impact of TMT Experience Heterogeneity on Enterprise Innovation Quality: Empirical Analysis on Chinese Listed Companies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-22, December.
    9. Jawed Mustafa & Fahad Awjah Almehmadi & Saeed Alqaed & Mohsen Sharifpur, 2022. "Building a Sustainable Energy Community: Design and Integrate Variable Renewable Energy Systems for Rural Communities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-21, October.
    10. Zhanfu Luo & Wei Zheng & Juanqin Liu & Jin Wang & Xue Bai, 2024. "A Multi-Objective Scenario Study of County Land Use in Loess Hilly Areas: Taking Lintao County as an Example," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(8), pages 1-23, April.
    11. Sun, Gebing & Li, Guozhi & Dilanchiev, Azer & Kazimova, Asli, 2023. "Promotion of green financing: Role of renewable energy and energy transition in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 769-775.
    12. Tong Lin & Dafang Wu & Muzhuang Yang & Peifang Ma & Yanyan Liu & Feng Liu & Ziying Gan, 2022. "Evolution and Simulation of Terrestrial Ecosystem Carbon Storage and Sustainability Assessment in Karst Areas: A Case Study of Guizhou Province," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(23), pages 1-19, December.
    13. Huan Tang & Xiao Liu & Ruijie Xie & Yuqin Lin & Jiawei Fang & Jing Yuan, 2024. "Response of Carbon Energy Storage to Land Use/Cover Changes in Shanxi Province, China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(13), pages 1-16, July.
    14. Xiuzhen, Xie & Zheng, Wenxiu & Umair, Muhammad, 2022. "Testing the fluctuations of oil resource price volatility: A hurdle for economic recovery," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    15. Polina Lemenkova & Olivier Debeir, 2022. "R Libraries for Remote Sensing Data Classification by k-means Clustering and NDVI Computation in Congo River Basin, DRC," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/352357, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    16. Chaoyue Wang & Tingzhen Li & Xianhua Guo & Lilin Xia & Chendong Lu & Chunbo Wang, 2022. "Plus-InVEST Study of the Chengdu-Chongqing Urban Agglomeration’s Land-Use Change and Carbon Storage," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-19, September.
    17. Saeid Varamesh & Sohrab Mohtaram Anbaran & Bagher Shirmohammadi & Nadir Al-Ansari & Saeid Shabani & Abolfazl Jaafari, 2022. "How Do Different Land Uses/Covers Contribute to Land Surface Temperature and Albedo?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-13, December.
    18. Eszter Tormáné Kovács & Csaba Centeri, 2023. "Assessment of Ecosystem Services at Different Scales," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(24), pages 1-5, December.
    19. Shengwang Bao & Fan Yang, 2022. "Spatio-Temporal Dynamic of the Land Use/Cover Change and Scenario Simulation in the Southeast Coastal Shelterbelt System Construction Project Region of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-19, July.
    20. Cheren Cappello & Salvatore Giuffrida & Maria Rosa Trovato & Vittoria Ventura, 2022. "Environmental Identities and the Sustainable City. The Green Roof Prospect for the Ecological Transition," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-34, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:12:y:2023:i:9:p:1668-:d:1225446. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.